Glucose-lowering drugs and outcome from COVID-19 among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a population-wide analysis in Hong Kong

Luk et al., BMJ Open, doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052310, Oct 2021
Mortality 49% improvement lower risk ← → higher risk Ventilation 49% ICU admission 47% Metformin for COVID-19  Luk et al.  PROPHYLAXIS Is prophylaxis with metformin beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 991 patients in China (January 2020 - February 2021) Lower mortality (p=0.039) and ventilation (p=0.041) c19early.org Luk et al., BMJ Open, October 2021 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ RR
Metformin for COVID-19
3rd treatment shown to reduce risk in July 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 110 studies.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
6,400+ studies for 210+ treatments. c19early.org
Retrospective 1,220 hospitalized COVID-19 patients with type 2 diabetes in Hong Kong showing reduced risk of ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and death with metformin and DPP-4 inhibitors, but increased risk with insulin and sulphonylureas.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, China, is average with moderate efficacy for approved treatments1.
risk of death, 49.0% lower, HR 0.51, p = 0.04, treatment 737, control 254.
risk of mechanical ventilation, 49.0% lower, HR 0.51, p = 0.04, treatment 737, control 254.
risk of ICU admission, 47.0% lower, HR 0.53, p = 0.01, treatment 737, control 254.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Luk et al., 20 Oct 2021, retrospective, China, peer-reviewed, median age 65.3, 7 authors, study period January 2020 - February 2021. Contact: wonglaihung@cuhk.edu.hk.
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19 treatment protocols c19early.org February 2026 China United Kingdom USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Pakistan Peru Philippines Argentina Vietnam Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Mexico South Korea Ghana Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Bosnia-Herzegovina Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore Iceland New Zealand Mongolia Czechia Israel Trinidad and Tobago Hong Kong Belarus North Macedonia Qatar Panama Serbia CAR China favored low-cost treatments.The average efficacy of treatments was moderate.Low-cost treatments improve early treatment, andprovide complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19treatment protocols worldwide c19early.org February 2026 China United Kingdom USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Pakistan Peru Philippines Argentina Vietnam Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Mexico South Korea Ghana Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Togo Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore Iceland New Zealand Mongolia Czechia Israel Trinidad and Tobago Hong Kong Belarus North Macedonia Qatar Panama Serbia Syria China favored low-cost treatments.The average efficacy was moderate.Low-cost protocols improve early treatment,and add complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
Glucose-lowering drugs and outcome from COVID-19 among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a population-wide analysis in Hong Kong
Andrea On Yan Luk, Terry C F Yip, Xinge Zhang, Alice Pik Shan Kong, Vincent Wai-Sun Wong, Ronald Ching Wan Ma, Grace Lai-Hung Wong
BMJ Open, doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052310
Objectives To investigate the association between baseline use of glucose-lowering drugs and serious clinical outcome among patients with type 2 diabetes. Design Territory-wide retrospective cohort of confirmed cases of COVID-19 between January 2020 and February 2021. Setting All public health facilities in Hong Kong. Participants 1220 patients with diabetes who were admitted for confirmed COVID-19. Primary and secondary outcome measures Composite clinical endpoint of intensive care unit admission, requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation and/or inhospital death. Results In this cohort (median age 65.3 years, 54.3% men), 737 (60.4%) patients were treated with metformin, 385 (31.6%) with sulphonylureas, 199 (16.3%) with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors and 273 (22.4%) with insulin prior to admission. In multivariate Cox regression, use of metformin and DPP-4 inhibitors was associated with reduced incidence of the composite endpoint relative to non-use, with respective HRs of 0.51 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.77, p=0.001) and 0.46 (95% CI 0.29 to 0.71, p<0.001), adjusted for age, sex, diabetes duration, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), smoking, comorbidities and drugs. Use of sulphonylureas (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.24, p=0.022) and insulin (HR 6.34, 95% CI 3.72 to 10.78, p<0.001) were both associated with increased hazards of the composite endpoint. Conclusions Users of metformin and DPP-4 inhibitors had fewer adverse outcomes from COVID-19 compared with non-users, whereas insulin and sulphonylurea might predict a worse prognosis.
Competing interests AOYL has served as a member of advisory panel for Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim and Sanofi and received research support from Amgen, Asia Diabetes Foundation, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Lee's Pharmaceutical, MSD, Novo Nordisk, Roche, Sanofi, Sugardown, Takeda. TCFY has served as an advisory committee member and a speaker for Gilead Sciences. APSK has received research grants and/or speaker honoraria from Abbott, Astra Zeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli-Lilly, Merck Serono, Nestle, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer and Sanofi. VW-SW has served as an advisory committee member for 3V-BIO, AbbVie, Allergan, Boehringer Ingelheim, Echosens, Gilead Sciences, Intercept, Janssen, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Perspectum Diagnostics, Pfizer, TARGET-NASH and Terns; and a speaker for Bristol-Myers Squibb, Echosens, Gilead Sciences and Merck. He has also received a research grant from Gilead Sciences. RCWM has received research funding from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer and Tricida Inc. for carrying out clinical trials, and has received speaker honorarium or consultancy in advisory boards from AstraZeneca, Bayer and Boehringer Ingelheim. All proceeds have been donated to the Chinese University of Hong Kong to support diabetes research. GL-HW has served as an advisory committee member for Gilead Sciences and Janssen, as a speaker for Abbott, Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Echosens, Furui, Gilead Sciences, Janssen and Roche, and..
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052310", "ISSN": [ "2044-6055", "2044-6055" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052310", "abstract": "<jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Objectives</jats:title>\n <jats:p>To investigate the association between baseline use of glucose-lowering drugs and serious clinical outcome among patients with type 2 diabetes.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Design</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Territory-wide retrospective cohort of confirmed cases of COVID-19 between January 2020 and February 2021.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Setting</jats:title>\n <jats:p>All public health facilities in Hong Kong.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Participants</jats:title>\n <jats:p>1220 patients with diabetes who were admitted for confirmed COVID-19.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Primary and secondary outcome measures</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Composite clinical endpoint of intensive care unit admission, requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation and/or in-hospital death.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Results</jats:title>\n <jats:p>In this cohort (median age 65.3 years, 54.3% men), 737 (60.4%) patients were treated with metformin, 385 (31.6%) with sulphonylureas, 199 (16.3%) with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors and 273 (22.4%) with insulin prior to admission. 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Use of sulphonylureas (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.24, p=0.022) and insulin (HR 6.34, 95% CI 3.72 to 10.78, p&lt;0.001) were both associated with increased hazards of the composite endpoint.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Users of metformin and DPP-4 inhibitors had fewer adverse outcomes from COVID-19 compared with non-users, whereas insulin and sulphonylurea might predict a worse prognosis.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>", "accepted": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 10, 4 ] ] }, "alternative-id": [ "10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052310" ], "author": [ { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People’s Republic of China" }, { "name": "Hong Kong Institute of Diabetes and Obesity, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People’s Republic of China" } ], "family": "Luk", "given": "Andrea On Yan", 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Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 200,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. IMA and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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