COVID-19 early treatment: real-time analysis of 5,330 studies
Sümegi | 148 patients vitamin D late treatment: 67% lower mortality (p=0.0002) |
Nowak | 5,824 patients proton pump inhibitor prophylaxis: 58% higher combined mortality/hospitalization (p=0.0002) |
Bramante | Emulated target trial of Omicron-infected outpatients without diabetes or prediabetes, showing significantly lower long COVID or death with.. |
Timeline for when studies showed efficacy - details and limitations.
0.5% of treatments show efficacy.
Top journals that accept positive studies for low cost treatments:
Nutrients,
PLOS ONE,
Cureus,
Journal of Clinical Medicine,
Scientific Reports,
International Journal of Infectious Diseases,
more...
Treatment cost times median NNT - details and limitations.
0.5% of treatments show efficacy.
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All clinical results for selected treatments. 0.5% of treatments show efficacy.
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Random effects meta-analysis of all studies (pooled effects, all stages). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment studies (pooled effects). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all outcomes are affected by the distribution of outcomes tested, please see detail pages for specific outcome analysis. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of all mortality results (all stages). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages depend on the distribution of stages tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment mortality results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of prophylaxis studies (pooled effects). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all outcomes are affected by the distribution of outcomes tested, please see detail pages for specific outcome analysis. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of prophylaxis mortality results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of long covid results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of transmission results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. |
LATE TREATMENT | ||||||
Physician / Team | Location | Patients | HospitalizationHosp. | MortalityDeath | ||
Dr. David Uip (*) | Brazil | 2,200 | 38.6% (850) | Ref. | 2.5% (54) | Ref. |
EARLY TREATMENT - 40 physicians/teams | ||||||
Physician / Team | Location | Patients | HospitalizationHosp. | ImprovementImp. | MortalityDeath | ImprovementImp. |
Dr. Roberto Alfonso Accinelli 0/360 deaths for treatment within 3 days |
Peru | 1,265 | 0.6% (7) | 77.5% | ||
Dr. Mohammed Tarek Alam patients up to 84 years old |
Bangladesh | 100 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Oluwagbenga Alonge | Nigeria | 310 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Raja Bhattacharya up to 88yo, 81% comorbidities |
India | 148 | 1.4% (2) | 44.9% | ||
Dr. Flavio Cadegiani | Brazil | 3,450 | 0.1% (4) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Alessandro Capucci | Italy | 350 | 4.6% (16) | 88.2% | ||
Dr. Shankara Chetty | South Africa | 8,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Deborah Chisholm | USA | 100 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Ryan Cole | USA | 400 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Marco Cosentino vs. 3-3.8% mortality during period; earlier treatment better |
Italy | 392 | 6.4% (25) | 83.5% | 0.3% (1) | 89.6% |
Dr. Jeff Davis | USA | 6,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Dhanajay | India | 500 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Bryan Tyson & Dr. George Fareed | USA | 20,000 | 0.0% (6) | 99.9% | 0.0% (4) | 99.2% |
Dr. Raphael Furtado | Brazil | 170 | 0.6% (1) | 98.5% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Rabbi Yehoshua Gerzi | Israel | 860 | 0.1% (1) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Heather Gessling | USA | 1,500 | 0.1% (1) | 97.3% | ||
Dr. Ellen Guimarães | Brazil | 500 | 1.6% (8) | 95.9% | 0.4% (2) | 83.7% |
Dr. Syed Haider | USA | 4,000 | 0.1% (5) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Mark Hancock | USA | 24 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Sabine Hazan | USA | 1,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Mollie James | USA | 3,500 | 1.1% (40) | 97.0% | 0.0% (1) | 98.8% |
Dr. Roberta Lacerda | Brazil | 550 | 1.5% (8) | 96.2% | 0.4% (2) | 85.2% |
Dr. Katarina Lindley | USA | 100 | 5.0% (5) | 87.1% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Ben Marble | USA | 150,000 | 0.0% (4) | 99.9% | ||
Dr. Edimilson Migowski | Brazil | 2,000 | 0.3% (7) | 99.1% | 0.1% (2) | 95.9% |
Dr. Abdulrahman Mohana | Saudi Arabia | 2,733 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Carlos Nigro | Brazil | 5,000 | 0.9% (45) | 97.7% | 0.5% (23) | 81.3% |
Dr. Benoit Ochs | Luxembourg | 800 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Ortore | Italy | 240 | 1.2% (3) | 96.8% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Valerio Pascua one death for a patient presenting on the 5th day in need of supplemental oxygen |
Honduras | 415 | 6.3% (26) | 83.8% | 0.2% (1) | 90.2% |
Dr. Sebastian Pop | Romania | 300 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Brian Proctor | USA | 869 | 2.3% (20) | 94.0% | 0.2% (2) | 90.6% |
Dr. Anastacio Queiroz | Brazil | 700 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Didier Raoult | France | 8,315 | 2.6% (214) | 93.3% | 0.1% (5) | 97.6% |
Dr. Karin Ried up to 99yo, 73% comorbidities, av. age 63 |
Turkey | 237 | 0.4% (1) | 82.8% | ||
Dr. Roman Rozencwaig patients up to 86 years old |
Canada | 80 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Vipul Shah | India | 8,000 | 0.1% (5) | 97.5% | ||
Dr. Silvestre Sobrinho | Brazil | 116 | 8.6% (10) | 77.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Unknown | Brazil | 957 | 1.7% (16) | 95.7% | 0.2% (2) | 91.5% |
Dr. Vladimir Zelenko | USA | 2,200 | 0.5% (12) | 98.6% | 0.1% (2) | 96.3% |
Mean improvement with early treatment protocols | 238,381 | HospitalizationHosp. | 94.4% | MortalityDeath | 94.9% |
Physician results with early treatment protocols compared to
no early treatment. These results are subject to selection and ascertainment
bias and more accurate analysis requires details of the patient populations
and followup, however results are consistently better across many teams, and consistent
with the extensive controlled trial evidence that shows a significant
reduction in risk with many early treatments, and improved results with the
use of multiple treatments in combination.
Sümegi | 148 patients late treatment: 67% lower mortality (p=0.0002) |
Alzahrani | In Silico study showing that cholecalciferol (vitamin D3) exhibits strong binding affinity to multiple cytokines involved in cytokine storm, with.. |
Atieh | RCT 151 long COVID outpatients showing improved long COVID Research Index, number of symptoms, inflammatory markers, and fungal translocation with.. |
Nowak | 5,824 patients prophylaxis: 58% higher combined mortality/hospitalization (p=0.0002) |
Bramante | Emulated target trial of Omicron-infected outpatients without diabetes or prediabetes, showing significantly lower long COVID or death with.. |
Keels | Meta analysis: 59% lower mortality (p=0.002) |
Wentzel | Analysis of 9 veterinary ivermectin products that were reportedly used off-label as a treatment for COVID-19. All tested products contained.. |
Horby | 1,723 patient late treatment RCT: 5% lower mortality (p=0.64), 4% lower hospital discharge (p=0.51), and 2% lower combined mortality/ICU admission (p=0.82) |
Kongsomros | Syrian hamster study showing that Andrographis paniculata extract improves survival without reducing viral load in SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant.. |
Collins | 400 patient late treatment RCT: 44% higher mortality (p=0.31) and 39% worse 7-point scale results (p=0.09) |
Recent studies (see the individual treatment pages for all studies):
Jan 30 |
et al., Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu17030507 | Effect of Moderately High-Dose Vitamin D3 Supplementation on Mortality in Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19 Infection |
67% lower mortality (p=0.0002). Retrospective 148 hospitalized COVID-19 patients showing significantly lower mortality (67% reduction) with moderately high-dose vitamin D3 treatment (30,000 IU for 3 days or 12,000 IU for 7 days followed by 3,000 IU daily), regardless of.. | ||
Jan 29 |
et al., Open Forum Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1093/ofid/ofae631.016 | Metformin reduces the risk of Long COVID or Death over 6 months in an Emulated Target Trial of Primarily Omicron-infected Adults without Diabetes or Prediabetes: a New-User, Active-Comparator Analysis Using the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) Electronic Health Record Database. This research was supported in part by the Intramural/Extramural research program of the National Center for Advancing Translational Science, NIH |
Emulated target trial of Omicron-infected outpatients without diabetes or prediabetes, showing significantly lower long COVID or death with metformin treatment. | ||
Jan 29 |
et al., Open Forum Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1093/ofid/ofae631.2172 | Evaluating the use of Monoclonal Antibodies - Sotrovimab, Casirivimab/Imedvimab (REGEN-COV) and Tixagevimab/Cilgavimab (EVUSHELD) for COVID-19 Treatment in Singapore |
PSM retrospective 366 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Singapore showing no statistically significant reduction in severe outcomes with monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), except for lower oxygen use in patients treated with sotrovimab during .. | ||
Jan 29 |
et al., Clinical Kidney Journal, doi:10.1093/ckj/sfaf030 | COVID-19 among Kidney Transplant Recipients: Evaluating Risk Factors During the Initial Phase of the Pandemic |
58% higher combined mortality/hospitalization (p=0.0002). Retrospective 5,824 kidney transplant recipients in Sweden showing proton pump inhibitor use associated with higher risk of severe COVID-19. | ||
Jan 29 |
et al., Open Forum Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1093/ofid/ofae631.2173 | Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir for the outpatient treatment of Covid-19: a population-based cohort study |
27% higher mortality (p=0.5) and 1% higher hospitalization (p=0.93). Retrospective 113,399 outpatients in Austria showing lower hospitalization and mortality with paxlovid treatment in patients over 60, but no significant differences with molnupiravir. Viral rebound was observed after treatment with both a.. | ||
Jan 27 |
et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2025.01.24.25321081 | Sotrovimab versus usual care in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19: a randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial (RECOVERY) |
5% lower mortality (p=0.64), 4% lower hospital discharge (p=0.51), and 2% lower combined mortality/ICU admission (p=0.82). RCT 1,723 hospitalized COVID-19 patients showing lower 28-day mortality with sotrovimab in patients with high serum nucleocapsid antigen levels, but no significant benefit in the overall population. Sotrovimab reduced mortality from 29% t.. | ||
Jan 24 |
et al., PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0313616 | Secondary metabolites of Alternaria alternate appraisal of their SARS-CoV-2 inhibitory and anti-inflammatory potentials |
In Silico and In Vitro study showing that compounds isolated from the fungus Alternaria alternate inhibit SARS-CoV-2 infection by blocking the ACE2-Spike protein interaction and reducing ACE2 expression and inflammatory cytokines. Quercet.. | ||
Jan 16 |
et al., Life, doi:10.3390/life15010113 | Immune-Boosting and Antiviral Effects of Antioxidants in COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Therapeutic Perspective |
Review of immune-boosting and antiviral effects of antioxidants in COVID-19 pneumonia. Authors provide an overview of the literature on the use of antioxidants, including vitamins, trace elements, ozone, glutathione, L-carnitine, melatoni.. | ||
Jan 16 |
et al., Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu17020304 | Vitamins K2 and D3 Improve Long COVID, Fungal Translocation, and Inflammation: Randomized Controlled Trial |
RCT 151 long COVID outpatients showing improved long COVID Research Index, number of symptoms, inflammatory markers, and fungal translocation with vitamins D3 and K2 over 24 weeks. D3 2000IU daily and K2 240µg. Markers of inflammation (ox.. | ||
Jan 14 |
et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2025.01.13.25320485 | Metformin on Time to Sustained Recovery in Adults with COVID-19: The ACTIV-6 Randomized Clinical Trial |
24% higher progression (p=0.28) and 4% worse recovery (p=0.28). RCT 2,991 outpatient adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 showing no significant difference in time to sustained recovery with metformin compared to placebo. Median days to symptom resolution was 9 days vs. 10 days for placebo, without s.. | ||
Jan 14 |
et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2025.01.10.25320348 | A genetically based computational drug repurposing framework for rapid identification of candidate compounds: application to COVID-19 |
19% fewer cases (p=0.0008). Computational drug repurposing study integrating genetically regulated gene expression (GReX) and pharmaceutical databases to identify 7 FDA-approved compounds that may reverse COVID-19-related gene expression. Analysis of 755,346 people .. | ||
Jan 13 |
et al., Polish Archives of Internal Medicine, doi:10.20452/pamw.16926 | Vitamin C for the common cold and pneumonia |
Review of vitamin C for the common cold and pneumonia. Authors conclude that while regular vitamin C supplementation does not prevent common colds infections in the general population, it significantly reduces the severity and duration of.. | ||
Jan 11 |
et al., Cureus, doi:10.7759/cureus.77288 | Does the Consumption of Metformin Correlate With a Reduction in Mortality Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and COVID-19 in Morocco? |
54% lower mortality (p=0.04). Retrospective 115 hospitalized type 2 diabetes patients in Morocco showing significantly lower mortality with metformin use. | ||
Jan 10 |
et al., Turkish Journal of Pharmaceutical Sciences, doi:10.4274/tjps.galenos.2024.49768 | In silico Evaluation of H1-Antihistamine as Potential Inhibitors of SARS-CoV-2 RNA-dependent RNA Polymerase: Repurposing Study of COVID-19 Therapy |
In Silico study showing that H1RA antihistamines, including bilastine, fexofenadine, mizolastine, rupatadine, terfenadine, and the leukotriene receptor antagonists montelukast and zafirlukast, may inhibit SARS-CoV-2 RNA-dependent RNA poly.. | ||
Jan 9 |
, R., Cureus, doi:10.7759/cureus.77188 | COVID-19 Humic/Fulvic Acid Plus Epigallocatechin Gallate Treatment: A Retrospective Chart Review |
97% lower mortality (p<0.0001). Retrospective 60 COVID-19 patients in a nursing home facility showing no mortality with EGCG (from green tea extract), humic/fulvic acid, and vitamin C treatment, compared to 55% mortality in the control group not receiving treatment. | ||
Jan 6 |
et al., Pharmaceutical Biology, doi:10.1080/13880209.2024.2444446 | Non-linear oral bioavailability and clinical pharmacokinetics of high-dose Andrographis paniculata ethanolic extract: relevant dosage implications for COVID-19 treatment |
Analysis of the pharmacokinetics and safety of high-dose Andrographis paniculata ethanolic extract. Authors observed non-linear oral bioavailability, with low plasma concentrations of key bioactive diterpenoids following ethanolic extract.. | ||
Jan 6 |
et al., Cureus, doi:10.7759/cureus.77011 | Zinc Deficiency Associated With an Increase in Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Meta-Analysis |
Meta-analysis showing significantly higher COVID-19 mortality and symptomatology with zinc deficiency. | ||
Jan 6 |
et al., Frontiers in Endocrinology, doi:10.3389/fendo.2024.1482853 | Antidiabetic agent use and clinical outcomes in patients with diabetes hospitalized for COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis |
59% lower mortality (p=0.002). Systematic review and meta-analysis of 35 studies showing lower mortality with metformin and DPP-4 inhibitor treatment for COVID-19 patients with diabetes. | ||
Jan 1 |
et al., NCT05904067 | Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital |
Estimated 72 participant convalescent plasma prophylaxis RCT with results expected soon (estimated completion over 1 month ago). | ||
Jan 1 |
, A., Octahedron Drug Research, doi:10.21608/odr.2024.308273.1043 | A new investigation into the molecular mechanism of cholecalciferol towards reducing cytokines storm |
In Silico study showing that cholecalciferol (vitamin D3) exhibits strong binding affinity to multiple cytokines involved in cytokine storm, with binding energies exceeding -6.5 kcal/mol. Molecular dynamics simulations revealed remarkable.. |
We aim to cover the most promising early treatments for
COVID-19. We use pre-specified effect extraction criteria that prioritizes
more serious outcomes, for details see methods. For specific
outcomes and different treatment stages see the individual pages. Not all
treatments are covered here, effectiveness has been reported for many other treatments in studies.
Of the 5,330 studies,
2,547 present results comparing with a control group,
2,336 are treatment studies, and
211 analyze outcomes based on serum levels. There are
100 animal studies,
196 in silico studies,
355 in vitro studies,
416 reviews,
and 234 meta analyses.
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments.
c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from
thousands of papers. Community updates
help ensure high accuracy.
Treatments and other interventions are complementary.
All practical, effective, and safe
means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis.
No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current
and future variants.
We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication,
consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details
of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH
provide treatment protocols.
Thanks for your feedback! Please search before submitting papers and note
that studies are listed under the date they were first available, which may be
the date of an earlier preprint.