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Remdesivir treatment in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: a comparative analysis of in-hospital all-cause mortality in a large multi-center observational cohort

Mozaffari et al., Clinical Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1093/cid/ciab875
Oct 2021  
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Mortality, day 28 12% Improvement Relative Risk Mortality, day 14 24% Remdesivir  Mozaffari et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with remdesivir beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 57,710 patients in the USA Lower mortality with remdesivir (p=0.0032) c19early.org Mozaffari et al., Clinical Infectious .., Oct 2021 Favorsremdesivir Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Retrospective 28,855 remdesivir patients with PSM matched controls, showing lower mortality with treatment.
Gérard, Zhou, Wu, Kamo, Choi, Kim show significantly increased risk of acute kidney injury with remdesivir.
Remdesivir efficacy disappears with longer followup. Mixed-effects meta-regression of efficacy as a function of followup duration across all remdesivir studies shows decreasing efficacy with longer followup7. This may reflect antiviral efficacy being offset by serious adverse effects of treatment.
Followup duration (days) Efficacy Remdesivir mortality efficacy decreases with longer followup 0 15 30 45 60 75 90 105 -25% 0% 25% 50% c19early.org November 2024 mixed-effects meta-regression slope -0.58 [95% CI -0.92 to -0.24] p=0.00089
risk of death, 12.0% lower, HR 0.88, p = 0.003, treatment 4,441 of 28,855 (15.4%), control 5,499 of 28,855 (19.1%), NNT 27, adjusted per study, PSM, Cox proportional hazards, day 28.
risk of death, 24.0% lower, HR 0.76, p < 0.001, treatment 3,057 of 28,855 (10.6%), control 4,437 of 28,855 (15.4%), NNT 21, adjusted per study, PSM, Cox proportional hazards, day 14.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Mozaffari et al., 1 Oct 2021, retrospective, USA, peer-reviewed, 12 authors.
This PaperRemdesivirAll
Essy Mozaffari, Aastha Chandak, Zhiji Zhang, Shuting Liang, Mark Thrun, MD Robert L Gottlieb, Daniel R Kuritzkes, Paul E Sax, David A Wohl, Roman Casciano, Paul Hodgkins, Richard Haubrich
doi:10.1093/cid/ciab875/6378778
Background: Remdesivir (RDV) improved clinical outcomes among hospitalized COVID-19 patients in randomized trials, but data from clinical practice are limited. Methods: We examined survival outcomes for US patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between Aug-Nov 2020 and treated with RDV within two-days of hospitalization vs. those not receiving RDV during their hospitalization using the Premier Healthcare Database. Preferential within-hospital propensity score matching with replacement was used. Additionally, patients were also matched on baseline oxygenation level (no supplemental oxygen charges (NSO), low-flow oxygen (LFO), high-flow oxygen/non-invasive ventilation (HFO/NIV) and invasive mechanical ventilation/ECMO (IMV/ECMO) and two-month admission window and excluded if discharged within 3-days of admission (to exclude anticipated discharges/transfers within 72-hrs consistent with ACTT-1 study). Cox Proportional Hazards models were used to assess time to 14-/28-day mortality overall and for patients on NSO, LFO, HFO/NIV and IMV/ECMO. Results: 28,855 RDV patients were matched to 16,687 unique non-RDV patients. Overall, 10.6% and 15.4% RDV patients died within 14-and 28-days, respectively compared with 15.4% and 19.1% non-RDV patients. Overall, RDV was associated with a reduction in mortality at 14-days (HR[95% CI]: 0.76*0.70−0.83+) and 28-days (0.89*0.82−0.96+). This mortality benefit was also seen for NSO, LFO and IMV/ECMO at 14-days (NSO:0.69*0.57−0.83+, LFO:0.68*0.80−0.77+, IMV/ECMO:0.70*0.58−0.84+) and 28-days (NSO:0.80*0.68−0.94+, LFO:0.77*0.68−0.86+, IMV/ECMO:0.81*0.69−0.94+). Additionally, HFO/NIV RDV group had a lower risk of mortality at 14-days (0.81*0.70−0.93+) but no statistical significance at 28-days.
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Preferential within-hospital propensity score matching with replacement ' 'was used. Additionally, patients were also matched on baseline oxygenation level (no ' 'supplemental oxygen charges [NSO], low-flow oxygen [LFO], high-flow oxygen/noninvasive ' 'ventilation [HFO/NIV], and invasive mechanical ventilation/extracorporeal membrane ' 'oxygenation [IMV/ECMO]) and 2-month admission window and excluded if discharged within 3 days ' 'of admission (to exclude anticipated discharges/transfers within 72 hours, consistent with ' 'the Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial [ACTT-1] study). Cox proportional hazards models were ' 'used to assess time to 14-/28-day mortality overall and for patients on NSO, LFO, HFO/NIV, ' 'and IMV/ECMO.</jats:p>\n' ' </jats:sec>\n' ' <jats:sec>\n' ' <jats:title>Results</jats:title>\n' ' <jats:p>A total of 28855 RDV patients were matched to 16687 unique non-RDV ' 'patients. Overall, 10.6% and 15.4% RDV patients died within 14 and 28 days, respectively, ' 'compared with 15.4% and 19.1% non-RDV patients. Overall, RDV was associated with a reduction ' 'in mortality at 14 days (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.76 [0.70–0.83]) and 28 ' 'days (0.89 [0.82–0.96]). This mortality benefit was also seen for NSO, LFO, and IMV/ECMO at ' '14 days (NSO: 0.69 [0.57–0.83], LFO: 0.68 [0.80–0.77], IMV/ECMO: 0.70 [0.58–0.84]) and 28 ' 'days (NSO: 0.80 [0.68–0.94], LFO: 0.77 [0.68–0.86], IMV/ECMO: 0.81 [0.69–0.94]). ' 'Additionally, HFO/NIV RDV group had a lower risk of mortality at 14 days (0.81 [0.70–0.93]) ' 'but no statistical significance at 28 days.</jats:p>\n' ' </jats:sec>\n' ' <jats:sec>\n' ' <jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title>\n' ' <jats:p>RDV initiated upon hospital admission was associated with improved ' 'survival among patients with COVID-19. 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Late treatment
is less effective
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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