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Clinical efficacy of casirivimab and imdevimab in preventing COVID-19 in the Omicron BA.5 subvariant epidemic: a retrospective study

Ohtani et al., Research Square, doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-6582593/v1, May 2025
https://c19early.org/ohtani.html
Case 88% Improvement Relative Risk Casirivimab/i..  Ohtani et al.  Prophylaxis Does casirivimab/imdevimab reduce COVID-19 infections? Retrospective 52 patients in Japan (October - December 2022) Fewer cases with casirivimab/imdevimab (p=0.019) c19early.org Ohtani et al., Research Square, May 2025 Favorscasirivimab/im.. Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
17th treatment shown to reduce risk in March 2021, now with p = 0.000073 from 34 studies, recognized in 52 countries. Efficacy is variant dependent.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,700+ studies for 161 treatments. c19early.org
Retrospective study of 52 hospitalized patients showing significantly lower COVID-19 incidence with casirivimab/imdevimab for post-exposure prophylaxis during a period when Omicron BA.5 was dominant.
Efficacy is variant dependent. In Vitro research suggests a lack of efficacy for many omicron variants1-7.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, Japan, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments8. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of treatment—especially early—due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
risk of case, 87.9% lower, OR 0.12, p = 0.02, treatment 14, control 38, adjusted per study, multivariable, RR approximated with OR.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Ohtani et al., 13 May 2025, retrospective, Japan, preprint, 13 authors, study period October 2022 - December 2022.
Clinical efficacy of casirivimab and imdevimab in preventing COVID-19 in the Omicron BA.5 subvariant epidemic: a retrospective study
Mariko Ohtani, Takuya Yokoo, Taito Miyazaki, Hiroshi Yasuda, Eriko Nishikawa, Manabu Tomida, Mayumi Tsukada, Emi Sato, Shinobu Hirayama, Hinako Murakami, Sadako Yoshizawa, Takahiro Matsumoto, Kazuhiro Tateda
doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-6582593/v1
Background: The neutralizing monoclonal antibody combination of casirivimab and imdevimab (CAS + IMD) is the only therapy approved for preventing coronavirus disease 2019 following exposure to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. However, the e cacy of CAS + IMD against Omicron variants remains uncertain, with in vitro studies indicating reduced neutralizing activity. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical e cacy of CAS + IMD in preventing COVID-19 among uninfected hospitalized contacts of patients with COVID-19. Methods: A retrospective chart review was conducted on 154 inpatients exposed to patients with COVID-19 between October and December 2022. Fifty-two uninfected participants who were unvaccinated or immunosuppressed and had risk factors for severe COVID-19 were included. The primary endpoint was the COVID-19 incidence rate. Statistical analyses included the chi-square test, Fisher's exact test, and Mann-Whitney U test, as appropriate. Factors associated with COVID-19 incidence (p < 0.02) in univariate analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression. Statistical signi cance was set at p < 0.05. Results: Among the 52 participants, 14 and 38 were included in the CAS + IMD and non-CAS + IMD groups, respectively. The COVID-19 incidence rate was signi cantly lower in the CAS + IMD group than in the non-CAS + IMD group (14.3% vs. 52.6%, p = 0.013). Multivariate analysis identi ed CAS + IMD administration as signi cantly associated with reduced COVID-19 incidence (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.121; 95% con dence interval [CI], 0.020-0.710; p = 0.019), whereas long-term use of immunosuppressive therapy was associated with increased incidence (adjusted OR, 4.320; 95% CI, 1.090-17.126; p = 0.037). Conclusions: CAS + IMD may be effective for post-exposure prophylaxis of COVID-19 during the Omicron BA.5 subvariant epidemic. However, prudent clinical use should consider the circulating variant pro le. Further research is warranted to validate CAS + IMD's role in COVID-19 post-exposure prophylaxis.
Competing interests The authors declare that they have no competing interests. Supplementary Files This is a list of supplementary les associated with this preprint. Click to download. Tables.docx
References
Am, Peacock, Thorne, Harvey, Hughes et al., SARS-CoV-2 variant biology: immune escape, transmission and tness, Nat Rev Microbiol, doi:10.1038/s41579-022-00841-7
Deeks, Casirivimab/imdevimab: rst approval, Drugs, doi:10.1007/s40265-021-01620-z
Gershengorn, Patel, Ferreira, Das, Parekh et al., The clinical effectiveness of REGEN-COV in SARS-CoV-2 infection with Omicron versus Delta variants, PLoS One, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0278770
Hagihara, Hayashi, Nakashima, Imai, Nakano et al., Clinical e cacy of imdevimab/casirivimab for persistent Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with hematological malignancies, Intern Med, doi:10.2169/internalmedicine.2900-23
Herman, Brien, Forleo-Neto, Sarkar, Isa et al., E cacy and safety of a single dose of casirivimab and imdevimab for the prevention of COVID-19 over an 8-month period: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, Lancet Infect Dis, doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00416-9
Imai, Ito, Kiso, Yamayoshi, Uraki et al., E cacy of antiviral agents against Omicron subvariants BQ.1.1 and XBB, N Engl J Med, doi:10.1056/NEJMc2214302
O'brien, Forleo-Neto, Musser, Chan, Sarkar, Subcutaneous REGEN-COV antibody combination to prevent Covid-19, N Engl J Med, doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2109682
Planas, Bruel, Staropoli, Guivel-Benhassine, Porrot et al., Resistance of Omicron subvariants BA.2.75.2, BA.4.6, and BQ.1.1 to neutralizing antibodies, Nat Commun, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36561-6
Syed, Ciling, Taha, Chen, Khalid et al., Omicron mutations enhance infectivity and reduce antibody neutralization of SARS-CoV-2 virus-like particles, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, doi:10.1073/pnas.2200592119
Takashita, Kinoshita, Yamayoshi, Sakai-Tagawa, Fujisaki et al., E cacy of antiviral agents against the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariant BA.2, N Engl J Med, doi:10.1056/NEJMc2201933
Takashita, Yamayoshi, Simon, Van Bakel, Sordillo et al., E cacy of antibodies and antiviral drugs against Omicron BA.2.12.1, BA.4, and BA.5 subvariants, N Engl J Med, doi:10.1056/NEJMc2207519
Walinjkar, Kumbhar, Shinde, Chaurasia, Real-world effect of casirivimab and imdevimab cocktail in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 delta and omicron variants, J Infect Dev Ctries, doi:10.3855/jidc.17039
Wang, Golubov, Oswald, Poon, Wei et al., Potential immunomodulatory effects of CAS+IMD monoclonal antibody cocktail in hospitalized patients with COVID-19, EBioMedicine, doi:10.1016/j.ebiom.2024.105334
Wang, Iketani, Li, Liu, Guo et al., Alarming antibody evasion properties of rising SARS-CoV-2 BQ and XBB subvariants, Cell, doi:10.1016/j.cell.2022.12.018
DOI record: { "DOI": "10.21203/rs.3.rs-6582593/v1", "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6582593/v1", "abstract": "<title>Abstract</title>\n <p><bold>Background:</bold> The neutralizing monoclonal antibody combination of casirivimab and imdevimab (CAS + IMD) is the only therapy approved for preventing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) following exposure to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. However, the efficacy of CAS + IMD against Omicron variants remains uncertain, with <italic>in vitro</italic> studies indicating reduced neutralizing activity. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical efficacy of CAS + IMD in preventing COVID-19 among uninfected hospitalized contacts of patients with COVID-19.\n<bold>Methods:</bold> A retrospective chart review was conducted on 154 inpatients exposed to patients with COVID-19 between October and December 2022. Fifty-two uninfected participants who were unvaccinated or immunosuppressed and had risk factors for severe COVID-19 were included. The primary endpoint was the COVID-19 incidence rate. Statistical analyses included the chi-square test, Fisher's exact test, and Mann–Whitney U test, as appropriate. Factors associated with COVID-19 incidence (<italic>p</italic> &lt; 0.02) in univariate analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression. Statistical significance was set at <italic>p</italic> &lt; 0.05.\n<bold>Results:</bold> Among the 52 participants, 14 and 38 were included in the CAS + IMD and non-CAS + IMD groups, respectively. The COVID-19 incidence rate was significantly lower in the CAS + IMD group than in the non-CAS + IMD group (14.3% vs. 52.6%, <italic>p</italic> = 0.013). Multivariate analysis identified CAS + IMD administration as significantly associated with reduced COVID-19 incidence (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.121; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.020–0.710; <italic>p</italic> = 0.019), whereas long-term use of immunosuppressive therapy was associated with increased incidence (adjusted OR, 4.320; 95% CI, 1.090–17.126; <italic>p</italic> = 0.037).\n<bold>Conclusions:</bold> CAS + IMD may be effective for post-exposure prophylaxis of COVID-19 during the Omicron BA.5 subvariant epidemic. However, prudent clinical use should consider the circulating variant profile. Further research is warranted to validate CAS + IMD’s role in COVID-19 post-exposure prophylaxis.</p>", "accepted": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 3 ] ] }, "author": [ { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Ohtani", "given": "Mariko", "sequence": "first" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Yokoo", "given": "Takuya", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Miyazaki", "given": "Taito", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Yasuda", "given": "Hiroshi", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Nishikawa", "given": "Eriko", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Tomida", "given": "Manabu", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Tsukada", "given": "Mayumi", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Sato", "given": "Emi", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Hirayama", "given": "Shinobu", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Murakami", "given": "Hinako", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Yoshizawa", "given": "Sadako", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Matsumoto", "given": "Takahiro", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Toho University Omori Medical Center" } ], "family": "Tateda", "given": "Kazuhiro", "sequence": "additional" } ], "container-title": [], "content-domain": { "crossmark-restriction": false, "domain": [] }, "created": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 13 ] ], "date-time": "2025-05-13T09:51:46Z", "timestamp": 1747129906000 }, "deposited": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 13 ] ], "date-time": "2025-05-13T09:51:47Z", "timestamp": 1747129907000 }, "group-title": "In Review", "indexed": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 14 ] ], "date-time": "2025-05-14T04:14:22Z", "timestamp": 1747196062260, "version": "3.40.5" }, "institution": [ { "name": "Research Square" } ], "is-referenced-by-count": 0, "issued": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 13 ] ] }, "license": [ { "URL": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "content-version": "unspecified", "delay-in-days": 0, "start": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 13 ] ], "date-time": "2025-05-13T00:00:00Z", "timestamp": 1747094400000 } } ], "link": [ { "URL": "https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6582593/v1", "content-type": "text/html", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "text-mining" }, { "URL": "https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6582593/v1.html", "content-type": "unspecified", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "similarity-checking" } ], "member": "297", "original-title": [], "posted": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 13 ] ] }, "prefix": "10.21203", "published": { "date-parts": [ [ 2025, 5, 13 ] ] }, "publisher": "Springer Science and Business Media LLC", "reference": [ { "DOI": "10.1038/s41579-022-00841-7", "article-title": "SARS-CoV-2 variant biology: immune escape, transmission and fitness", "author": "Carabelli AM", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "first-page": "162", "issue": "3", "journal-title": "Nat Rev Microbiol", "key": "ref1", "unstructured": "Carabelli AM, Peacock TP, Thorne LG, Harvey WT, Hughes J, de Silva TI, et al. 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