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Assessment of outcomes following implementation of antiviral treatment guidelines for COVID-19 during the first wave in Thailand

Sawanpanyalert et al., Southeast Asian Journal of Tropical Medicine and Public Health, 52:4, Sep 2021
https://c19early.org/sawanpanyalerta.html
Death, ICU, intubation.. 68% improvement lower risk ← → higher risk Favipiravir  Sawanpanyalert et al.  EARLY TREATMENT Is early treatment with favipiravir beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective study in Thailand Lower progression with favipiravir (p=0.003) c19early.org Sawanpanyalert et al., Southeast Asian.., Sep 2021 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ RR
Retrospective 744 hospitalized patients in Thailand, showing lower risk of a poor outcome for favipiravir treatment within 4 days of symptom onset. Early treatment with CQ/HCQ and lopinavir/ritonavir or darunavir/ritonavir also showed lower risk, but without statistical significance. Sample sizes for the number of patients treated within 4 days of symptom onset are not provided.
Potential risks of favipiravir include kidney injury1-3, liver injury2-4, and mutagenicity, carcinogenicity, teratogenicity, embryotoxicity, and the creation of dangerous variants5-11.
Study covers favipiravir and HCQ.
risk of death, ICU, intubation, or high-flow oxygen, 68.0% lower, OR 0.32, p = 0.003, within 4 days of symptom onset, RR approximated with OR.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Sawanpanyalert et al., 9 Sep 2021, retrospective, Thailand, peer-reviewed, 11 authors.
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19 treatment protocols c19early.org November 2025 Thailand United Kingdom Russia USA Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Pakistan Argentina Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Bosnia-Herzegovina Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Sri Lanka Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore Iceland New Zealand Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago Hong Kong North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia CAR Chad Syria Thailand favored low-cost treatments.The average efficacy of treatments was high.Low-cost treatments improve early treatment, andprovide complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19treatment protocols worldwide c19early.org November 2025 Thailand United Kingdom Russia USA Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Pakistan Argentina Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore New Zealand Malawi Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia CAR Chad Syria Thailand favored low-cost treatments.The average efficacy was high.Low-cost protocols improve early treatment,and add complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
ASSESSEMENT OF OUTCOMES FOLLOWING IMPLEMENTATION OF ANTIVIRAL TREATMENT GUIDELINES FOR COVID-19 DURING THE FIRST WAVE IN THAILAND
Narumol Sawanpanyalert, Rujipas Sirijatuphat, Piamlarp Sangsayunh, Opass Putcharoen, Weerawat Manosuthi, Poj Intalapaporn, Nattawan Palavutitotai, Worawan Samritmanoporn, Nattapong Jitrungruengnij, Alan Maleesatharn
Thailand encountered its first coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak in March 2020 and the Thailand Ministry of Public Health rapidly developed COVID-19 treatment guidelines. In this study we aimed to describe the outcomes among patients treated following those initial guidelines and determine factors significantly associated with poor outcomes in order to inform efforts to improve COVID-19 treatment guidelines for Thailand. Nine hospitals in Bangkok submitted data from their COVID-19 patients using standardized case record forms. A poor outcome was defined as death, ICU admission, requiring intubation or requiring high-flow oxygen. Factors associated with these outcomes were assessed. A total of 744 patients (48.8% male) were included in the study. The median (interquartile range) age of study subjects was 37 (27-48) years; 8.4% were aged >60 years, 5.6% of subjects were obese and 16.5% had underlying conditions: obesity, immunocompromised status, diabetes, chronic conditions of lungs, kidneys, liver, cardiovascular or cerebrovascular systems or had an absolute lymphocyte count <1,000 cells/mm 3 . Among symptomatic patients, factors significantly independently associated with a poor outcome were: age >60 years (adjusted odds ratio (
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