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The Association Between Proton Pump Inhibitors and COVID-19 is Confounded by Hyperglycemia in a Population-Based Study

Shafrir et al., Frontiers in Pharmacology, doi:10.3389/fphar.2022.791074
Feb 2022  
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Severe case -47% Improvement Relative Risk Severe case (b) -16% Case 8% Case (b) 5% Proton Pump Inhibitors  Shafrir et al.  Prophylaxis Is prophylaxis with proton pump inhibitors beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 250,655 patients in Israel (March - November 2020) Higher severe cases with proton pump inhibitors (not stat. sig., p=0.32) c19early.org Shafrir et al., Frontiers in Pharmacol.., Feb 2022 FavorsPPIs Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
PPIs for COVID-19
1st treatment shown to increase risk in September 2020, now with p = 0.00000012 from 39 studies.
5,100+ studies for 112 treatments. c19early.org
Retrospective 255,355 adults in Israel showing no significant association between proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use and SARS-CoV-2 positivity or COVID-19 severity.
risk of severe case, 46.7% higher, RR 1.47, p = 0.32, treatment 22 of 655 (3.4%), control 15 of 655 (2.3%), propensity score matching.
risk of severe case, 15.7% higher, RR 1.16, p = 0.28, treatment 113 of 1,608 (7.0%), control 797 of 42,789 (1.9%), adjusted per study, odds ratio converted to relative risk, multivariable.
risk of case, 7.9% lower, RR 0.92, p = 0.06, treatment 880 of 6,835 (12.9%), control 956 of 6,835 (14.0%), NNT 90, propensity score matching.
risk of case, 4.8% lower, RR 0.95, p = 0.10, adjusted per study, odds ratio converted to relative risk, multivariable.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Shafrir et al., 4 Feb 2022, retrospective, Israel, peer-reviewed, 9 authors, study period March 2020 - November 2020. Contact: klior@hadassah.org.il.
This PaperPPIsAll
The Association Between Proton Pump Inhibitors and COVID-19 is Confounded by Hyperglycemia in a Population-Based Study
Asher Shafrir, Ariel A Benson, Lior H Katz, Tiberiu Hershcovici, Menachem Bitan, Ora Paltiel, Ronit Calderon-Margalit, Rifaat Safadi, Michal Shauly-Aharonov
Frontiers in Pharmacology, doi:10.3389/fphar.2022.791074
Background and Aims: There is conflicting evidence regarding the association between proton pump inhibitors (PPI) and the risk of acquisition and severity of acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Aim: To evaluate the association between PPI exposure and infection and development of severe disease in patients infected with SARS-CoV2in a large population-based historical cohort. Methods: Data were extracted from a health maintenance organization database in Israel that insures over 1,200,000 individuals from across the country. All patients who underwent SARS-CoV-2 testing between March and November 2020 were included. Logistic regression and matched analyses were used to compare patients prescribed and exposed to PPIs to those not prescribed PPIs regarding SARS-CoV-2 positivity. In addition, among SARS-CoV-2 positive patients (n = 44,397) the likelihood of developing severe disease, defined by a composite endpoint of death, ICU admission and prolonged hospitalization, was compared in those exposed and not exposed to PPIs. Results: Among 255,355 adult patients who underwent SARS-CoV-2 testing by PCR, 44,397 (17.4%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 and 12,066 (4.7%) patients were prescribed PPIs in the 3 months before testing. In a multivariable logistic regression model controlling for age, gender, smoking status, BMI, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, COPD, history of ischemic heart disease and fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels, no significant association was found between PPIs and SARS-CoV-2 positivity (p = 0.09 aOR 0.94, 95% CI -0.88-1.01). Among SARS-CoV-2 positive patients, 910 (2%) had a severe infection. Multivariate logistic regression controlling for the abovementioned confounders, showed no such association between PPIs and severe COVID-19 (p = 0.28). Elevated FBG levels were significantly associated with both PPI exposure (p < 0.001) and severe COVID-19 infection (p < 0.001). These results were reinforced by a matched analysis (n = 655 pairs).
ETHICS STATEMENT The studies involving human participants were reviewed and approved by Meuhedet HMO IRB 02-24-08-20. Written informed consent for participation was not required for this study in accordance with the national legislation and the institutional requirements. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS AS-conceptualization, data curation and analysis, writing and drafting, editing. AB-study design, conceptualization, data collection, data analysis, methodology, writing and drafting, editing, supervision. THdata analysis, investigation, methodology, editing. MB-data collection, data analysis, editing. OP-data analysis, methodology, editing. RC-M-data analysis, methodology, editing. LK-data analysis, investigation, methodology, editing, supervision. RS-data analysis, investigation, methodology, editing. MS-A-conceptualization, data curation and analysis, writing and drafting, editing. SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2022.791074/ full#supplementary-material Conflict of Interest: Authors AS and MB were employed by the company Meuhedet Health Medical Organization. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. Publisher's Note: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their..
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All patients who underwent SARS-CoV-2 testing between March and November ' '2020 were included. Logistic regression and matched analyses were used to compare patients ' 'prescribed and exposed to PPIs to those not prescribed PPIs regarding SARS-CoV-2 positivity. ' 'In addition, among SARS-CoV-2 positive patients (n = 44,397) the likelihood of developing ' 'severe disease, defined by a composite endpoint of death, ICU admission and prolonged ' 'hospitalization, was compared in those exposed and not exposed to ' 'PPIs.</jats:p><jats:p><jats:bold>Results:</jats:bold> Among 255,355 adult patients who ' 'underwent SARS-CoV-2 testing by PCR, 44,397 (17.4%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 and 12,066 ' '(4.7%) patients were prescribed PPIs in the 3\xa0months before testing. In a multivariable ' 'logistic regression model controlling for age, gender, smoking status, BMI, diabetes ' 'mellitus, hypertension, COPD, history of ischemic heart disease and fasting blood glucose ' '(FBG) levels, no significant association was found between PPIs and SARS-CoV-2 positivity ' '(<jats:italic>p</jats:italic> = 0.09 aOR 0.94, 95% CI – 0.88–1.01). Among SARS-CoV-2 positive ' 'patients, 910 (2%) had a severe infection. Multivariate logistic regression controlling for ' 'the abovementioned confounders, showed no such association between PPIs and severe COVID-19 ' '(<jats:italic>p</jats:italic> = 0.28). Elevated FBG levels were significantly associated with ' 'both PPI exposure (<jats:italic>p</jats:italic> &amp;lt; 0.001) and severe COVID-19 infection ' '(<jats:italic>p</jats:italic> &amp;lt; 0.001). These results were reinforced by a matched ' 'analysis (n = 655 pairs).</jats:p><jats:p><jats:bold>Conclusion:</jats:bold> PPIs are ' 'spuriously associated with severe COVID-19 due to the presence of elevated FBG as a ' 'confounder. Our study accounted for the FBG levels of patients and known risk factors for ' 'severe COVID-19 infection, which may be the reason for the discrepancy in prior studies. 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Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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