Late onset infectious complications and safety of tocilizumab in the management of COVID‐19

Pettit et al., Journal of Medical Virology, doi:10.1002/jmv.26429, Aug 2020
Mortality -71% improvement lower risk ← → higher risk Tocilizumab  Pettit et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with tocilizumab beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 148 patients in the USA (March - April 2020) Higher mortality with tocilizumab (not stat. sig., p=0.05) c19early.org Pettit et al., J. Medical Virology, Aug 2020 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ RR
Retrospective 74 hospitalized COVID-19 patients treated with tocilizumab and 74 matched controls, showing higher mortality with tocilizumab.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, the USA, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments1. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved for early treatment. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of early treatment due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments. This may explain in part the very high mortality seen in this study. Results may differ in countries with improved SOC.
risk of death, 70.6% higher, RR 1.71, p = 0.05, treatment 29 of 74 (39.2%), control 17 of 74 (23.0%).
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Pettit et al., 21 Aug 2020, retrospective, USA, peer-reviewed, 7 authors, study period 1 March, 2020 - 25 April, 2020.
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19 treatment protocols c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Bosnia-Herzegovina Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore Iceland New Zealand Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago Hong Kong North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia CAR USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy of treatments was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment, andforgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19treatment protocols worldwide c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore New Zealand Malawi Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia Syria USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment,and forgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1002/jmv.26429", "ISSN": [ "0146-6615", "1096-9071" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jmv.26429", "abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Background</jats:title><jats:p>Tocilizumab (TCZ) has been used in the management of COVID‐19‐related cytokine release syndrome (CRS). Concerns exist regarding the risk of infections and drug‐related toxicities. We sought to evaluate the incidence of these TCZ complications among COVID‐19 patients.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods</jats:title><jats:p>All adult inpatients with COVID‐19 between 1 March and 25 April 2020 that received TCZ were included. We compared the rate of late‐onset infections (&gt;48 hours following admission) to a control group matched according to intensive care unit admission and mechanical ventilation requirement. Post‐TCZ toxicities evaluated included: elevated liver function tests (LFTs), GI perforation, diverticulitis, neutropenia, hypertension, allergic reactions, and infusion‐related reactions.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results</jats:title><jats:p>Seventy‐four patients were included in each group. Seventeen infections in the TCZ group (23%) and 6 (8%) infections in the control group occurred &gt;48 hours after admission (<jats:italic>P</jats:italic> = .013). Most infections were bacterial with pneumonia being the most common manifestation. Among patients receiving TCZ, LFT elevations were observed in 51%, neutropenia in 1.4%, and hypertension in 8%. The mortality rate among those that received TCZ was greater than the control (39% versus 23%, <jats:italic>P</jats:italic> = .03).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusion</jats:title><jats:p>Late onset infections were significantly more common among those receiving TCZ. Combining infections and TCZ‐related toxicities, 61% of patients had a possible post‐TCZ complication. While awaiting clinical trial results to establish the efficacy of TCZ for COVID‐19 related CRS, the potential for infections and TCZ related toxicities should be carefully weighed when considering use.</jats:p></jats:sec>", "alternative-id": [ "10.1002/jmv.26429" ], "assertion": [ { "group": { "label": "Publication History", "name": "publication_history" }, "label": "Received", "name": "received", "order": 0, "value": "2020-06-30" }, { "group": { "label": "Publication History", "name": "publication_history" }, "label": "Accepted", "name": "accepted", "order": 1, "value": "2020-08-10" }, { "group": { "label": "Publication History", "name": "publication_history" }, "label": "Published", "name": "published", "order": 2, "value": "2020-08-21" } ], "author": [ { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8937-8039", "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Pharmacy University of Chicago Medicine Chicago Illinois" } ], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Pettit", "given": "Natasha N.", "sequence": "first" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Pharmacy University of Chicago Medicine Chicago Illinois" } ], "family": "Nguyen", "given": "Cynthia T.", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, Section of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine University of Chicago Medicine Chicago Illinois" } ], "family": "Mutlu", "given": "Gökhan M.", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, Section of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine University of Chicago Medicine Chicago Illinois" } ], "family": "Wu", "given": "David", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, Section of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine University of Chicago Medicine Chicago Illinois" } ], "family": "Kimmig", "given": "Lucas", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases and Global Health University of Chicago Medicine 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Late treatment
is less effective
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