A Study of Brexanolone for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Due to COVID-19

Brown et al., NCT04537806, NCT04537806, Jul 2022
Mortality, day 40 -14% improvement lower risk ← → higher risk Mortality, day 28 -33% Respiratory failure or.. 0% Brexanolone  Brown et al.  VENTILATED PATIENTS  RCT Is late treatment with brexanolone beneficial for COVID-19? Double-blind RCT 29 patients in the USA No significant difference in outcomes seen c19early.org Brown et al., NCT04537806, July 2022 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ RR
RCT 28 ventilated patients, showing no significant difference with brexanolone treatment.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, the USA, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments1. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved for early treatment. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of early treatment due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments. This may explain in part the very high mortality seen in this study. Results may differ in countries with improved SOC.
risk of death, 14.3% higher, RR 1.14, p = 1.00, treatment 8 of 14 (57.1%), control 7 of 14 (50.0%), day 40.
risk of death, 33.3% higher, RR 1.33, p = 0.71, treatment 8 of 14 (57.1%), control 6 of 14 (42.9%), day 28.
respiratory failure or death, no change, RR 1.00, p = 1.00, treatment 10 of 14 (71.4%), control 10 of 14 (71.4%), day 28.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Brown et al., 27 Jul 2022, Double Blind Randomized Controlled Trial, placebo-controlled, USA, preprint, 1 author, trial NCT04537806 (history). Contact: info@sagerx.com.
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19 treatment protocols c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Bosnia-Herzegovina Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore Iceland New Zealand Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago Hong Kong North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia CAR USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy of treatments was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment, andforgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19treatment protocols worldwide c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore New Zealand Malawi Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia Syria USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment,and forgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
Late treatment
is less effective
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