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A Randomized Trial of Nafamostat for Covid-19

Morpeth et al., NEJM Evidence, doi:10.1056/EVIDoa2300132, ASCOT, NCT04483960, Oct 2023
Ventilation 55% Improvement Relative Risk Progression, death, ventila.. 57% Recovery, WHO scale 28% Nafamostat  ASCOT  LATE TREATMENT  RCT Is late treatment with nafamostat beneficial for COVID-19? RCT 155 patients in multiple countries (May 2021 - August 2022) Lower ventilation (p=0.23) and progression (p=0.14), not sig. c19early.org Morpeth et al., NEJM Evidence, October 2023 Favorsnafamostat Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
RCT 160 hospitalized non-critically ill COVID-19 patients showing a 93% posterior probability that nafamostat reduced the odds of death or receipt of ventilatory or vasopressor support by day 28 compared to usual care. Nafamostat, a TMPRSS2 inhibitor with potent in vitro antiviral activity against SARS-CoV-2, was administered as a continuous intravenous infusion for up to 7 days. The trial was conducted across 21 hospitals in Australia, New Zealand, and Nepal. Despite promising results, the trial was stopped early due to slowing recruitment, low event rates, and funding constraints, limiting definitive conclusions. Authors note that the posterior probability of effectiveness was higher among those with earlier disease onset, but lower during the Omicron era when variants were less dependent on the TMPRSS2 pathway.
Study covers TMPRSS2 inhibitors and nafamostat.
risk of mechanical ventilation, 55.5% lower, RR 0.45, p = 0.23, treatment 4 of 82 (4.9%), control 8 of 73 (11.0%), NNT 16, day 28.
risk of progression, 57.2% lower, RR 0.43, p = 0.14, treatment 4 of 82 (4.9%), control 8 of 73 (11.0%), NNT 16, odds ratio converted to relative risk, day 28.
risk of no recovery, 28.0% lower, OR 0.72, p = 0.36, treatment 82, control 73, WHO scale, day 28, RR approximated with OR.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Morpeth et al., 24 Oct 2023, Randomized Controlled Trial, multiple countries, peer-reviewed, 64 authors, study period 17 May, 2021 - 12 August, 2022, death$c$ ventilation$c$ or vasopressor support,ADJ, trial NCT04483960 (history) (ASCOT). Contact: steven.tong@unimelb.edu.au.
A Randomized Trial of Nafamostat for Covid-19
Ph.D Susan C Morpeth, M.D Balasubramanian Venkatesh, James A Totterdell, Ph.D Grace M Mcphee, Ph.D Robert K Mahar, Mark Jones, Methma Bandara, Lauren A Barina, M.D Bhupendra K Basnet, Ph.D Asha C Bowen, M.B.B.S Andrew J Burke, M.D Belinda Cochrane, Ph.D Justin T Denholm, M.D Ashesh Dhungana, Ph.D Gregory J Dore, M.B.B.S Ravindra Dotel, B.Pharm Eamon Duffy, Ph.D Jack Dummer, M.B.B.S Hong Foo, M.B.B.S Timothy L Gilbey, Ph.D Naomi E Hammond, M.D Bernard J Hudson, M.D Vivekanand Jha, M.D Purnima R Jevaji, M.D Oommen John, B.H.M.S Rajesh Joshi, Ph.D Gagandeep Kang, M.I.S Baldeep Kaur, Ph.D Seungtaek Kim, M.D Santa Kumar Das, Ph.D Jillian S Y Lau, Ph.D Roberta Littleford, Ph.D Julie A Marsh, Ph.D Ian C Marschner, M.D Gail Matthews, Ph.D Michael J Maze, M.B.Ch.B Colin J Mcarthur, M.B.B.S James D Mcfadyen, Ph.D James H Mcmahon, Ph.D Zoe K Mcquilten, M.B.B.S James Molton, M.Sc Jocelyn M Mora, M.Sc Vijaybabu Mudaliar, Vi Nguyen, Matthew V N O’sullivan, Suman Pant, Jaha E Park, M.B.B.S David L Paterson, Ph.D David J Price, M.B.Ch.B Nigel Raymond, Ph.D Megan A Rees, M.D James O Robinson, Ph.D Benjamin A Rogers, Ph.D Wang-Shick Ryu, Ph.D Joe Sasadeusz, M.Sc Omar Shum, Ph.D Thomas L Snelling, Christine Sommerville, Grad.Dip.C Nanette A Trask, Ph.D Sharon R Lewin, Thomas E Hills, Ph.D Joshua S Davis, Ph.D Jason A Roberts, Ph.D Steven Y C Tong
NEJM Evidence, doi:10.1056/evidoa2300132
BACKGROUND Nafamostat mesylate is a potent in vitro antiviral agent that inhibits the host transmembrane protease serine 2 enzyme used by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 for cell entry. METHODS This open-label, pragmatic, randomized clinical trial in Australia, New Zealand, and Nepal included noncritically ill hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19). Participants were randomly assigned to usual care or usual care plus nafamostat. The primary end point was death (any cause) or receipt of new invasive or noninvasive ventilation or vasopressor support within 28 days after randomization. Analysis was with a Bayesian logistic model in which an adjusted odds ratio <1.0 indicates improved outcomes with nafamostat. Enrollment was closed due to falling numbers of eligible patients. RESULTS We screened 647 patients in 21 hospitals (15 in Australia, 4 in New Zealand, and 2 in Nepal) and enrolled 160 participants from May 2021 to August 2022. In the intention-to-treat population, the primary end point occurred in 8 (11%) of 73 patients with usual care and 4 (5%) of 82 with nafamostat. The median adjusted odds ratio for the primary end point for nafamostat was 0.40 (95% credible interval, 0.12 to 1.34) with a posterior probability of effectiveness (adjusted odds ratio <1.0) of 93%. For usual care
The funding bodies had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; or decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Author disclosures and other supplementary materials are available at evidence.nejm.org. The data-sharing statement is provided in the Supplementary Appendix. cine, Nîmes University Hospital at The University of Montpellier, Nîmes, France
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1056/evidoa2300132", "ISSN": [ "2766-5526" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/EVIDoa2300132", "alternative-id": [ "10.1056/EVIDoa2300132" ], "author": [ { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Middlemore Hospital, Te Whatu Ora Counties Makukau, Auckland, New Zealand" }, { "name": "Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand" } ], "family": "Morpeth", "given": "Susan C.", "sequence": "first" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Intensive Care Medicine, The University of Queensland at Princess Alexandra Hospital, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia" }, { "name": "Department of Intensive Care Medicine, The University of Queensland at The Wesley Hospital, Toowong, QLD, Australia" }, { "name": "The George Institute for Global Health, Newtown, NSW, Australia" } ], "family": "Venkatesh", "given": "Balasubramanian", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Faculty 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Late treatment
is less effective
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