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Dietary glycemic index, glycemic load, and risk of COVID-19: a prospective cohort study

Shamshirgardi et al., Journal of Health, Population and Nutrition, doi:10.1186/s41043-025-00958-4, Jun 2025
https://c19early.org/shamshirgardi.html
Case, GI, T1 vs. T3 84% Improvement Relative Risk Diet for COVID-19  Shamshirgardi et al.  Prophylaxis Is a healthy diet beneficial for COVID-19? Prospective study of 2,201 patients in Iran (Feb 2020 - Feb 2021) Fewer cases with healthier diets (p<0.000001) c19early.org Shamshirgardi et al., J. Health, Popul.., Jun 2025 Favorshealthy diet Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Diet for COVID-19
26th treatment shown to reduce risk in June 2021, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 31 studies, recognized in 4 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,800+ studies for 172 treatments. c19early.org
Prospective cohort study of 3,319 participants showing higher risk of COVID-19 infection associated with higher dietary glycemic index (GI) and glycemic load (GL). Authors suggest that diets with high GI/GL may increase COVID-19 susceptibility through mechanisms involving insulin resistance, inflammation, and impaired immunity. Limitations include potential dietary changes during the pandemic not captured by baseline assessment.
risk of case, 84.5% lower, OR 0.16, p < 0.001, higher quality diet 1,093, lower quality diet 1,108, adjusted per study, inverted to make OR<1 favor higher quality diet, GI, tertile 1 vs. tertile 3, multivariable, RR approximated with OR.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Shamshirgardi et al., 17 Jun 2025, prospective, Iran, peer-reviewed, mean age 40.9, 8 authors, study period February 2020 - February 2021. Contact: m_akbarzadeh@sums.ac.ir.
Dietary glycemic index, glycemic load, and risk of COVID-19: a prospective cohort study
Seyed Elahe Shamshirgardi, Seyed Jalil Masoumi, Asma Kazemi, Mehran Nouri, Zeynab Shahsavani, Cain C T Clark, Mehrdad Behzadi, Marzieh Akbarzadeh
Journal of Health, Population and Nutrition, doi:10.1186/s41043-025-00958-4
Background Considering the associations of insulin resistance and glycemic control with immunity, the present study sought to evaluate the association between dietary glycemic index (GI) and glycemic load (GL), as the main dietary determinants of these conditions, with the risk of COVID-19 infection in the participants of Shiraz University of Medical Sciences employees' health cohort. Methods In this prospective study, data from 3319 cohort study participants were analyzed. Demographic, anthropometric and dietary intake data were collected at the time of recruitment. Dietary GI and GL were calculated based on the data from the food frequency questionnaire. In the follow-ups, data on COVID-19 infection were recorded. To investigate the associations between dietary GI and GL with COVID-19, Cox regression statistics were used. Analysis of variance was used to compare the rate of COVID-19 infection in the tertiles of GI and GL. Results The mean age of the participants was 40.92 ± 6.99 years. Of these, 210 cases with COVID-19 were recorded. The hazard ratios of COVID-19 infection in the second and third tertile of the GI were 3.44 (95% CI = 2.13-5.55) and 6.45 (95% CI = 4.11-10.12) times greater than in the first tertile, respectively. Also, this risk ratio in the second and third tertile of the GL was 8.78 (95% CI = 4.62-16.69) and 54.04 (95% CI = 27.18-107.46) times more than in the first tertile. Conclusions The present study showed a higher risk of COVID-19 infection in higher tertiles of dietary GI and GL.
Abbreviations Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at https:// doi. org/ 10. 1186/ s41043-025-00958-4 . Additional file 1. Author contributions Declarations Ethics approval and consent of participate This prospective cohort study was performed on data from Shiraz University of Medical Sciences employees' health cohort study (SUMS EHCS). At the beginning of the data collection related to SUMS EHCS, in order to the use of unidentifiable data in different studies, informed consent was obtained from all subjects and/or their legal guardian(s). Besides, the protocol of the present Publisher's Note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1186/s41043-025-00958-4", "ISSN": [ "2072-1315" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41043-025-00958-4", "alternative-id": [ "958" ], "article-number": "203", "assertion": [ { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Received", "name": "received", "order": 1, "value": "21 January 2025" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Accepted", "name": "accepted", "order": 2, "value": "28 May 2025" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "First Online", "name": "first_online", "order": 3, "value": "17 June 2025" }, { "group": { "label": "Declarations", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 1 }, { "group": { "label": "Ethics approval and consent of participate", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 2, "value": "This prospective cohort study was performed on data from Shiraz University of Medical Sciences employees’ health cohort study (SUMS EHCS). At the beginning of the data collection related to SUMS EHCS, in order to the use of unidentifiable data in different studies, informed consent was obtained from all subjects and/or their legal guardian(s). Besides, the protocol of the present study was approved by the Medical Research Ethics Committee of Shiraz University of medical sciences (No: IR.SUMS.REC.1400.304). Also, we confirm that all experiments were performed in accordance with Declaration of Helsinki." }, { "group": { "label": "Consent for publication", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 3, "value": "It is not applicable to our study." }, { "group": { "label": "Competing interests", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 4, "value": "Elahe Shamshirgardi, Seyed Jalil Masoumi, Asma Kazemi, Mehran Nouri, Zeynab Shahsavani, Cain C. T. Clark, Mehrdad Behzadi, Marzieh Akbarzadeh declare that there are no conflicts of interest." } ], "author": [ { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7991-6932", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Shamshirgardi", "given": "Elahe", "sequence": "first" }, { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6712-6802", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Masoumi", "given": "Seyed Jalil", "sequence": "additional" }, { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-0078", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Kazemi", "given": "Asma", "sequence": "additional" }, { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7031-3542", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Nouri", "given": "Mehran", "sequence": "additional" }, { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6194-5305", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Shahsavani", "given": "Zeynab", "sequence": "additional" }, { "ORCID": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6610-4617", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Clark", "given": "Cain C. 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