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Efficacy and Safety of LY3127804, an Anti-Angiopoietin-2 Antibody, in a Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial in Patients Hospitalized with Pneumonia and Presumed or Confirmed COVID-19

Jones et al., Clinical Medicine Insights: Circulatory, Respiratory and Pulmonary Medicine, doi:10.1177/11795484221119316, NCT04342897, Jan 2022
https://c19early.org/jones2.html
Mortality, day 60 -36% improvement lower risk ← → higher risk Mortality, day 28 -79% Death/intubation -70% Zansecimab  Jones et al.  LATE TREATMENT RCT Is late treatment with zansecimab beneficial for COVID-19? Double-blind RCT 95 patients in the USA (April - August 2020) Higher mortality (p=0.58) and death/intubation (p=0.28), not sig. c19early.org Jones et al., Clinical Medicine Insigh.., Jan 2022 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ RR
RCT 95 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia showing no significant differences with zansecimab (LY3127804, anti-Angiopoietin-2 antibody).
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, the USA, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments1. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved for early treatment. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of early treatment due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
risk of death, 36.2% higher, RR 1.36, p = 0.58, treatment 8 of 47 (17.0%), control 6 of 48 (12.5%), day 60.
risk of death, 78.7% higher, RR 1.79, p = 0.36, treatment 7 of 47 (14.9%), control 4 of 48 (8.3%), day 28.
risk of death/intubation, 70.2% higher, RR 1.70, p = 0.28, treatment 10 of 47 (21.3%), control 6 of 48 (12.5%), day 28.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Jones et al., 31 Jan 2022, Double Blind Randomized Controlled Trial, placebo-controlled, USA, peer-reviewed, mean age 54.9, 9 authors, study period 20 April, 2020 - 13 August, 2020, trial NCT04342897 (history). Contact: rschott@sangamo.com.
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19 treatment protocols c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Bosnia-Herzegovina Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore Iceland New Zealand Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago Hong Kong North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia CAR USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy of treatments was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment, andforgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19treatment protocols worldwide c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore New Zealand Malawi Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia Syria USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment,and forgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
Efficacy and Safety of LY3127804, an Anti-Angiopoietin-2 Antibody, in a Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial in Patients Hospitalized with Pneumonia and Presumed or Confirmed COVID-19
Rosie S Jones, Patricia S Smith, Paul H Berg, Amparo De La Peña, Paul P Cook, Imad Shawa, Kathleen M Kioussopoulos, Yu Hu, Robert J Schott
Clinical Medicine Insights: Circulatory, Respiratory and Pulmonary Medicine, doi:10.1177/11795484221119316
BACKGROUND: Severe cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are characterized by progressive respiratory failure and the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), with high mortality rates for patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Levels of the vascular growth factor Angiopoietin 2 (Ang2) in plasma have been strongly correlated with increased ARDS risk in patients with pneumonia or sepsis. The intent of this study was to determine whether LY3127804, an anti-Ang2 monoclonal antibody, could reduce the need for mechanical ventilation among patients admitted to the hospital with pneumonia and presumed or confirmed COVID-19. METHODS: Patients admitted to hospital with confirmed pneumonia, presumed or confirmed COVID-19, and infiltrates on chest imaging and/or oxygen saturation of ≤ 95% on room air were stratified by age group (< 65 years and ≥ 65 years), sex, and site and randomly assigned 1:1 within each stratum to receive either LY3127804 (20 mg/kg) or placebo on Day 1 and possibly on Day 15. The primary end point for this study was number of days in which a patient did not require a ventilator over the 28-day study period. RESULTS: Interim analysis assessed study futility after 95 randomized patients had 28-day data available and showed no benefit of LY3127804 in reducing the number of ventilator days over placebo. The study was subsequently terminated. CONCLUSION: LY3127804 treatment did not decrease the need for ventilator usage in patients hospitalized with pneumonia and presumed or confirmed COVID-19. CLINICALTRIALS.
Data Sharing Statement Lilly provides access to all individual participant data collected during the trial, after anonymization. Data are available to request 6 months after the indication studied has been approved in the US and EU and after primary publication acceptance, whichever is later. No expiration date of data requests is currently set once data are made available. Access is provided after a proposal has been approved by an independent review committee identified for this purpose and after receipt of a signed data sharing agreement. Data and documents, including the study protocol, statistical analysis plan, clinical study report, blank or annotated case report forms, will be provided in a secure data sharing environment. For details on submitting a request, see the instructions provided at www.vivli.org . ORCID iD Paul H. Berg https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8418-6815 Supplemental Material Supplemental material for this article is available online.
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1177/11795484221119316", "ISSN": [ "1179-5484", "1179-5484" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/11795484221119316", "abstract": "<jats:sec><jats:title>BACKGROUND</jats:title><jats:p> Severe cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are characterized by progressive respiratory failure and the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), with high mortality rates for patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Levels of the vascular growth factor Angiopoietin 2 (Ang2) in plasma have been strongly correlated with increased ARDS risk in patients with pneumonia or sepsis. The intent of this study was to determine whether LY3127804, an anti-Ang2 monoclonal antibody, could reduce the need for mechanical ventilation among patients admitted to the hospital with pneumonia and presumed or confirmed COVID-19. </jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>METHODS</jats:title><jats:p> Patients admitted to hospital with confirmed pneumonia, presumed or confirmed COVID-19, and infiltrates on chest imaging and/or oxygen saturation of ≤ 95% on room air were stratified by age group (&lt; 65 years and ≥ 65 years), sex, and site and randomly assigned 1:1 within each stratum to receive either LY3127804 (20 mg/kg) or placebo on Day 1 and possibly on Day 15. The primary end point for this study was number of days in which a patient did not require a ventilator over the 28-day study period. </jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>RESULTS</jats:title><jats:p> Interim analysis assessed study futility after 95 randomized patients had 28-day data available and showed no benefit of LY3127804 in reducing the number of ventilator days over placebo. The study was subsequently terminated. </jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>CONCLUSION</jats:title><jats:p> LY3127804 treatment did not decrease the need for ventilator usage in patients hospitalized with pneumonia and presumed or confirmed COVID-19. </jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>ClinicalTrials.gov identifier</jats:title><jats:p> NCT04342897 </jats:p></jats:sec>", "alternative-id": [ "10.1177/11795484221119316" ], "article-number": "11795484221119316", "author": [ { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "family": "Jones", "given": "Rosie S.", "sequence": "first" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "family": "Smith", "given": "Patricia S.", "sequence": "additional" }, { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8418-6815", "affiliation": [ { "name": "Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Berg", "given": "Paul H.", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "family": "de la Peña", "given": "Amparo", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "East Carolina University Brody School of Medicine, Greenville, NC, USA" } ], "family": "Cook", "given": "Paul P.", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Franciscan Alliance, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "family": "Shawa", "given": "Imad", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Franciscan Alliance, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "family": "Kioussopoulos", "given": "Kathleen M.", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "family": "Hu", "given": "Yu", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA" } ], "family": "Schott", "given": "Robert J.", "sequence": "additional" } ], "container-title": "Clinical Medicine Insights: Circulatory, Respiratory and Pulmonary Medicine", "container-title-short": "Clin Med Insights Circ Respir Pulm Med", "content-domain": { "crossmark-restriction": true, "domain": [ "journals.sagepub.com" ] }, "created": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 8, 11 ] ], "date-time": "2022-08-11T06:29:11Z", "timestamp": 1660199351000 }, "deposited": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 3, 1 ] ], "date-time": "2025-03-01T07:02:37Z", "timestamp": 1740812557000 }, "funder": [ { "DOI": "10.13039/100004312", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "id": [ { "asserted-by": "publisher", "id": "10.13039/100004312", "id-type": "DOI" } ], "name": "Eli Lilly and Company" } ], "indexed": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 11, 1 ] ], "date-time": "2025-11-01T13:57:00Z", "timestamp": 1762005420880, "version": "3.41.2" }, "is-referenced-by-count": 8, "issued": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1 ] ] }, "language": "en", "license": [ { "URL": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/", "content-version": "unspecified", "delay-in-days": 0, "start": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 1 ] ], "date-time": "2022-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timestamp": 1640995200000 } } ], "link": [ { "URL": "https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/11795484221119316", "content-type": "application/pdf", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "text-mining" }, { "URL": "https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full-xml/10.1177/11795484221119316", "content-type": "application/xml", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "text-mining" }, { "URL": "https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/11795484221119316", "content-type": "unspecified", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "similarity-checking" } ], "member": "179", "original-title": [], "prefix": "10.1177", "published": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1 ] ] }, "published-online": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 8, 10 ] ] }, "published-print": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1 ] ] }, "publisher": "SAGE Publications", "reference": [ { "DOI": "10.1056/NEJMoa2002032", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr1-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr2-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1001/jama.2020.1585", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr3-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1056/NEJMra1608077", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr4-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1101/2020.02.17.20024166", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr5-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1164/rccm.202003-0817LE", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr6-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1007/s00134-020-06033-2", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr7-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1001/jama.2020.6825", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr8-11795484221119316" }, { "DOI": "10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30304-0", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "bibr9-11795484221119316" }, { "key": "bibr10-11795484221119316", "unstructured": "WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard. 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Late treatment
is less effective
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