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Epidemiology, outcomes, and utilization of intensive care unit resources for critically ill COVID-19 patients in Libya: A prospective multi-center cohort study

Elhadi et al., PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0251085
Apr 2021  
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Mortality 23% Improvement Relative Risk Vitamin D for COVID-19  Elhadi et al.  ICU PATIENTS Is very late treatment with vitamin D beneficial for COVID-19? Prospective study of 465 patients in Libya (May - December 2020) Lower mortality with vitamin D (not stat. sig., p=0.29) c19early.org Elhadi et al., PLOS ONE, April 2021 Favorsvitamin D Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Vitamin D for COVID-19
8th treatment shown to reduce risk in October 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 122 studies, recognized in 9 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 112 treatments. c19early.org
Prospective study of 465 COVID-19 ICU patients in Libya showing no significant differences with treatment.
Cholecalciferol was used in this study. Meta analysis shows that late stage treatment with calcitriol / calcifediol (or paricalcitol, alfacalcidol, etc.) is more effective than cholecalciferol: 69% [47‑82%] lower risk vs. 39% [27‑49%] lower risk. Cholecalciferol requires two hydroxylation steps to become activated - first in the liver to calcifediol, then in the kidney to calcitriol. Calcitriol, paricalcitol, and alfacalcidol are active vitamin D analogs that do not require conversion. This allows them to have more rapid onset of action compared to cholecalciferol. The time delay for cholecalciferol to increase serum calcifediol levels can be 2-3 days, and the delay for converting calcifediol to active calcitriol can be up to 7 days.
This is the 32nd of 122 COVID-19 controlled studies for vitamin D, which collectively show efficacy with p<0.0000000001 (1 in 587 sextillion).
30 studies are RCTs, which show efficacy with p=0.0000032.
This study is excluded in the after exclusion results of meta analysis: unadjusted results with no group details.
Study covers vitamin D, vitamin C, remdesivir, famotidine, and aspirin.
risk of death, 23.4% lower, RR 0.77, p = 0.29, treatment 7 of 15 (46.7%), control 274 of 450 (60.9%), NNT 7.0.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Elhadi et al., 30 Apr 2021, prospective, Libya, peer-reviewed, 21 authors, study period 29 May, 2020 - 30 December, 2020, dosage not specified.
This PaperVitamin DAll
Epidemiology, outcomes, and utilization of intensive care unit resources for critically ill COVID-19 patients in Libya: A prospective multi-center cohort study
Muhammed Elhadi, Ahmed Alsoufi, Abdurraouf Abusalama, Akram Alkaseek, Saedah Abdeewi, Mohammed Yahya, Alsnosy Mohammed, Mohammed Abdelkabir, Mohammed Huwaysh, Emad Amkhatirah, Kamel Alshorbaji, Samer Khel, Marwa Gamra, Abdulmueti Alhadi, Taha Abubaker, Mohamed Anaiba, Mohammed Elmugassabi, Muhannud Binnawara, Ala Khaled, Ahmed Zaid, Ahmed Msherghi
PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0251085
Background The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has severely affected African countries, specifically the countries, such as Libya, that are in constant conflict. Clinical and laboratory information, including mortality and associated risk factors in relation to hospital settings and available resources, about critically ill patients with COVID-19 in Africa is not available. This study aimed to determine the mortality and morbidity of COVID-19 patients in intensive care units (ICU) following 60 days after ICU admission, and explore the factors that influence in-ICU mortality rate. Methods This is a multicenter prospective observational study among COVID-19 critical care patients in 11 ICUs in Libya from May 29th to December 30th 2020. Basic demographic data, clinical characteristics, laboratory values, admission Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, quick SOFA, and clinical management were analyzed. Result We included 465 consecutive COVID-19 critically ill patients. The majority (67.1%) of the patients were older than 60 years, with a median (IQR) age of 69 (56.5-75); 240 (51.6%) were male. At 60 days of follow-up, 184 (39.6%) were discharged alive, while 281 (60.4%) died in the intensive care unit. The median (IQR) ICU length of stay was 7 days (4-10) and
Author Contributions Conceptualization: Muhammed Elhadi. Data curation:
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{ 'indexed': {'date-parts': [[2022, 3, 15]], 'date-time': '2022-03-15T14:49:02Z', 'timestamp': 1647355742105}, 'reference-count': 64, 'publisher': 'Public Library of Science (PLoS)', 'issue': '4', 'license': [ { 'start': { 'date-parts': [[2021, 4, 30]], 'date-time': '2021-04-30T00:00:00Z', 'timestamp': 1619740800000}, 'content-version': 'vor', 'delay-in-days': 0, 'URL': 'http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/'}], 'content-domain': {'domain': ['www.plosone.org'], 'crossmark-restriction': False}, 'short-container-title': ['PLoS ONE'], 'abstract': '<jats:sec id="sec001">\n' '<jats:title>Background</jats:title>\n' '<jats:p>The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has severely affected African countries, ' 'specifically the countries, such as Libya, that are in constant conflict. Clinical and ' 'laboratory information, including mortality and associated risk factors in relation to ' 'hospital settings and available resources, about critically ill patients with COVID-19 in ' 'Africa is not available. This study aimed to determine the mortality and morbidity of ' 'COVID-19 patients in intensive care units (ICU) following 60 days after ICU admission, and ' 'explore the factors that influence in‐ICU mortality rate.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>\n' '<jats:sec id="sec002">\n' '<jats:title>Methods</jats:title>\n' '<jats:p>This is a multicenter prospective observational study among COVID-19 critical care ' 'patients in 11 ICUs in Libya from May 29th to December 30th 2020. Basic demographic data, ' 'clinical characteristics, laboratory values, admission Sequential Organ Failure Assessment ' '(SOFA) score, quick SOFA, and clinical management were analyzed.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>\n' '<jats:sec id="sec003">\n' '<jats:title>Result</jats:title>\n' '<jats:p>We included 465 consecutive COVID-19 critically ill patients. The majority (67.1%) of ' 'the patients were older than 60 years, with a median (IQR) age of 69 (56.5–75); 240 (51.6%) ' 'were male. At 60 days of follow-up, 184 (39.6%) were discharged alive, while 281 (60.4%) died ' 'in the intensive care unit. The median (IQR) ICU length of stay was 7 days (4–10) and ' 'non-survivors had significantly shorter stay, 6 (3–10) days. The body mass index was 27.9 ' '(24.1–31.6) kg/m2. At admission to the intensive care unit, quick SOFA median (IQR) score was ' '1 (1–2), whereas total SOFA score was 6 (4–7). In univariate analysis, the following ' 'parameters were significantly associated with increased/decreased hazard of mortality: ' 'increased age, BMI, white cell count, neutrophils, procalcitonin, cardiac troponin, ' 'C-reactive protein, ferritin, fibrinogen, prothrombin, and d-dimer levels were associated ' 'with higher risk of mortality. Decreased lymphocytes, and platelet count were associated with ' 'higher risk of mortality. Quick SOFA and total SOFA scores increase, emergency intubation, ' 'inotrope use, stress myocardiopathy, acute kidney injury, arrythmia, and seizure were ' 'associated with higher mortality.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>\n' '<jats:sec id="sec004">\n' '<jats:title>Conclusion</jats:title>\n' '<jats:p>Our study reported the highest mortality rate (60.4%) among critically ill patients ' 'with COVID-19 60 days post-ICU admission. Several factors were found to be predictive of ' 'mortality, which may help to identify patients at risk of mortality during the ongoing ' 'COVID-19 pandemic.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>', 'DOI': '10.1371/journal.pone.0251085', 'type': 'journal-article', 'created': {'date-parts': [[2021, 4, 30]], 'date-time': '2021-04-30T17:44:06Z', 'timestamp': 1619804646000}, 'page': 'e0251085', 'update-policy': 'http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.corrections_policy', 'source': 'Crossref', 'is-referenced-by-count': 9, 'title': [ 'Epidemiology, outcomes, and utilization of intensive care unit resources for critically ill ' 'COVID-19 patients in Libya: A prospective multi-center cohort study'], 'prefix': '10.1371', 'volume': '16', 'author': [ { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6406-4212', 'authenticated-orcid': True, 'given': 'Muhammed', 'family': 'Elhadi', 'sequence': 'first', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Ahmed', 'family': 'Alsoufi', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 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Late treatment
is less effective
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