Comparative associations of Anakinra and Tocilizumab initiation with in-hospital mortality in severe COVID-19: A single-center sequential cohort study

Avsar et al., PLOS One, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0357671, Sep 2026
Retrospective 241 COVID-19 ICU patients in Turkey showing no significant difference in mortality with anakinra or tocilizumab.
risk of death, 3.0% lower, RR 0.97, p = 0.83, treatment 34, control 221, adjusted per study, overall in-hospital mortality, tocilizumab vs. control/defer.
risk of death, 1.0% lower, RR 0.99, p = 0.93, treatment 34, control 221, adjusted per study, tocilizumab vs. control/defer, day 28.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Avsar et al., 2 Sep 2026, retrospective, Turkey, peer-reviewed, median age 65.0, 3 authors, study period 7 July, 2025 - 7 August, 2025. Contact: tuncaysahutoglu@hotmail.com, sanliurfamaieah@saglik.gov.tr.
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19 treatment protocols c19early.org October 2026 Turkey Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Myanmar South Africa Peru Philippines USA Brazil France Italy Canada Pakistan Spain Vietnam Japan Nepal Iran Bangladesh Ethiopia Ghana Germany Mexico South Korea United Kingdom Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Poland DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Egypt Nigeria Taiwan Fiji Zambia Bosnia-Herzegovina Dominican Republic Bolivia Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Togo Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Iceland New Zealand Trinidad and Tobago Mongolia Czechia Belarus Israel North Macedonia Hong Kong Qatar Panama Serbia Benin CAR Chad Turkey favored low-cost treatments.The average efficacy of treatments was moderate.Low-cost treatments improve early treatment, andprovide complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19treatment protocols worldwide c19early.org October 2026 Turkey Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Myanmar South Africa Peru Philippines USA Brazil France Italy Canada Pakistan Spain Vietnam Japan Iran Bangladesh Ethiopia Ghana Germany Mexico South Korea United Kingdom Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Poland Venezuela DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Egypt Nigeria Taiwan Fiji Zambia Dominican Rep. Bolivia Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Togo Sri Lanka Bulgaria Greece Slovakia New Zealand Trinidad and Tobago Mongolia Czechia Belarus Israel North Macedonia Hong Kong Qatar Panama Serbia CAR Chad Turkey favored low-cost treatments.The average efficacy was moderate.Low-cost protocols improve early treatment,and add complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
Abstract: Citation: Avsar FN, Kılıcaslan N, Sahutoglu T (2026) Comparative associations of Anakinra and Tocilizumab initiation with in-hospital mortality in severe COVID-19: A single-center sequential cohort study. PLoS One 21(9): e0357671. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal. pone.0357671 Editor: Benjamin M. Liu, Children's National Hospital, George Washington University, UNITED STATES OF AMERICA Received: June 18, 2026 Accepted: August 19, 2026 Published: September 2, 2026 Copyright: © 2026 Avsar et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Data availability statement : The data cannot be shared publicly because they derive from confidential hospital records and contain potentially identifying and sensitive patient information. Requests for a minimal de-identified RESEARCH ARTICLE Comparative associations of Anakinra and Tocilizumab initiation with in-hospital mortality in severe COVID-19: A single-center sequential cohort study Fevzi Necati Avsar 1 , Nihat Kılıcaslan 2 , Tuncay Sahutoglu 3 * 1 Department of Internal Medicine, Sanliurfa Mehmet Akif Inan Training and Research Hospital, University of Health Sciences, Türkiye, 2 Department of Radiology, Sanliurfa Mehmet Akif Inan Training and Research Hospital, University of Health Sciences, Türkiye, 3 Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Sanliurfa Mehmet Akif Inan Training and Research Hospital, University of Health Sciences, Türkiye [* tuncaysahutoglu@hotmail.com](mailto:tuncaysahutoglu@hotmail.com) Abstract Background Interleukin-1 and interleukin-6 blockade have been widely used in severe COVID-19, but comparative real-world evidence regarding anakinra and tocilizumab in critically ill patients remains limited. We evaluated the associations of first initiation of anakinra or tocilizumab with 28-day and overall in-hospital mortality. Methods This single-center retrospective ICU cohort included adults with severe COVID-19. During hospital days 2-10, daily actions were classified as anakinra initiation, tocilizumab initiation, or control/defer. Calibrated overlap-weighted modified-Poisson models estimated associations with 28-day and overall in-hospital mortality; ferritin-adjusted sensitivity analyses were performed. Results Of 306 patients, 241 patients contributed 1,297 eligible person-days. Calibration met the prespecified balance criterion for the included covariates, although effective support for tocilizumab initiation remained limited. For 28-day in-hospital mortality, adjusted RRs versus control/defer were 0.99 (95% CI, 0.80-1.22) for anakinra and 0.99 (95% CI, 0.71-1.37) for tocilizumab. No clear associations were identified in the head-to-head comparison or for overall in-hospital mortality; ferritin-adjusted estimates were similar. dataset should be sent to the Mehmet Akif Inan Training and Research Hospital Administration at sanliurfamaieah@saglik.gov.tr and copied to the corresponding author at tuncaysahutoglu@ hotmail.com, who will coordinate the access process. Access is subject to institutional approval and any required data-use agreement. Funding: The author(s) received no specific funding for this work. Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. Conclusions In this retrospective ICU cohort, neither..
DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1371/journal.pone.0357671", "ISSN": [ "1932-6203" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0357671", "abstract": "<jats:sec id=\"sec001\">\n <jats:title>Background</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Interleukin-1 and interleukin-6 blockade have been widely used in severe COVID-19, but comparative real-world evidence regarding anakinra and tocilizumab in critically ill patients remains limited. We evaluated the associations of first initiation of anakinra or tocilizumab with 28-day and overall in-hospital mortality.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec id=\"sec002\">\n <jats:title>Methods</jats:title>\n <jats:p>This single-center retrospective ICU cohort included adults with severe COVID-19. During hospital days 2–10, daily actions were classified as anakinra initiation, tocilizumab initiation, or control/defer. Calibrated overlap-weighted modified-Poisson models estimated associations with 28-day and overall in-hospital mortality; ferritin-adjusted sensitivity analyses were performed.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec id=\"sec003\">\n <jats:title>Results</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Of 306 patients, 241 patients contributed 1,297 eligible person-days. Calibration met the prespecified balance criterion for the included covariates, although effective support for tocilizumab initiation remained limited. For 28-day in-hospital mortality, adjusted RRs versus control/defer were 0.99 (95% CI, 0.80–1.22) for anakinra and 0.99 (95% CI, 0.71–1.37) for tocilizumab. No clear associations were identified in the head-to-head comparison or for overall in-hospital mortality; ferritin-adjusted estimates were similar.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec id=\"sec004\">\n <jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title>\n <jats:p>In this retrospective ICU cohort, neither anakinra nor tocilizumab initiation showed a clear association with 28-day or overall in-hospital mortality. Estimates were imprecise, particularly for tocilizumab, and remain susceptible to residual confounding.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>", "author": [ { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5131-6983", "affiliation": [ { "department": [ "Department of Internal Medicine" ], "name": "Sanliurfa Mehmet Akif Inan Training and Research Hospital, University of Health Sciences", "place": [ "Türkiye" ] } ], "authenticated-orcid": true, "family": "Avsar", "given": "Fevzi Necati", "role": [ { "role": "author", "vocabulary": "crossref" } ], "sequence": "first" }, { "affiliation": [ { "department": [ "Department of Radiology" ], "name": "Sanliurfa Mehmet Akif Inan Training and Research Hospital, University of Health Sciences", "place": [ "Türkiye" ] } ], "family": "Kılıcaslan", "given": "Nihat", "role": [ { "role": "author", "vocabulary": "crossref" } ], "sequence": "additional" }, { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2015-4421", "affiliation": [ { "department": [ "Division of Nephrology, Department of 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Late treatment
is less effective
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