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Antiviral effectiveness and survival correlation of azvudine and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in elderly severe patients with COVID-19: a retrospective real-world study

Wang et al., eClinicalMedicine, doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102468
Feb 2024  
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Mortality 20% Improvement Relative Risk Progression 3% Azvudine for COVID-19  Wang et al.  EARLY TREATMENT Is early treatment with azvudine beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 249 patients in China Lower mortality with azvudine (not stat. sig., p=0.44) c19early.org Wang et al., eClinicalMedicine, February 2024 Favorsazvudine Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Azvudine for COVID-19
44th treatment shown to reduce risk in July 2023, now with p = 0.0000034 from 27 studies.
Lower risk for mortality, progression, and viral clearance.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 112 treatments. c19early.org
Retrospective 249 elderly patients with severe COVID-19, 128 treated with azvudine, 66 treated with paxlovid, and 55 receiving neither treatment, showing no significant differences for Ct value changes, progression, or survival for either treatment. Early viral decline was faster with paxlovid, without statistical significance.
Study covers azvudine and paxlovid.
risk of death, 20.1% lower, HR 0.80, p = 0.44, treatment 128, control 55, adjusted per study, multivariable, Cox proportional hazards.
risk of progression, 3.0% lower, HR 0.97, p = 0.91, treatment 128, control 55, adjusted per study, ICU, mechanical ventilation, or death, multivariable, Cox proportional hazards.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Wang et al., 9 Feb 2024, retrospective, China, peer-reviewed, 47 authors.
This PaperAzvudineAll
Antiviral effectiveness and survival correlation of azvudine and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in elderly severe patients with COVID-19: a retrospective real-world study
Shuxia Wang, Jin Sun, Xin Zhang, Man Li, Bangguo Qin, Miao Liu, Nan Zhang, Shengshu Wang, Tingyu Zhou, Wei Zhang, Cong Ma, Xinli Deng, Yongyi Bai, Geping Qu, Lin Liu, Hui Shi, Bo Zhou, Ke Li, Bo Yang, Suxia Li, Fan Wang, Jinling Ma, Lu Zhang, Yajuan Wang, Li An, Wenhui Liu, Qing Chang, Ru Zhang, Xi Yin, Yang Yang, Qiangguo Ao, Qiang Ma, Shuangtong Yan, Haili Huang, Peng Song, Linggen Gao, Wenning Lu, Lining Xu, Li Lei, Keyu Wang, Qi Zhang, Qing Song, Zhijian Zhang, Xiangqun Fang, Yao He, Tianzhi Li, Ping Zhu
eClinicalMedicine, doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102468
Background Azvudine and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir are approved to treat mild-to-moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in adults with a high risk for progression to severe infection. We sought to compare the antiviral effectiveness and clinical outcomes of elderly severe patients with COVID-19 receiving these two antiviral agents. Methods In this observational study, we identified 249 elderly patients with severe COVID-19 infection who were admitted to the Second Medical Center of the People's Liberation Army General Hospital from December 2022 to January 2023, including 128 azvudine recipients, 66 nirmatrelvir/ritonavir recipients and 55 patients not received antiviral treatments. We compared the cycle threshold (Ct) value dynamic change of all three groups. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of disease progression, including all-cause death, intensive care unit admission, and initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation. The outcomes of all enrolled patients were followed up from the electronic medical record system. Kaplan-Meier and Cox risk proportional regression analyses were used to compare the clinical outcomes of all three groups. To more directly compare the effectiveness of the two antiviral drugs, we performed propensity-score matching between the two antiviral groups and compared antiviral efficacy and clinical outcomes in the matched population.
Appendix A. Supplementary data Supplementary data related to this article can be found at https://doi. org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102468.
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