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Oral nirmatrelvir-ritonavir for COVID-19 in higher risk outpatients

Richards et al., New England Journal of Medicine, CanTreatCOVID, Sep 2025
https://c19early.org/richards2.html
Death/hospitalization 52% improvement lower risk ← → higher risk Paxlovid  CanTreatCOVID  EARLY TREATMENT RCT Is early treatment with paxlovid beneficial for COVID-19? RCT 667 patients in the United Kingdom (December 2021 - September 2024) Lower death/hosp. with paxlovid (not stat. sig., p=0.39) c19early.org Richards et al., New England J. Medicine, Sep 2025 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ RR
Abstract for hidden CanTreatCOVID results showing the hospitalization/death results only.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, the United Kingdom, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments1. The United Kingdom focused on expensive high-profit treatments, approving only one low-cost early treatment, which required a prescription and had limited adoption. The high-cost prescription treatment strategy reduces the probability of early treatment due to access and cost barriers, and eliminates complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
risk of death/hospitalization, 51.7% lower, RR 0.48, p = 0.39, treatment 2 of 343 (0.6%), control 4 of 324 (1.2%), NNT 153, odds ratio converted to relative risk, day 28.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Richards et al., 12 Sep 2025, Randomized Controlled Trial, United Kingdom, peer-reviewed, 1 author, study period 8 December, 2021 - 30 September, 2024, CanTreatCOVID trial.
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 200,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. IMA and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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