Association between Average Vitamin D Levels and COVID-19 Mortality in 19 European Countries—A Population-Based Study

Ahmad et al., Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu15224818, Mar 2021 (preprint)

Vitamin D for COVID-19

8th treatment shown to reduce risk in October 2020, now with p < 0.0000000001 from 138 studies, recognized in 18 countries.

No treatment is 100% effective.
Protocols combine treatments.

Analysis of 19 European countries showing significantly lower mortality with higher vitamin D levels.
OutcomeImprovementEffect · pTreatmentControl
risk of death 20.6% lower · RR 0.79 · p = 0.01* 20.6% lowerRR 0.79p = 0.01* , >50nmol/L

Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates. * p < 0.05

Ahmad et al., 12 Mar 2021, multiple countries, peer-reviewed, 6 authors, study period 1 March, 2020 - 14 June, 2023. Contact: amar.ahmad@cancer.org.uk (corresponding author), nirmin.juber@nyu.edu, hman1e20@soton.ac.uk, christian.heumann@stat.uni-muenchen.de, raghib.ali@mrc-epid.cam.ac.uk, r.t.oliver@qmul.ac.uk.
Association between Average Vitamin D Levels and COVID-19 Mortality in 19 European Countries—A Population-Based Study
Amar S Ahmad, Nirmin F Juber, Heba Al-Naseri, Christian Heumann, Raghib Ali, Tim Oliver
Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu15224818
Early epidemic reports have linked low average 25(OH) vitamin D levels with increased COVID-19 mortality. However, there has been limited updated research on 25(OH) vitamin D and its impact on COVID-19 mortality. This study aimed to update the initial report studying the link between vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 mortality by using multi-country data in 19 European countries up to the middle of June 2023. COVID-19 data for 19 European countries included in this study were
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.3390/nu15224818", "ISSN": [ "2072-6643" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/nu15224818", "abstract": "<jats:p>Early epidemic reports have linked low average 25(OH) vitamin D levels with increased COVID-19 mortality. However, there has been limited updated research on 25(OH) vitamin D and its impact on COVID-19 mortality. This study aimed to update the initial report studying the link between vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 mortality by using multi-country data in 19 European countries up to the middle of June 2023. COVID-19 data for 19 European countries included in this study were downloaded from Our World in Data from 1 March 2020, to 14 June 2023, and were included in the statistical analysis. The 25(OH) vitamin D average data were collected by conducting a literature review. A generalized estimation equation model was used to model the data. Compared to European countries with 25(OH) vitamin D levels of ≤50 nmol/L, European countries with 25(OH) vitamin D average levels greater than &gt;50 nmol/L had lower COVID-19 mortality rates (RR = 0.794, 95% CI: 0.662–0.953). A statistically significant negative Spearman rank correlation was observed between 25(OH) vitamin D average levels and COVID-19 mortality. We also found significantly lower COVID-19 mortality rates in countries with high average 25(OH) vitamin D levels. Randomized trials on vitamin D supplementation are needed. In the meantime, the issue of vitamin D use should be debated in relation to the ongoing discussions of national post-COVID-19 resilience against future pandemics.</jats:p>", "alternative-id": [ "nu15224818" ], "author": [ { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Cancer Intelligence, Cancer Research UK, Oxford OX4 9GZ, UK" } ], "family": "Ahmad", "given": "Amar S.", "sequence": "first" }, { "ORCID": "http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7316-5530", "affiliation": [ { "name": "Public Health Research Center, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi P.O. 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