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Impact of treatment of COVID-19 with sotrovimab on post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC): an analysis of National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) data

Drysdale et al., Infection, doi:10.1007/s15010-025-02505-z
Mar 2025  
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PASC 4% Improvement Relative Risk PASC, ATT 8% Sotrovimab  Drysdale et al.  EARLY TREATMENT Is early treatment with sotrovimab beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 629,172 patients in the USA (May 2021 - April 2022) Lower PASC with sotrovimab (p=0.0021) c19early.org Drysdale et al., Infection, March 2025 Favorssotrovimab Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Sotrovimab for COVID-19
40th treatment shown to reduce risk in August 2022, now with p = 0.00067 from 28 studies, recognized in 42 countries. Efficacy is variant dependent.
Lower risk for mortality, ICU, and hospitalization.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,500+ studies for 118 treatments. c19early.org
N3C retrospective 9,504 sotrovimab-treated high-risk COVID-19 patients versus 619,668 untreated high-risk controls showing reduced risk of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) with treatment.
Confounding by treatment propensity. This study analyzes a population where only a fraction of eligible patients received the treatment. Patients receiving treatment may be more likely to follow other recommendations, more likely to receive additional care, and more likely to use additional treatments that are not tracked in the data (e.g., nasal/oral hygiene1,2, vitamin D3, etc.) — either because the physician recommending sotrovimab also recommended them, or because the patient seeking out sotrovimab is more likely to be familiar with the efficacy of additional treatments and more likely to take the time to use them. Therefore, these kind of studies may overestimate the efficacy of treatments.
ATT weighting failed to adjust for "healthcare encounters during acute ­phase before index", with the weighted sample still having 2.75x mean encounters for the treatment group, where patients are likely to also receive advice for beneficial non-prescription treatments.
Efficacy is variant dependent. In Vitro studies predict lower efficacy for BA.14-6, BA.4, BA.57, XBB.1.9.3, XBB.1.5.24, XBB.2.9, CH.1.18, and no efficacy for BA.29, XBB, XBB.1.5, ХВВ.1.9.110, XBB.1.16, BQ.1.1.45, and CL.18. US EUA has been revoked.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, the USA, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments11. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of treatment—especially early—due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
risk of PASC, 4.0% lower, HR 0.96, p = 0.002, adjusted per study, multivariable, Cox proportional hazards, RR approximated with OR.
risk of PASC, 8.0% lower, OR 0.92, p < 0.001, treatment 9,504, control 9,523, ATT, RR approximated with OR.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Drysdale et al., 22 Mar 2025, retrospective, USA, peer-reviewed, 12 authors, study period 26 May, 2021 - 5 April, 2022. Contact: myriam.g.drysdale@gsk.com.
This PaperSotrovimabAll
Impact of treatment of COVID-19 with sotrovimab on post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC): an analysis of National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) data
Myriam Drysdale, Rose Chang, Tracy Guo, Mei Sheng Duh, Jennifer Han, Helen Birch, Catherine Sharpe, Daisy Liu, Sarah Kalia, Melissa Van Dyke, Maral Dersarkissian, Iain A Gillespie
Infection, doi:10.1007/s15010-025-02505-z
Purpose To assess the impact of early sotrovimab treatment versus no treatment on the risk of developing post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC; long COVID) in patients (age ≥ 12 years) with COVID-19 at high risk for progression to severe disease. Methods Retrospective cohort study using the US National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) data. Phase 1 identified and assessed multiple definitions of PASC; Phase 2 evaluated the effectiveness of sotrovimab for reducing the risk of PASC, utilizing definitions from Phase 1. Average treatment effect in the treated (ATT)-weighted Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compare time to event for PASC between high-risk patients who received sotrovimab treatment between May 26, 2021 and April 5, 2022, and high-risk patients with COVID-19 diagnosed between May 26, 2021 and March 26, 2022 who did not receive any treatment for COVID-19 during the acute phase or any pre-exposure prophylaxis against SARS-CoV-2. Results A total of 9,504 sotrovimab-treated and 619,668 untreated patients were included in the main analysis. Most baseline characteristics were balanced between the two cohorts after ATT weighting. The doubly robust ATT-weighted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) was 0.92 (0.89-0.96) (p < 0.001), indicating that sotrovimab use was associated with a significantly lower risk of PASC. Results remained consistent in sensitivity analyses. Conclusion In patients at high risk for severe COVID-19, the benefits of early sotrovimab treatment may extend beyond the acute phase of COVID-19 and contribute to the prevention of PASC symptoms.
Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at https:// doi . org/ 10. 1007/ s15010-025-02505-z. Author contributions All authors made a significant contribution to the work reported, whether that was in the conception, study design, execution, acquisition of data, analysis and interpretation, or in all these areas; took part in drafting, revising, or critically reviewing the manuscript; gave final approval of the version to be published; have agreed on the journal to which the article has been submitted; and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work. Declarations Conflict of interest MD, JH, HB, CS, MVD, and IAG are employed by and hold financial equities in GSK. RC, TG, MSD, DL, SK, and MDS are employees of Analysis Group; Analysis Group received funding from GSK to conduct the study. Disclaimer: This article was prepared while SK was an employee of Analysis Group. The opinions expressed in this article are her own and do not reflect the view of the National Institutes of Health, the Department of Health and Human Services, or the United States government. Ethical approval and consent to participate This study complies with all applicable laws regarding subject privacy. No direct subject contact or primary collection of individual human subject data occurred. Study results were in tabular form and aggregate analyses that omit subject identification, therefore informed consent, ethics committee or Institutional Review..
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1007/s15010-025-02505-z", "ISSN": [ "0300-8126", "1439-0973" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s15010-025-02505-z", "abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Purpose</jats:title>\n <jats:p>To assess the impact of early sotrovimab treatment versus no treatment on the risk of developing post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC; long COVID) in patients (age ≥ 12 years) with COVID-19 at high risk for progression to severe disease.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Methods</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Retrospective cohort study using the US National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) data. Phase 1 identified and assessed multiple definitions of PASC; Phase 2 evaluated the effectiveness of sotrovimab for reducing the risk of PASC, utilizing definitions from Phase 1. Average treatment effect in the treated (ATT)-weighted Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compare time to event for PASC between high-risk patients who received sotrovimab treatment between May 26, 2021 and April 5, 2022, and high-risk patients with COVID-19 diagnosed between May 26, 2021 and March 26, 2022 who did not receive any treatment for COVID-19 during the acute phase or any pre-exposure prophylaxis against SARS-CoV-2.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Results</jats:title>\n <jats:p>A total of 9,504 sotrovimab-treated and 619,668 untreated patients were included in the main analysis. Most baseline characteristics were balanced between the two cohorts after ATT weighting. The doubly robust ATT-weighted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) was 0.92 (0.89–0.96) (<jats:italic>p</jats:italic> &lt; 0.001), indicating that sotrovimab use was associated with a significantly lower risk of PASC. Results remained consistent in sensitivity analyses.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Conclusion</jats:title>\n <jats:p>In patients at high risk for severe COVID-19, the benefits of early sotrovimab treatment may extend beyond the acute phase of COVID-19 and contribute to the prevention of PASC symptoms.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>", "alternative-id": [ "2505" ], "assertion": [ { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Received", "name": "received", "order": 1, "value": "24 July 2024" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Accepted", "name": "accepted", "order": 2, "value": "1 March 2025" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "First Online", "name": "first_online", "order": 3, "value": "22 March 2025" }, { "group": { "label": "Declarations", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 1 }, { "group": { "label": "Conflict of interest", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 2, "value": "MD, JH, HB, CS, MVD, and IAG are employed by and hold financial equities in GSK. RC, TG, MSD, DL, SK, and MDS are employees of Analysis Group; Analysis Group received funding from GSK to conduct the study. Disclaimer: This article was prepared while SK was an employee of Analysis Group. The opinions expressed in this article are her own and do not reflect the view of the National Institutes of Health, the Department of Health and Human Services, or the United States government." }, { "group": { "label": "Ethical approval and consent to participate", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 3, "value": "This study complies with all applicable laws regarding subject privacy. No direct subject contact or primary collection of individual human subject data occurred. Study results were in tabular form and aggregate analyses that omit subject identification, therefore informed consent, ethics committee or Institutional Review Board (IRB) approval was not required. However, use of the N3C Limited Dataset requires IRB review. 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