The role of ivermectin in the prevention and treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
et al., BMC Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1186/s12879-026-13195-9, PROSPERO CRD42024543441, Mar 2026
Ivermectin for COVID-19
4th treatment shown to reduce risk in
August 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 106 studies, recognized in 24 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols
combine treatments.
6,600+ studies for
220+ treatments. c19early.org
|
Meta-analysis with multiple critical uncorrected issues, for example including a study that was retracted for data integrity issues several years earlier1; having many missing studies2-7; using unadjusted results instead of adjusted results8; incorrect numbers for Krolewiecki et al. in Figure 5 - authors claim 6 mechanical ventilation events in the treatment group but there was only 1; incorrect number of patients for Ravikirti et al. (42 should be 57 for placebo); primary endpoints were significantly altered between the PROSPERO registration and final publication without disclosure; incorrect risk of bias analysis, e.g., claiming Reis et al. is low-risk of bias when the study actually has multiple impossible numbers, randomization failure, blinding was broken (even externally), has multiple protocol violations, refuses to release the data despite pledging to, etc.; Figure 4 shows identical data for Hiroshige and Mohan; considering only cases and not symptomatic status, e.g., Seet et al.; Hiroshige and Mikamo in eFigures 4/7 appear to be the same trial with different results; there are multiple typos/incorrect names, e.g. Shoumann, Taweegrit, Reiis, Ananda, Carolyn; the literature search date is a year after the submission date suggesting a later major revision without documentation and with no revised date; the calculation for the kappa statistic notes an observed consistency of Po = 22/25 - suggesting only 25 studies were assessed for inter-rater reliability, but no explanation is provided for why the remaining 15 studies were excluded from this quality control step.
7 meta-analyses show significant improvements with ivermectin for mortality13-18,
hospitalization19,
recovery15, and
cases15.
Currently there are 106 ivermectin for COVID-19 studies, showing 47% lower mortality [34‑58%], 35% lower ventilation [17‑50%], 40% lower ICU admission [12‑58%], 34% lower hospitalization [21‑44%], and 79% fewer cases [69‑86%].
1.
Elshafie et al., RETRACTED: Ivermectin Role in COVID-19 Treatment (IRICT): single center, adaptive, randomized, double-blind, placebo controlled, clinical trial, Expert Review of Anti-infective Therapy, doi:10.1080/14787210.2022.2098113.
2.
Desort-Henin et al., The SAIVE Trial, Post-Exposure use of ivermectin in Covid-19 prevention: Efficacy and Safety Results, ECCMID 2023 (results released 1/5/2023), www.medincell.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Poster-SAIVE-April2023-OK3.pdf.
3.
Wagstaff et al., A Pilot, Randomised, Placebo-Controlled, Double-Blind Trial of a Single Oral Dose of Ivermectin for Post-Exposure Prophylaxis of SARS-CoV-2, Pharmaceutics, doi:10.3390/pharmaceutics17091205.
4.
Mahmud et al., Ivermectin in combination with doxycycline for treating COVID-19 symptoms: a randomized trial, Journal of International Medical Research, doi:10.5061/dryad.qjq2bvqf6.
5.
Hashim et al., Controlled randomized clinical trial on using Ivermectin with doxycycline for treating COVID-19 patients in Baghdad, Iraq, Iraqi Journal of Medical Science, 19:1, www.iraqijms.net/upload/pdf/iraqijms60db8b76d3b1e.pdf.
6.
Ochoa-Jaramillo et al., Clinical efficacy and safety of ivermectin (400 μg/kg, single dose) in patients with severe COVID-19: a randomized clinical trial, Revista Infectio, doi:10.22354/24223794.1105.
7.
Hashmi et al., Ivermectin for patients admitted to an ICU with COVID-19: REMAP-CAP randomized controlled trial, Critical Care Medicine, doi:10.1097/CCM.0000000000007134.
8.
Shouman et al., Use of Ivermectin as a Potential Chemoprophylaxis for COVID-19 in Egypt: A Randomised Clinical Trial, Journal of Clinical and Diagnostic Research, doi:10.7860/JCDR/2021/46795.14529.
9.
Krolewiecki et al., Antiviral effect of high-dose ivermectin in adults with COVID-19: A proof-of-concept randomized trial, eClinicalMedicine, doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100959.
10.
Ravikirti et al., Ivermectin as a potential treatment for mild to moderate COVID-19: A double blind randomized placebo-controlled trial, Journal of Pharmacy & Pharmaceutical Sciences, doi:10.18433/jpps32105.
11.
Reis et al., Effect of Early Treatment with Ivermectin among Patients with Covid-19, New England Journal of Medicine, doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2115869.
12.
Seet et al., Positive impact of oral hydroxychloroquine and povidone-iodine throat spray for COVID-19 prophylaxis: an open-label randomized trial, International Journal of Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2021.04.035.
13.
Bryant et al., Ivermectin for Prevention and Treatment of COVID-19 Infection: A Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, and Trial Sequential Analysis to Inform Clinical Guidelines, American Journal of Therapeutics, doi:10.1097/MJT.0000000000001402.
14.
Hariyanto et al., Ivermectin and outcomes from Covid-19 pneumonia: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trial studies, Reviews In Medical Virology, doi:10.1002/rmv.2265.
15.
Kory et al., Review of the Emerging Evidence Demonstrating the Efficacy of Ivermectin in the Prophylaxis and Treatment of COVID-19, American Journal of Therapeutics, doi:10.1097/MJT.0000000000001377.
16.
Lawrie et al., Ivermectin reduces the risk of death from COVID-19 – a rapid review and meta-analysis in support of the recommendation of the Front Line COVID-19 Critical Care Alliance, Preprint, b3d2650e-e929-4448-a527-4eeb59304c7f.filesusr.com/ugd/593c4f_8cb655bd21b1448ba6cf1f4c59f0d73d.pdf.
17.
Nardelli et al., Crying wolf in time of Corona: the strange case of ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine. Is the fear of failure withholding potential life-saving treatment from clinical use?, Signa Vitae, doi:10.22514/sv.2021.043.
Wang et al., 31 Mar 2026, China, peer-reviewed, 8 authors, trial PROSPERO CRD42024543441.
Contact: gaoshuguang0341@csu.edu.cn.
Abstract: ## The Role of Ivermectin in the Prevention and Treatment of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials
Xuanyu Wang 1,2# , Jiahao Meng 1,3# , Yinghui Li 4 , Yuqing Xiang 1,2 , Yumei Wu 1 , Yilin Xiong 1,3,5 , Pan Liu 1 , Shuguang Gao 1,3,5,6* 1 Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410008, Hunan, China 2 Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, 410008, Hunan, China 3 Key Laboratory of Aging-related Bone and Joint Diseases Prevention and Treatment, Ministry of Education, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China. 4 Central South University of Forestry and Technology, Changsha, 410004, Hunan, China 5 National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases (Xiangya Hospital), Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China. 6 Department of Sports Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China. #Contributed equally. * Corresponding Author: Shuguang Gao, MD, Department of Orthopaedics, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, 410008, Hunan, China ARTIC/E IN PRESS
[(gaoshuguang0341@csu.edu.cn).](mailto:gaoshuguang0341@csu.edu.cn)
Abstract
Background
Ivermectin, as a potential drug for the treatment of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, remains controversial regarding its efficacy and safety. This study aims to systematically evaluate the therapeutic and preventive effect of ivermectin in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Methods A comprehensive literature search was conducted on October 11, 2025, to include randomized controlled trials (RCTs) assessing ivermectin for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The primary outcome measures were mortality rate and adverse event rate for hospitalized patients and outpatient patients, while secondary outcomes included hospitalization time and recovery time. Given the anticipated clinical and methodological heterogeneity across the included RCTs (e.g., variations in ivermectin dosage, study population characteristics, trial implementation time and SARS-CoV2 variants), a random-effects model was used for the meta-analysis ARTIC/E IN PRESS
to obtain a robust synthesis of heterogeneous study results and reliable estimation of pooled effect sizes.
Results
A total of 40 RCTs involving 23243 participants were included. Among them, 4 studies evaluated the preventive effect of ivermectin on SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the other 36 studies evaluated the therapeutic effect of ivermectin in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. For prevention, there was no statistically significant difference between the ivermectin group and control group in SARSCoV-2 infection rate [risk ratio (RR) 0.37; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.12 to 1.20]. For treatment, all-cause mortality for both hospitalized patients (RR 0.94; 95%CI 0.74 to 1.20) and outpatients (RR 0.88; 95%CI 0.55 to 1.42) showed no statistically significant difference. Adverse events for hospitalized patients (RR 1.02; 95%CI 0.76 to 1.37) and outpatients (RR 0.96; 95%CI 0.82 to 1.13) also showed no statistically significant difference. ARTIC/E IN PRESS
Conclusions
This meta-analysis provides evidence that ivermectin does not statistically significantly reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection or improve clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Further..
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"abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Background</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Ivermectin, as a potential drug for the treatment of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, remains controversial regarding its efficacy and safety. This study aims to systematically evaluate the therapeutic and preventive effect of ivermectin in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Methods</jats:title>\n <jats:p>A comprehensive literature search was conducted on October 11, 2025, to include randomized controlled trials (RCTs) assessing ivermectin for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The primary outcome measures were mortality rate and adverse event rate for hospitalized patients and outpatient patients, while secondary outcomes included hospitalization time and recovery time. Given the anticipated clinical and methodological heterogeneity across the included RCTs (e.g., variations in ivermectin dosage, study population characteristics, trial implementation time and SARS-CoV-2 variants), a random-effects model was used for the meta-analysis to obtain a robust synthesis of heterogeneous study results and reliable estimation of pooled effect sizes.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Results</jats:title>\n <jats:p>A total of 40 RCTs involving 23,243 participants were included. Among them, 4 studies evaluated the preventive effect of ivermectin on SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the other 36 studies evaluated the therapeutic effect of ivermectin in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. For prevention, there was no statistically significant difference between the ivermectin group and control group in SARS-CoV-2 infection rate [risk ratio (RR) 0.37; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.12 to 1.20]. For treatment, all-cause mortality for both hospitalized patients (RR 0.94; 95%CI 0.74 to 1.20) and outpatients (RR 0.88; 95%CI 0.55 to 1.42) showed no statistically significant difference. Adverse events for hospitalized patients (RR 1.02; 95%CI 0.76 to 1.37) and outpatients (RR 0.96; 95%CI 0.82 to 1.13) also showed no statistically significant difference.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title>\n <jats:p>This meta-analysis provides evidence that ivermectin does not statistically significantly reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection or improve clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Further high-quality trials are needed to clarify the potential benefits of ivermectin.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Clinical trial number</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Not applicable.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>",
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