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On the choice of Molnupiravir and Paxlovid as the only antivirals permitted for COVID-19 infection in Australia

Boretti, A., Clinical and Experimental Medicine, doi:10.1007/s10238-023-01010-7
Feb 2023  
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Letter to the editor discussing the choice of molnupiravir and paxlovid as the only approved COVID-19 antiviral therapies in Australia in 2022, despite other therapies showing higher efficacy and lower cost in clinical trials. The author questions why better performing therapies were prevented and notes that the government should follow the science in selecting therapies. The author also compares COVID-19 fatalities in the US, UAE, and worldwide average, suggesting the UAE had lower fatalities due to permitting antiviral therapies that were obstructed in the US and Australia.
Potential risks of molnupiravir include the creation of dangerous variants, and mutagenicity, carcinogenicity, teratogenicity, and embryotoxicity1-10. Multiple analyses have identified variants potentially created by molnupiravir11-15.
Reviews covering molnupiravir for COVID-19 include1-3,14,16-20.
Study covers paxlovid and molnupiravir.
Boretti et al., 8 Feb 2023, preprint, 1 author. Contact: a.a.boretti@gmail.com.
This PaperMolnupiravirAll
Abstract: Clinical and Experimental Medicine (2023) 23:4033–4034 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10238-023-01010-7 CORRESPONDENCE On the choice of Molnupiravir and Paxlovid as the only antivirals permitted for COVID‑19 infection in Australia Alberto Boretti1 Received: 14 January 2023 / Accepted: 23 January 2023 / Published online: 8 February 2023 © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 To the Editor, Australia has prohibited to use the of COVID-19 antiviral therapies which were prohibited in Europe and North America, despite countries permitting these therapies to achieve much lower fatalities due to COVID-19 infection. Then, in 2022, with COVID-19 starting to be downgraded in many jurisdictions to the normal flu, with about the same of flu fatalities, irrespective of vaccination status, Australia finally permitted two antiviral drugs, which are not the more effective, nor the cheaper in between those with trial information in the scientific literature, and only for selected categories (Fig. 1). The permitted oral treatment is Lagevrio (Molnupiravir) and Paxlovid (nirmatrelvir and ritonavir). According to the database of c19early.org [1], collecting all the published data of all the trials about COVID-19 therapies, currently (January 2023) 36 of 48 treatments analyzed show statistically significant efficacy or harm, defined as ≥ 10% decreased risk or > 0% increased risk from ≥ 3 studies. Paxlovid, listed since the second half of 2022, has delivered so far an improvement of 40% based on 20 studies including 26,783 patients. One treatment costs US$ 529. It is ranked no. 20 for efficacy in All studies (pooled effects, all stages). Molnupiravir, listed since the second half of 2021, has delivered so far an improvement of 20% based on 25 studies including 69,837 patients. One treatment costs US$ 707. It is ranked no. 41 for efficacy in All studies. Technically, at the time of approval in Australia [2], there was not Fig. 1  Timeline of introduction of COVID-19 therapies according to www.​c19ea​rly.​org [1]. Credit www.​c19ea​rly.​org * Alberto Boretti a.a.boretti@gmail.com 1 Johnsonville Road, Johnsonville, 6037 Wellington , New Zealand 13 Vol.:(0123456789) 4034 Clinical and Experimental Medicine (2023) 23:4033–4034 Fig. 2  Daily new COVID19 deaths per million people according to www.​ourwo​rldin​ data.​org [3]. Credit www.​ourwo​ rldin​data.​org enough data to support the use of Paxlovid. The Australian government signed a contract with Merck Sharp & Dohme’s (MSD) for the supply of Lagevrio, and with Pfizer for Paxlovid. The rank of c19study suffers from the time of the introduction of one therapy, as the initial COVID-19 virus was much less infectious but much more lethal than the latest variants, of much-reduced lethality but increased infectivity, as it was with the Spanish Flu, Fig. 2 [3]. The graph compares the fatalities in the United States and the United Arab Emirates with the world average. The United Arab Emirates permitted since the beginning of the pandemic the use of antiviral therapies which were otherwise obstructed in the United States and Australia, also in the early stages of infection [4, 5]. Therapies more recently introduced, such as Molnupiravir and especially Paxlovid, are advantaged vs. those introduced earlier. Why better performing therapies were and are prevented, and why this selection, is a scientific mystery. Should not the government follow science in the selection of..
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