COVID-19 early treatment: real-time analysis of 2,424 studies
All studies
Early treatment
Mortality
Early mortality
Prophylaxis
Prophylaxis mortality
Recent
Select treatment...
Analysis of 48 COVID early treatments,
approvals in 80 countries, database of
2,110 treatments
| Shafiee | Curcumin meta analysis: 62% lower mortality [p=0.003] |
| Di Pierro | 100 patient quercetin early treatment RCT: 37% improved recovery [p=0.007] and 58% improved viral clearance [p<0.0001] |
| Almasaud | Prospective study of 123 COVID+ patients and 48 controls, showing significantly lower zinc levels in COVID-19 patients, and a negative correlation.. |
| Shimizu | In Vitro study showing that casirivimab/imdevimab may induce antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) within a specific concentration range. No ADE was.. |
| Heilmann | In Vitro and In Silico study showing selection of resistant mutations with nirmatrelvir use. Several mutations were identified that confer.. |
Treatment cost times median NNT - details and limitations
Timeline for when studies showed efficacy - details and limitations
Loading..
| Random effects meta-analysis of all studies (pooled effects, all stages). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. | |||||
|
Loading.. Loading.. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment studies (pooled effects). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all outcomes are affected by the distribution of outcomes tested, please see detail pages for specific outcome analysis. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. | |||||
|
Loading.. Loading.. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of all mortality results (all stages). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages depend on the distribution of stages tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. | |||||
|
Loading.. Loading.. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment mortality results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. | |||||
|
Loading.. Loading.. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of prophylaxis studies (pooled effects). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all outcomes are affected by the distribution of outcomes tested, please see detail pages for specific outcome analysis. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. | |||||
|
Loading.. Loading.. | |||||
| Random effects meta-analysis of prophylaxis mortality results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. |
| LATE TREATMENT | ||||||
| Physician / Team | Location | Patients | HospitalizationHosp. | MortalityDeath | ||
| Dr. David Uip (*) | Brazil | 2,200 | 38.6% (850) | Ref. | 2.5% (54) | Ref. |
| EARLY TREATMENT - 36 physicians/teams | ||||||
| Physician / Team | Location | Patients | HospitalizationHosp. | ImprovementImp. | MortalityDeath | ImprovementImp. |
| Dr. Roberto Alfonso Accinelli 0/360 deaths for treatment within 3 days |
Peru | 1,265 | 0.6% (7) | 77.5% | ||
| Dr. Mohammed Tarek Alam patients up to 84 years old |
Bangladesh | 100 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Oluwagbenga Alonge | Nigeria | 310 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Raja Bhattacharya up to 88yo, 81% comorbidities |
India | 148 | 1.4% (2) | 44.9% | ||
| Dr. Flavio Cadegiani | Brazil | 3,450 | 0.1% (4) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
| Dr. Alessandro Capucci | Italy | 350 | 4.6% (16) | 88.2% | ||
| Dr. Shankara Chetty | South Africa | 8,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Deborah Chisholm | USA | 100 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Ryan Cole | USA | 400 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
| Dr. Marco Cosentino vs. 3-3.8% mortality during period; earlier treatment better |
Italy | 392 | 6.4% (25) | 83.5% | 0.3% (1) | 89.6% |
| Dr. Jeff Davis | USA | 6,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Dhanajay | India | 500 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Bryan Tyson & Dr. George Fareed | USA | 20,000 | 0.0% (6) | 99.9% | 0.0% (4) | 99.2% |
| Dr. Heather Gessling | USA | 1,500 | 0.1% (1) | 97.3% | ||
| Dr. Ellen Guimarães | Brazil | 500 | 1.6% (8) | 95.9% | 0.4% (2) | 83.7% |
| Dr. Syed Haider | USA | 4,000 | 0.1% (5) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
| Dr. Mark Hancock | USA | 24 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Mollie James | USA | 3,500 | 1.1% (40) | 97.0% | 0.0% (1) | 98.8% |
| Dr. Roberta Lacerda | Brazil | 550 | 1.5% (8) | 96.2% | 0.4% (2) | 85.2% |
| Dr. Katarina Lindley | USA | 100 | 5.0% (5) | 87.1% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
| Dr. Ben Marble | USA | 150,000 | 0.0% (4) | 99.9% | ||
| Dr. Edimilson Migowski | Brazil | 2,000 | 0.3% (7) | 99.1% | 0.1% (2) | 95.9% |
| Dr. Abdulrahman Mohana | Saudi Arabia | 2,733 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Carlos Nigro | Brazil | 5,000 | 0.9% (45) | 97.7% | 0.5% (23) | 81.3% |
| Dr. Benoit Ochs | Luxembourg | 800 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Ortore | Italy | 240 | 1.2% (3) | 96.8% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
| Dr. Valerio Pascua one death for a patient presenting on the 5th day in need of supplemental oxygen |
Honduras | 415 | 6.3% (26) | 83.8% | 0.2% (1) | 90.2% |
| Dr. Sebastian Pop | Romania | 300 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Brian Proctor | USA | 869 | 2.3% (20) | 94.0% | 0.2% (2) | 90.6% |
| Dr. Anastacio Queiroz | Brazil | 700 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Didier Raoult | France | 8,315 | 2.6% (214) | 93.3% | 0.1% (5) | 97.6% |
| Dr. Karin Ried up to 99yo, 73% comorbidities, av. age 63 |
Turkey | 237 | 0.4% (1) | 82.8% | ||
| Dr. Roman Rozencwaig patients up to 86 years old |
Canada | 80 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
| Dr. Vipul Shah | India | 8,000 | 0.1% (5) | 97.5% | ||
| Dr. Silvestre Sobrinho | Brazil | 116 | 8.6% (10) | 77.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
| Dr. Vladimir Zelenko | USA | 2,200 | 0.5% (12) | 98.6% | 0.1% (2) | 96.3% |
| Mean improvement with early treatment protocols | 235,394 | HospitalizationHosp. | 93.8% | MortalityDeath | 94.5% | |
Physician results with early treatment protocols compared to
no early treatment. These results are subject to selection and ascertainment
bias and more accurate analysis requires details of the patient populations
and followup, however results are consistently better across many teams, and consistent
with the extensive controlled trial evidence that shows a significant
reduction in risk with many early treatments, and improved results with the
use of multiple treatments in combination.
Treatment |
Improvement (early) |
Studies (early) |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BUBudesonide | 82% | 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| PXProxalutamide | 71% | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| BLBamlaniv../e.. | 69% | 8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| V.DVitamin D | 65% | 9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (H)CQHydroxychlor.. | 62% | 36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| IVMIvermectin | 62% | 37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| RDRemdesivir | 61% | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| FVFluvoxamine | 56% | 6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CICasirivimab/i.. | 47% | 20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| PLPaxlovid | 46% | 19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ZnZinc | 41% | 6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| SSotrovimab | 37% | 11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| FPVFavipiravir | 30% | 16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| V.CVitamin C | 24% | 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| MPMolnupiravir | 24% | 22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ACEAcetaminophen | -17% | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| IBIbuprofen | -52% | 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Early treatments approved by >2 countries. 80 countries have officially approved treatments.
Details.
| Shafiee | Meta analysis: 62% lower mortality [p=0.003] |
| Chitre | 175 patient early treatment RCT: 11% faster recovery [p=0.04] |
| Di Pierro | 100 patient early treatment RCT: 37% improved recovery [p=0.007] and 58% improved viral clearance [p<0.0001] |
| Almasaud | Prospective study of 123 COVID+ patients and 48 controls, showing significantly lower zinc levels in COVID-19 patients, and a negative correlation.. |
| Kladnik | Ex Vivo study showing zinc pyrithione to be a potent inhibitor of SARS-CoV-2 entry and replication. |
| Shimizu | In Vitro study showing that casirivimab/imdevimab may induce antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) within a specific concentration range. No ADE was.. |
| Heilmann | In Vitro and In Silico study showing selection of resistant mutations with nirmatrelvir use. Several mutations were identified that confer.. |
| Jochmans | In Vitro study showing selection of nirmatrelvir-resistant mutations with a protease inhibitor. |
| Mannucci | Prophylaxis: 38% lower mortality [p=0.02] and 15% lower hospitalization [p=0.25] |
| Yeh | Prophylaxis: 44% lower progression [p<0.0001] and 37% lower hospitalization [p<0.0001] |
| Dhibar | 1,168 patient prophylaxis RCT: 27% fewer symptomatic cases [p=0.32] and 21% fewer cases [p=0.21] |
| Mitjà | 2,037 patients meta analysis: 33% improved viral clearance [p=0.02] |
| Shah | 499 patient late treatment RCT: 26% lower mortality [p=0.24], 24% lower ventilation [p=0.21], and 6% improved recovery [p=0.53] |
| MedInCell | 399 patient prophylaxis RCT: 72% fewer cases [p<0.0001] |
| Sarojvisut | 317 patient late treatment RCT: 104% higher ICU admission [p=0.62], 104% worse improvement [p=0.62], and 4% faster recovery [p=0.63] |
Recent studies (see the individual treatment pages for all studies):
Jan 14 |
et al., Phytotherapy Research, doi:10.1002/ptr.7724 | Curcumin for the treatment of COVID-19 patients: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials |
| 62% lower mortality [p=0.003]. Meta analysis of 13 curcumin RCTs showing lower mortality with treatment. Authors note that subgroup analysis suggested improved efficacy with early treatment and with combined treatment. | ||
Jan 13 |
et al., Frontiers in Pharmacology, doi:10.3389/fphar.2022.1096853 | Quercetin as a possible complementary agent for early-stage COVID-19: Concluding results of a randomized clinical trial |
| 37% improved recovery [p=0.007] and 58% improved viral clearance [p<0.0001]. RCT 100 outpatients in Pakistan, 50 treated with quercetin phytosome, showing faster viral clearance and improved recovery with treatment. Patients in the treatment group were significantly younger (41 vs. 54). | ||
Jan 11 |
et al., Science Translational Medicine, doi:10.1126/scitranslmed.abq7360 (In Vitro) | SARS-CoV-2 3CLpro mutations selected in a VSV-based system confer resistance to nirmatrelvir, ensitrelvir, and GC376 |
| In Vitro and In Silico study showing selection of resistant mutations with nirmatrelvir use. Several mutations were identified that confer resistance to 3CLpro inhibitors nirmatrelvir, ensitrelvir, and GC376. Authors note that most of the.. | ||
Jan 10 |
et al., Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu15020340 | Association of Serum Zinc and Inflammatory Markers with the Severity of COVID-19 Infection in Adult Patients |
| Prospective study of 123 COVID+ patients and 48 controls, showing significantly lower zinc levels in COVID-19 patients, and a negative correlation between zinc levels and COVID-19 severity. Moderate and severe cases were significantly old.. | ||
Jan 10 |
et al., mBio, doi:10.1128/mbio.02815-22 (In Vitro) | The Substitutions L50F, E166A, and L167F in SARS-CoV-2 3CLpro Are Selected by a Protease Inhibitor In Vitro and Confer Resistance To Nirmatrelvir |
| In Vitro study showing selection of nirmatrelvir-resistant mutations with a protease inhibitor. | ||
Jan 7 |
et al., Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26053-w | The ‘myth of Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) as post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) for the prevention of COVID-19’ is far from reality |
| 27% fewer symptomatic cases [p=0.32] and 21% fewer cases [p=0.21]. Low dose low-risk patient HCQ PEP RCT, showing lower symptomatic cases with treatment, without statistical significance. There were no moderate or severe cases. HCQ 800mg on day one followed by 400mg once weekly for 3 weeks. | ||
Jan 5 |
Press Release (Preprint) | MedinCell announces positive results for the SAIVE clinical study in prevention of Covid-19 infection in a contact-based population |
| 72% fewer cases [p<0.0001]. PEP RCT 399 patients in Bulgaria showing significantly lower COVID-19 cases with ivermectin prophylaxis. Limited information is currently available. | ||
Jan 4 |
et al., Clinical and Translational Science, doi:10.1111/cts.13468 | Hydroxychloroquine for treatment of non‐hospitalized adults with COVID-19: A meta-analysis of individual participant data of randomized trials |
| 33% improved viral clearance [p=0.02]. Extremely high COI (includes authors of trials playing a key role in the suppression of treatment, and funded by the Gates Foundation) IPD meta analysis of 11 HCQ outpatient treatment and prophylaxis trials, showing significantly improved.. | ||
Jan 3 |
et al., Research Square, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-2418159/v1 (Preprint) | Analysis of trace elements (Zn and Cu) levels in COVID-19 patients with ICU and Non-ICU hospitalization |
| Prospective analysis of 122 hospitalized COVID-19 patients, showing significantly lower zinc levels in ICU patients compared with non-ICU patients. Zinc levels were lower in non-survivors compared with survivors, without statistical signi.. | ||
Dec 29 |
et al., Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu15010169 | Possible Impact of Vitamin D Status and Supplementation on SARS-CoV-2 Infection Risk and COVID-19 Symptoms in a Cohort of Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease |
| 88% lower IgG positivity [p=0.002]. Prospective study of 106 IBD patients in Italy, showing lower risk of IgG positivity with vitamin D supplementation. Vitamin D levels below 30 ng/mL were associated with a higher probability of symptomatic cases. | ||
Dec 27 |
et al., BMC Geriatrics, doi:10.1186/s12877-022-03709-w | The association of prior paracetamol intake with outcome of very old intensive care patients with COVID-19: results from an international prospective multicentre trial |
| 12% lower mortality [p=0.2]. Prospective study of 2,646 ICU patients ≥70 years old, showing no significant difference in mortality with acetaminophen use in the 10 days prior to ICU admission. | ||
Dec 26 |
et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2022.12.22.22283791 (Preprint) | A machine learning-based phenotype for long COVID in children: an EHR-based study from the RECOVER programhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.12.22.22283791 |
| Retrospective 87,398 pediatric patients in the USA, reporting acetaminophen and aspirin associated with PASC, without specific details. Authors note that this could be related to use for MIS-C treatment. | ||
Dec 24 |
et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2022.12.21.22283753 (Preprint) | Outpatient treatment of Covid-19 with metformin, ivermectin, and fluvoxamine and the development of Long Covid over 10-month follow-up |
| 41% lower PASC [p=0.01]. Long-term 10 month followup for NCT04510194, showing significantly lower incidence of PASC with metformin treatment. Adjusted results are provided for metformin but not for ivermectin or fluvoxamine. For many issues with this trial, see [.. | ||
Dec 22 |
et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2022.12.21.22283811 (Preprint) | Antiviral treatments lead to the rapid accrual of hundreds of SARS-CoV-2 mutations in immunocompromised patients |
| Analysis of immunocompromised patients showing rapid creation of new variants with molnupiravir. All patients treated with molnupiravir accrued new mutations in the spike protein of the virus, including non-synonymous mutations that alter.. | ||
Dec 20 |
et al., Innovation in Aging, doi:10.1093/geroni/igac059.3047 | Effect of aspirin in COVID-19 outcomes of older adults with a history of coronary artery disease |
| 37% lower mortality [p=0.28] and 1% higher ICU admission [p=0.79]. Retrospective 4,017 coronary artery disease patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in the USA, showing no significant difference in outcomes with low dose aspirin use. | ||
Dec 19 |
et al., BMJ Open, doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064953 | Real-world effectiveness of casirivimab and imdevimab among patients diagnosed with COVID-19 in the ambulatory setting: a retrospective cohort study using a large claims database |
| 60% lower combined mortality/hospitalization [p<0.0001]. Retrospective 73,759 outpatients treated with casirivimab/imdevimab, showing lower mortality with treatment. This result is subject to potentially substantial confounding by indication - patients with more severe cases may be more likely .. | ||
Dec 16 |
et al., JAMA, doi:10.1001/jama.2022.23257 | Long-term (180-Day) Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19 in the REMAP-CAP Randomized Clinical Trial |
| 1% lower mortality [p=0.9]. Long-term followup for the REMAP-CAP very late stage ICU trial, showing no significant difference with convalescent plasma treatment. | ||
We aim to cover the most promising early treatments for
COVID-19. We use pre-specified effect extraction criteria that prioritizes
more serious outcomes, for details see methods. For specific
outcomes and different treatment stages see the individual pages. Not all
treatments are covered here, effectiveness has been reported for many other treatments in studies.
Of the 2,424 studies,
1,611 present results comparing with a control group,
1,468 are treatment studies, and
143 analyze outcomes based on serum levels. There are
29 animal studies,
60 in silico studies,
124 in vitro studies,
and 124 meta analyses.
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. Vaccines and
treatments are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should
be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment, vaccine, or intervention
is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not
provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified
physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and
benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH
provide treatment protocols.
Thanks for your feedback! Please search before submitting papers and note
that studies are listed under the date they were first available, which may be
the date of an earlier preprint.