7 nafamostat COVID-19 controlled studies, 5 RCTs
33% improvement
for early treatment, RR
0.67
[0.50-0.89]
Supplementary Data — Nafamostat reduces COVID-19 risk: real-time meta analysis of 7 studies
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
2+
Okugawa (RCT)
33%
0.67 [0.50-0.89]
viral load
19 (n)
10 (n)
Improvement, RR [CI]
Treatment
Control
Okugawa (RCT)
60%
0.40 [0.19-0.83]
viral load
19 (n)
10 (n)
Zhuravel (RCT)
76%
0.24 [0.03-2.08]
death
1/52
4/50
Zhuravel (RCT)
42%
0.58 [0.23-1.47]
no improv.
6/52
10/50
Zhuravel (RCT)
42%
0.58 [0.23-1.47]
no recov.
6/52
10/50
Zhuravel (RCT)
41%
0.59 [0.32-1.09]
no recov.
52 (n)
50 (n)
Inokuchi
-27%
1.27 [0.61-2.64]
death
121 (n)
15,738 (n)
DEFINE
Quinn (RCT)
0%
1.00 [0.23-4.40]
death
3/21
3/21
DEFINE
Quinn (RCT)
-48%
1.48 [0.81-2.69]
hosp. time
21 (n)
21 (n)
Soma
80%
0.20 [0.01-4.11]
death
0/31
2/33
Soma
-6%
1.06 [0.51-2.20]
severe case
10/31
10/33
RACONA
Seccia (DB RCT)
67%
0.33 [0.02-7.02]
death
0/7
1/7
RACONA
Seccia (DB RCT)
20%
0.80 [0.36-1.77]
no recov.
4/7
5/7
ASCOT
Morpeth (RCT)
55%
0.45 [0.14-1.42]
ventilation
4/82
8/73
ASCOT
Morpeth (RCT)
57%
0.43 [0.13-1.29]
progression
4/82
8/73
ASCOT
Morpeth (RCT)
28%
0.72 [0.36-1.45]
no recov.
82 (n)
73 (n)
Nafamostat COVID-19 outcomes
c19 early .org
December 2025
Favors nafamostat
Favors control
Fig. S2. Comparison of results for RCTs versus observational studies.
For COVID-19 treatments, there is no significant difference between the results of RCTs and observational studies. Observational studies do not systematically over or underestimate efficacy. For high-cost treatments, there is a non-significant trend towards RCTs showing greater efficacy.
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