COVID-19 early treatment: real-time analysis of 5,222 studies
Duan | Review of how bioactive compounds quercetin, curcumin, and β-glucan regulate innate immunity through the gut-liver-brain axis, with focus on COVID.. |
Yu | Retrospective 5,131 elderly hospitalized COVID-19 patients in China showing lower mortality with azvudine compared to paxlovid. There was no.. |
Mousavi | Case-control study of 150 hospitalized COVID-19 patients and 150 controls, showing significantly lower healthy eating index (HEI) and Mediterranean.. |
Timeline for when studies showed efficacy - details and limitations.
0.5% of treatments show efficacy.
Top journals that accept positive studies for low cost treatments:
Nutrients,
PLOS ONE,
Journal of Clinical Medicine,
International Journal of Infectious Diseases,
Scientific Reports,
Cureus,
more...
Treatment cost times median NNT - details and limitations.
0.5% of treatments show efficacy.
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All clinical results for selected treatments. 0.5% of treatments show efficacy.
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Random effects meta-analysis of all studies (pooled effects, all stages). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment studies (pooled effects). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all outcomes are affected by the distribution of outcomes tested, please see detail pages for specific outcome analysis. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of all mortality results (all stages). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages depend on the distribution of stages tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of early treatment mortality results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of prophylaxis studies (pooled effects). Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all outcomes are affected by the distribution of outcomes tested, please see detail pages for specific outcome analysis. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of prophylaxis mortality results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <25 control events are shown in grey. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of long covid results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. | |||||
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Random effects meta-analysis of transmission results. Treatments with ≤3 studies with distinct authors or with <50 control events are shown in grey. Pooled results across all stages and outcomes depend on the distribution of stages and outcomes tested - for example late stage treatment may be less effective and if the majority of studies are late stage this may obscure the efficacy of early treatment. Please see the specific stage and outcome analyses. Protocols typically combine multiple treatments which may be complementary and synergistic, and the SOC in studies often includes other treatments. 0.5% of proposed treatments show efficacy in clinical studies. |
LATE TREATMENT | ||||||
Physician / Team | Location | Patients | HospitalizationHosp. | MortalityDeath | ||
Dr. David Uip (*) | Brazil | 2,200 | 38.6% (850) | Ref. | 2.5% (54) | Ref. |
EARLY TREATMENT - 40 physicians/teams | ||||||
Physician / Team | Location | Patients | HospitalizationHosp. | ImprovementImp. | MortalityDeath | ImprovementImp. |
Dr. Roberto Alfonso Accinelli 0/360 deaths for treatment within 3 days |
Peru | 1,265 | 0.6% (7) | 77.5% | ||
Dr. Mohammed Tarek Alam patients up to 84 years old |
Bangladesh | 100 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Oluwagbenga Alonge | Nigeria | 310 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Raja Bhattacharya up to 88yo, 81% comorbidities |
India | 148 | 1.4% (2) | 44.9% | ||
Dr. Flavio Cadegiani | Brazil | 3,450 | 0.1% (4) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Alessandro Capucci | Italy | 350 | 4.6% (16) | 88.2% | ||
Dr. Shankara Chetty | South Africa | 8,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Deborah Chisholm | USA | 100 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Ryan Cole | USA | 400 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Marco Cosentino vs. 3-3.8% mortality during period; earlier treatment better |
Italy | 392 | 6.4% (25) | 83.5% | 0.3% (1) | 89.6% |
Dr. Jeff Davis | USA | 6,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Dhanajay | India | 500 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Bryan Tyson & Dr. George Fareed | USA | 20,000 | 0.0% (6) | 99.9% | 0.0% (4) | 99.2% |
Dr. Raphael Furtado | Brazil | 170 | 0.6% (1) | 98.5% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Rabbi Yehoshua Gerzi | Israel | 860 | 0.1% (1) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Heather Gessling | USA | 1,500 | 0.1% (1) | 97.3% | ||
Dr. Ellen Guimarães | Brazil | 500 | 1.6% (8) | 95.9% | 0.4% (2) | 83.7% |
Dr. Syed Haider | USA | 4,000 | 0.1% (5) | 99.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Mark Hancock | USA | 24 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Sabine Hazan | USA | 1,000 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Mollie James | USA | 3,500 | 1.1% (40) | 97.0% | 0.0% (1) | 98.8% |
Dr. Roberta Lacerda | Brazil | 550 | 1.5% (8) | 96.2% | 0.4% (2) | 85.2% |
Dr. Katarina Lindley | USA | 100 | 5.0% (5) | 87.1% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Ben Marble | USA | 150,000 | 0.0% (4) | 99.9% | ||
Dr. Edimilson Migowski | Brazil | 2,000 | 0.3% (7) | 99.1% | 0.1% (2) | 95.9% |
Dr. Abdulrahman Mohana | Saudi Arabia | 2,733 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Carlos Nigro | Brazil | 5,000 | 0.9% (45) | 97.7% | 0.5% (23) | 81.3% |
Dr. Benoit Ochs | Luxembourg | 800 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Ortore | Italy | 240 | 1.2% (3) | 96.8% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Valerio Pascua one death for a patient presenting on the 5th day in need of supplemental oxygen |
Honduras | 415 | 6.3% (26) | 83.8% | 0.2% (1) | 90.2% |
Dr. Sebastian Pop | Romania | 300 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Brian Proctor | USA | 869 | 2.3% (20) | 94.0% | 0.2% (2) | 90.6% |
Dr. Anastacio Queiroz | Brazil | 700 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Didier Raoult | France | 8,315 | 2.6% (214) | 93.3% | 0.1% (5) | 97.6% |
Dr. Karin Ried up to 99yo, 73% comorbidities, av. age 63 |
Turkey | 237 | 0.4% (1) | 82.8% | ||
Dr. Roman Rozencwaig patients up to 86 years old |
Canada | 80 | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% | ||
Dr. Vipul Shah | India | 8,000 | 0.1% (5) | 97.5% | ||
Dr. Silvestre Sobrinho | Brazil | 116 | 8.6% (10) | 77.7% | 0.0% (0) | 100.0% |
Dr. Unknown | Brazil | 957 | 1.7% (16) | 95.7% | 0.2% (2) | 91.5% |
Dr. Vladimir Zelenko | USA | 2,200 | 0.5% (12) | 98.6% | 0.1% (2) | 96.3% |
Mean improvement with early treatment protocols | 238,381 | HospitalizationHosp. | 94.4% | MortalityDeath | 94.9% |
Physician results with early treatment protocols compared to
no early treatment. These results are subject to selection and ascertainment
bias and more accurate analysis requires details of the patient populations
and followup, however results are consistently better across many teams, and consistent
with the extensive controlled trial evidence that shows a significant
reduction in risk with many early treatments, and improved results with the
use of multiple treatments in combination.
Duan | Review of how bioactive compounds quercetin, curcumin, and β-glucan regulate innate immunity through the gut-liver-brain axis, with focus on COVID.. |
Duan | Review of how bioactive compounds quercetin, curcumin, and β-glucan regulate innate immunity through the gut-liver-brain axis, with focus on COVID.. |
Ananto | In Silico study showing that flavonoid compounds from red fruit, especially quercetin 3'-glucoside derivatives, may inhibit SARS-CoV-2 main protease.. |
Zamir | In Silico and In Vitro study showing that flavonoid glycosides from Viola stocksii exhibit antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, immunomodulatory, and.. |
Yu | Retrospective 5,131 elderly hospitalized COVID-19 patients in China showing lower mortality with azvudine compared to paxlovid. There was no.. |
Yu | Retrospective 5,131 elderly hospitalized COVID-19 patients in China showing lower mortality with azvudine compared to paxlovid. There was no.. |
Zhong | 2,862 patients late treatment: 35% lower mortality (p=0.05) |
Mousavi | Case-control study of 150 hospitalized COVID-19 patients and 150 controls, showing significantly lower healthy eating index (HEI) and Mediterranean.. |
Simón-Frapolli | Prospective observational study of 94 postcritical COVID-19 patients showing that higher vitamin D levels were associated with fewer complications,.. |
You | 198 patients sufficiency: 82% lower mortality (p=0.15) and 96% lower severe cases (p=0.01) |
Wang | Drosophila (fruit flies) and mouse study showing that the SARS-CoV-2 membrane (M) protein can cause neurodegeneration by disrupting the normal.. |
Fares | In Vitro study showing that increased expression of the sodium-proton exchanger NHE9 impairs entry and infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 spike-bearing.. |
Yip | Review of the role of inflammatory gene polymorphisms in severe COVID-19. Authors explore how genetic variations in key inflammatory genes.. |
Lefebvre | In Silico and In Vitro study showing that ivermectin binds to the N-terminal domain (NTD) of the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 variants, potentially.. |
Puigdellívol-Sánchez | Retrospective 140,681 patients in Spain showing lower COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and mortality with chronic antihistamine treatment, with.. |
Recent studies (see the individual treatment pages for all studies):
Dec 31 |
et al., Melatonin Research, doi:10.32794/mr112500181 | Potential therapeutic intervention of melatonin against COVID-19: A comparative pharmacokinetic study |
In Silico study showing that melatonin may be beneficial for COVID-19 compared to methylprednisolone, doxycycline, oseltamivir, and remdesivir. Authors find that melatonin has superior pharmacokinetic properties, including higher bioavail.. | ||
Dec 31 |
et al., Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B, doi:10.1016/j.apsb.2024.12.032 | A retrospective cohort study of the efficacy and safety of oral azvudine versus nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in elderly hospitalized COVID-19 patients aged over 60 years |
Retrospective 5,131 elderly hospitalized COVID-19 patients in China showing lower mortality with azvudine compared to paxlovid. There was no significant difference in composite disease progression. Safety analysis showed azvudine had a lo.. | ||
Dec 31 |
et al., Trends in Food Science & Technology, doi:10.1016/j.tifs.2024.104864 | Bioactive compounds,quercetin, curcumin and β-glucan,regulate innate immunity via the gut-liver-brain axis |
Review of how bioactive compounds quercetin, curcumin, and β-glucan regulate innate immunity through the gut-liver-brain axis, with focus on COVID-19. Authors describe how SARS-CoV-2 infection triggers excessive immune activation and cyto.. | ||
Dec 30 |
et al., BMC Nutrition, doi:10.1186/s40795-024-00983-2 | The relationship between healthy eating index and Mediterranean diet adherence score with inflammatory indices and disease severity: a case-control study of hospitalized COVID-19 patients |
Case-control study of 150 hospitalized COVID-19 patients and 150 controls, showing significantly lower healthy eating index (HEI) and Mediterranean diet adherence scores (MDS) for COVID-19 patients. Lower HEI and MDS scores were also asso.. | ||
Dec 30 |
et al., Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu17010110 | Relationship Between Vitamin D Levels with In-Hospital Complications and Morphofunctional Recovery in a Cohort of Patients After Severe COVID-19 Across Different Obesity Phenotypes |
Prospective observational study of 94 postcritical COVID-19 patients showing that higher vitamin D levels were associated with fewer complications, shorter hospital and ICU stays, and improved morphofunctional recovery. Vitamin D deficien.. | ||
Dec 26 |
et al., European Journal of Medical Research, doi:10.1186/s40001-024-02220-9 | Azvudine efficacy in reducing mortality in COVID-19 patients |
35% lower mortality (p=0.05). Retrospective 2,862 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in China showing lower mortality with azvudine treatment, with greater efficacy for severe and critical patients. | ||
Dec 25 |
et al., Pulmonary Therapy, doi:10.1007/s41030-024-00284-w | Real-World Effectiveness of Bebtelovimab Versus Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir in Outpatients with COVID-19 |
Retrospective 5,827 matched pairs of non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients showing no significant differences between bebtelovimab and paxlovid treatment. Authors do not exclude patients with contraindications for paxlovid. | ||
Dec 22 |
et al., Hemodialysis International, doi:10.1111/hdi.13194 | Associations of vitamin D levels and clinical parameters with COVID‐19 infection, severity and mortality in hemodialysis patients: A cohort study |
82% lower mortality (p=0.15) and 96% lower severe cases (p=0.01). Retrospective 198 hemodialysis patients in China showing vitamin D deficiency associated with an increased risk of COVID‐19 severity. | ||
Dec 13 |
et al., Microorganisms, doi:10.3390/microorganisms12122589 | COVID-19 in Relation to Chronic Antihistamine Prescription |
Retrospective 140,681 patients in Spain showing lower COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and mortality with chronic antihistamine treatment, with a greater protective effect for patients taking 2-7 chronic treatments. Results are provid.. | ||
Dec 12 |
et al., Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B, doi:10.1016/j.apsb.2024.12.004 | Real-world efficacy and safety of azvudine in hospitalized older patients with COVID-19 during the omicron wave in China: A retrospective cohort study |
22% lower mortality (p=0.001), 13% higher hospital discharge (p=0.05), 1% shorter hospitalization (p=0.43), and 10% faster viral clearance (p<0.0001). PSM retrospective 3,998 hospitalized COVID-19 patients aged 60 years and older in China showing lower all-cause mortality, higher rate of discharge, and shorter time to viral clearance with azvudine treatment. | ||
Dec 12 |
et al., Journal of Virus Eradication, doi:10.1016/j.jve.2024.100576 | Assessing Favipiravir's Impact on SARS-CoV-2 Transmission within Households: Insights from a Multi-center Study (FaviPrev) |
25% lower transmission (p=0.05). Retrospective 976 mild to moderate COVID-19 outpatients in Thailand showing significantly lower household transmission with favipiravir treatment of index cases. | ||
Dec 12 |
et al., American Journal of Gastroenterology, doi:10.14309/01.ajg.0001082744.48729.45 | Efficacy of Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (Paxlovid) for COVID-19 in Vaccinated Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease |
no change in progression (p=0.97) and 33% lower hospitalization (p=0.14). PSM retrospective 2,773 IBD patients showing no significant difference in hospitalization or the composite outcome of ICU admission, intubation, or mortality with paxlovid treatment. Authors do not specify exclusion of contraindicated pat.. | ||
Dec 11 |
et al., Frontiers in Endocrinology, doi:10.3389/fendo.2024.1459171 | Unveiling risk factors for post-COVID-19 syndrome development in people with type 2 diabetes |
5% higher PASC (p=0.64). Retrospective 469 patients with type 2 diabetes in Ukraine showing no significant difference in post-COVID-19 syndrome (PCS) with metformin. There was higher risk with Insulin analogs, but lower risk with human insulin. | ||
Dec 9 |
et al., JDR Clinical & Translational Research, doi:10.1177/23800844241296840 | A Cetylpyridinium Chloride Oral Rinse Reduces Salivary Viral Load in Randomized Controlled Trials |
72% improved viral clearance (p=0.71). Two RCTs with a total of 247 recently diagnosed COVID-19 patients showing a significant reduction in salivary SARS-CoV-2 viral load 30 minutes after rinsing with a cetylpyridinium chloride (CPC) mouthwash compared to rinsing with saline o.. | ||
Dec 6 |
et al., Wiadomości Lekarskie, doi:10.36740/WLek/191875 | Effectiveness of the quercetin use in patients with COVID-19 with concomitant type 2 diabetes mellitus |
15% shorter hospitalization (p<0.0001). RCT 60 hospitalized COVID-19 patients with type 2 diabetes showing quercetin treatment decreased levels of inflammatory markers (interleukin-6, CRP, ferritin), reduced length of hospital stay, and improved capillaroscopy measures compared.. |
We aim to cover the most promising early treatments for
COVID-19. We use pre-specified effect extraction criteria that prioritizes
more serious outcomes, for details see methods. For specific
outcomes and different treatment stages see the individual pages. Not all
treatments are covered here, effectiveness has been reported for many other treatments in studies.
Of the 5,222 studies,
2,512 present results comparing with a control group,
2,301 are treatment studies, and
211 analyze outcomes based on serum levels. There are
98 animal studies,
190 in silico studies,
349 in vitro studies,
402 reviews,
and 229 meta analyses.
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments.
c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from
thousands of papers. Community updates
help ensure high accuracy.
Treatments and other interventions are complementary.
All practical, effective, and safe
means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis.
No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current
and future variants.
We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication,
consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details
of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH
provide treatment protocols.
Thanks for your feedback! Please search before submitting papers and note
that studies are listed under the date they were first available, which may be
the date of an earlier preprint.