Study of Favipiravir Compared to Standard of Care in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19

Pushkar et al., NCT04542694

Nov 2020

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RCT 200 patients showing improvements in clinical recovery and viral clearance with favipiravir. There is no paper available but results are posted in clinicaltrials.gov.

Potential risks of favipiravir include the creation of dangerous variants, and mutagenicity, carcinogenicity, teratogenicity, and embryotoxicity1-5.

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risk of no clinical status improvement of 2+ WHO-OSCI at ~10 days, 14.1% lower, RR 0.86, p = 0.06, treatment 73 of 100 (73.0%), control 85 of 100 (85.0%), NNT 8.3.

relative time to clinical improvement, 33.3% lower, relative time 0.67, p < 0.001, treatment 100, control 100.

risk of no fever reduction by day 3, 45.2% lower, RR 0.55, p < 0.001, treatment 40 of 100 (40.0%), control 73 of 100 (73.0%), NNT 3.0.

relative time to resolution of fever, 20.0% lower, relative time 0.80, p = 0.05, treatment 100, control 100.

risk of no discharge at day 10, 69.7% lower, RR 0.30, p < 0.001, treatment 10 of 100 (10.0%), control 33 of 100 (33.0%), NNT 4.3.

risk of no full recovery at day 10, 26.7% lower, RR 0.73, p < 0.001, treatment 66 of 100 (66.0%), control 90 of 100 (90.0%), NNT 4.2.

risk of no improvement in lung CT, 33.3% lower, RR 0.67, p = 0.007, treatment 40 of 100 (40.0%), control 60 of 100 (60.0%), NNT 5.0.

risk of no viral clearance, 90.5% lower, RR 0.10, p < 0.001, treatment 2 of 100 (2.0%), control 21 of 100 (21.0%), NNT 5.3.

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1. Zhirnov et al., Favipiravir: the hidden threat of mutagenic action, Journal of microbiology, epidemiology and immunobiology, doi:10.36233/0372-9311-114.elpub.ru, doi.org.

2. Waters et al., Human genetic risk of treatment with antiviral nucleoside analog drugs that induce lethal mutagenesis: the special case of molnupiravir, Environmental and Molecular Mutagenesis, doi:10.1002/em.22471.wiley.com, doi.org.

3. Hadj Hassine et al., Lethal Mutagenesis of RNA Viruses and Approved Drugs with Antiviral Mutagenic Activity, Viruses, doi:10.3390/v14040841.mdpi.com, doi.org.

4. Shum, C., An investigational study into the drug-associated mutational signature in SARS-CoV-2 viruses, The University of Hong Kong, PhD Thesis, hub.hku.hk/handle/10722/344396.hku.hk.

5. Shiraki et al., Convenient screening of the reproductive toxicity of favipiravir and antiviral drugs in Caenorhabditis elegans, Heliyon, doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35331.sciencedirect.com, doi.org.

Pushkar et al., 5 Nov 2020, Randomized Controlled Trial, Russia, preprint, mean age 50.0, 1 author.

This Paper Favipiravir All

Late treatment
is less effective

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