Colchicine in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 (RECOVERY): a randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial
et al., The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00435-5, RECOVERY, NCT04381936, May 2021 (preprint)
Colchicine for COVID-19
5th treatment shown to reduce risk in
September 2020, now with p = 0.00000015 from 57 studies.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols
combine treatments.
6,300+ studies for
210+ treatments. c19early.org
|
RCT with 5,610 colchicine and 5,730 control patients showing mortality RR 1.01 [0.93-1.10]. Very late stage treatment, median 9 days after symptom onset, baseline 32% ventilation (5% invasive). ISRCTN 50189673. 6-month results are from Horby et al.
Dose frequency was halved for patients receiving a moderate CYP3A4 inhibitor, patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 30 mL/min per 1·73m², and those with an estimated bodyweight of less than 70kg.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country,
the United Kingdom, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments2.
The United Kingdom focused on expensive high-profit treatments, approving only one low-cost early treatment, which required a prescription and had limited adoption. The high-cost prescription treatment strategy reduces the probability of early treatment due to access and cost barriers, and eliminates complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
This may explain in part the very high mortality seen in this study.
Results may differ in countries with improved SOC.
This study is excluded in the after exclusion results of meta
analysis:
very late stage, 9 days since symptoms started, 32% baseline ventilation.
|
risk of death, 1.0% higher, RR 1.01, p = 0.85, treatment 1,394 of 5,610 (24.8%), control 1,408 of 5,730 (24.6%), day 180.
|
|
risk of death, 1.0% higher, RR 1.01, p = 0.77, treatment 1,173 of 5,610 (20.9%), control 1,190 of 5,730 (20.8%), day 28.
|
|
risk of mechanical ventilation, 18.0% higher, RR 1.18, p = 0.06, treatment 259 of 3,815 (6.8%), control 228 of 3,962 (5.8%).
|
|
risk of death/intubation, 2.0% higher, RR 1.02, p = 0.47, treatment 1,344 of 5,342 (25.2%), control 1,343 of 5,469 (24.6%).
|
|
risk of no hospital discharge, 2.0% higher, RR 1.02, p = 0.44, treatment 1,709 of 5,610 (30.5%), control 1,698 of 5,730 (29.6%), inverted to make RR<1 favor treatment.
|
| Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates |
Horby et al., 18 May 2021, Randomized Controlled Trial, United Kingdom, peer-reviewed, 35 authors, study period 27 November, 2020 - 4 March, 2021, average treatment delay 9.0 days, dosage 1.5mg day 1, 1mg days 2-10, dose for days 2-10 halved for certain patients, trial NCT04381936 (history) (RECOVERY).
Colchicine in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 (RECOVERY): a randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial
The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, doi:10.1016/s2213-2600(21)00435-5
Background Colchicine has been proposed as a treatment for COVID-19 based on its anti-inflammatory actions. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of colchicine in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19.
Methods In this streamlined, randomised, controlled, open-label trial, underway at 177 hospitals in the UK, two hospitals in Indonesia, and two hospitals in Nepal, several possible treatments were compared with usual care in patients hospitalised with COVID-19. Patients were eligible for inclusion in the study if they were admitted to hospital with clinically suspected or laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and had no medical history that might, in the opinion of the attending clinician, put the patient at significant risk if they were to participate in the trial. Eligible and consenting adults were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either usual standard of care alone (usual care group) or usual standard of care plus colchicine (colchicine group) using web-based simple (unstratified) randomisation with allocation concealment. Participants received colchicine 1 mg after randomisation followed by 500 µg 12 h later and then 500 µg twice a day by mouth or nasogastric tube for 10 days in total or until discharge. Dose frequency was halved for patients receiving a moderate CYP3A4 inhibitor (eg, diltiazem), patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 30 mL/min per 1•73m², and those with an estimated bodyweight of less than 70 kg. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, secondary endpoints included time to discharge, the proportion of patients discharged from hospital within 28 days, and, in patients not on invasive mechanical ventilation at randomisation, a composite endpoint of invasive mechanical ventilation or death. All analyses were by intention-to-treat. The trial is registered with ISRCTN, 50189673, and ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04381936.
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