The impact of COVID-19 monoclonal antibodies on clinical outcomes: A retrospective cohort study

Nagler et al., American Journal of Health-System Pharmacy, doi:10.1093/ajhp/zxac295, Oct 2022
Mortality -61% improvement lower risk ← → higher risk ICU admission -51% Hospitalization 49% Progression 39% Casirivimab/i..  Nagler et al.  EARLY TREATMENT Is early treatment with casirivimab/imdevimab beneficial for COVID-19? PSM retrospective 2,688 patients in the USA (Nov 2020 - May 2021) Lower hospitalization (p<0.0001) and progression (p<0.0001) c19early.org Nagler et al., American J. Health-Syst.., Oct 2022 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ RR
18th treatment shown to reduce risk in March 2021, now with p = 0.000095 from 34 studies, recognized in 52 countries. Efficacy is variant dependent.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
6,200+ studies for 200+ treatments. c19early.org
PSM retrospective 1,344 patients in the USA, showing lower hospitalization with monoclonal antibody treatment. Authors combine patients treated with bamlanivimab, bamlanivimab/etesevimab, or casirivimab/imdevimab.
Efficacy is variant dependent. In Vitro research suggests a lack of efficacy for many omicron variants1-7.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, the USA, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments8. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved for early treatment. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of early treatment due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
This study is excluded in meta analysis: results are only provided for use of one or more treatments within a class of treatments, results for each treatment are not provided.
Study covers casirivimab/imdevimab and bamlanivimab/etesevimab.
risk of death, 61.0% higher, RR 1.61, p = 0.40, treatment 1,344, control 1,344, propensity score matching.
risk of ICU admission, 51.0% higher, RR 1.51, p = 0.50, treatment 1,344, control 1,344, propensity score matching.
risk of hospitalization, 49.0% lower, RR 0.51, p < 0.001, treatment 1,344, control 1,344, propensity score matching.
risk of progression, 39.0% lower, RR 0.61, p < 0.001, treatment 1,344, control 1,344, ER visit, propensity score matching.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Nagler et al., 15 Oct 2022, retrospective, USA, peer-reviewed, mean age 59.5, 14 authors, study period 24 November, 2020 - 15 May, 2021. Contact: arielle.nagler@nyumc.org.
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19 treatment protocols c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Bosnia-Herzegovina Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore Iceland New Zealand Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago Hong Kong North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia CAR USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy of treatments was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment, andforgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
$0 $500 $1,000+ Efficacy vs. cost for COVID-19treatment protocols worldwide c19early.org November 2025 USA Russia Sudan Angola Colombia Kenya Mozambique Vietnam Peru Philippines Spain Brazil Italy France Japan Canada China Uzbekistan Nepal Ethiopia Iran Ghana Mexico South Korea Germany Bangladesh Saudi Arabia Algeria Morocco Yemen Poland India DR Congo Madagascar Thailand Uganda Venezuela Nigeria Egypt Bolivia Taiwan Zambia Fiji Ukraine Côte d'Ivoire Eritrea Bulgaria Greece Slovakia Singapore New Zealand Malawi Czechia Mongolia Israel Trinidad and Tobago North Macedonia Belarus Qatar Panama Serbia Syria USA favored high-profit treatments.The average efficacy was very low.High-cost protocols reduce early treatment,and forgo complementary/synergistic benefits. More effective More expensive 75% 50% 25% ≤0%
Abstract: The impact of COVID-19 monoclonal antibodies on clinical outcomes: A retrospective cohort study Arielle R. Nagler, MD, The Ronald O. Perelman Department of Dermatology, NYU Grossman t us cr ip Leora I. Horwitz, MD, MHS, Department of Medicine and Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA Simon Jones, PhD, Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, M an New York, NY, USA d Christopher M. Petrilli, MD, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA ce York, NY, USA pt e Eduardo Iturrate, MD, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New Ac Jennifer L. Lighter, MD, Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA Michael Phillips, MD, Division of Infectious Disease, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA © American Society of Health-System Pharmacists 2022. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com. School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA Brian P. Bosworth, MD, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA Bruce Polsky, MD, Department of Medicine, NYU Long Island School of Medicine, New York, t us cr ip Frank M. Volpicelli, MD, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA an Isaac Dapkins, MD, Family Health Centers at NYU Langone, Brooklyn, NY, USA M Anand Viswanathan, MD, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, pt e d New York, NY, USA Fritz François, MD, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, ce NY, and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA Ac Gary Kalkut, MD, MPH, Division of Infectious Disease, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA Address correspondence to Dr. Nagler (Arielle.Nagler@nyumc.org). Twitter: @ArielleNaglerMD NY, USA Purpose: Despite progress in the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), including the development of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), more clinical data to support the use of mAbs in outpatients with COVID-19 is needed. This study is designed to determine the impact of bamlanivimab, bamlanivimab/etesevimab, or t Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at a single academic medical center us cr ip with 3 campuses in Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Long Island, NY. Patients 12 years of age or older who tested positive for COVID-19 or were treated with a COVID-19–specific therapy, including COVID-19 mAb therapies, at the study site between November 24, 2020, and May 15, 2021, were included. The primary outcomes included rates of emergency department M from the date of COVID-19 diagnosis. an (ED) visit, inpatient admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or death within 30 days Results: A total of 1,344 mAb-treated patients were propensity matched to 1,344 patients d with COVID-19 patients who were not treated with mAb therapy. Within 30 days of pt e diagnosis, among the patients who received mAb therapy, 101 (7.5%) presented to the ED and 79 (5.9%) were admitted...
DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1093/ajhp/zxac295", "ISSN": [ "1079-2082", "1535-2900" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ajhp/zxac295", "abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Disclaimer</jats:title>\n <jats:p>In an effort to expedite the publication of articles, AJHP is posting manuscripts online as soon as possible after acceptance. Accepted manuscripts have been peer-reviewed and copyedited, but are posted online before technical formatting and author proofing. These manuscripts are not the final version of record and will be replaced with the final article (formatted per AJHP style and proofed by the authors) at a later time.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Purpose</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Despite progress in the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), including the development of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), more clinical data to support the use of mAbs in outpatients with COVID-19 is needed. This study is designed to determine the impact of bamlanivimab, bamlanivimab/etesevimab, or casirivimab/imdevimab on clinical outcomes within 30 days of COVID-19 diagnosis.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Methods</jats:title>\n <jats:p>A retrospective cohort study was conducted at a single academic medical center with 3 campuses in Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Long Island, NY. Patients 12 years of age or older who tested positive for COVID-19 or were treated with a COVID-19–specific therapy, including COVID-19 mAb therapies, at the study site between November 24, 2020, and May 15, 2021, were included. The primary outcomes included rates of emergency department (ED) visit, inpatient admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or death within 30 days from the date of COVID-19 diagnosis.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Results</jats:title>\n <jats:p>A total of 1,344 mAb-treated patients were propensity matched to 1,344 patients with COVID-19 patients who were not treated with mAb therapy. Within 30 days of diagnosis, among the patients who received mAb therapy, 101 (7.5%) presented to the ED and 79 (5.9%) were admitted. Among the patients who did not receive mAb therapy, 165 (12.3%) presented to the ED and 156 (11.6%) were admitted (relative risk [RR], 0.61 [95% CI, 0.50-0.75] and 0.51 [95% CI, 0.40-0.64], respectively). Four mAb patients (0.3%) and 2.64 control patients (0.2%) were admitted to the ICU (RR, 01.51; 95% CI, 0.45-5.09). Six mAb-treated patients (0.4%) and 3.37 controls (0.3%) died and/or were admitted to hospice (RR, 1.61; 95% CI, 0.54-4.83). mAb therapy in ambulatory patients with COVID-19 decreases the risk of ED presentation and hospital admission within 30 days of diagnosis.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>", "author": [ { "affiliation": [ { "name": "The Ronald O. Perelman Department of Dermatology, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Nagler", "given": "Arielle R", "sequence": "first" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine and Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Horwitz", "given": "Leora I", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Jones", "given": "Simon", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Petrilli", "given": "Christopher M", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Iturrate", "given": "Eduardo", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Lighter", "given": "Jennifer L", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Division of Infectious Disease, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Phillips", "given": "Michael", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, andNYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA" } ], "family": "Bosworth", "given": "Brian P", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, NYU Long Island School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Polsky", "given": "Bruce", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Volpicelli", "given": "Frank M", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Family Health Centers at NYU Langone, Brooklyn , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Dapkins", "given": "Isaac", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, USA" } ], "family": "Viswanathan", "given": "Anand", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA" } ], "family": "François", "given": "Fritz", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [ { "name": "Division of Infectious Disease, Department of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York , NY, and NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA" } ], "family": "Kalkut", "given": "Gary", "sequence": "additional" } ], "container-title": "American Journal of Health-System Pharmacy", "content-domain": { "crossmark-restriction": false, "domain": [] }, "created": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 10, 15 ] ], "date-time": "2022-10-15T17:06:42Z", "timestamp": 1665853602000 }, "deposited": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 10, 15 ] ], "date-time": "2022-10-15T17:06:43Z", "timestamp": 1665853603000 }, "indexed": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 10, 15 ] ], "date-time": "2022-10-15T17:42:43Z", "timestamp": 1665855763377 }, "is-referenced-by-count": 0, "issued": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 10, 15 ] ] }, "language": "en", "license": [ { "URL": "https://academic.oup.com/pages/standard-publication-reuse-rights", "content-version": "am", "delay-in-days": 0, "start": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 10, 15 ] ], "date-time": "2022-10-15T00:00:00Z", "timestamp": 1665792000000 } } ], "link": [ { "URL": "https://academic.oup.com/ajhp/advance-article-pdf/doi/10.1093/ajhp/zxac295/46539445/zxac295.pdf", "content-type": "application/pdf", "content-version": "am", "intended-application": "syndication" }, { "URL": "https://academic.oup.com/ajhp/advance-article-pdf/doi/10.1093/ajhp/zxac295/46539445/zxac295.pdf", "content-type": "unspecified", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "similarity-checking" } ], "member": "286", "original-title": [], "prefix": "10.1093", "published": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 10, 15 ] ] }, "published-online": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 10, 15 ] ] }, "publisher": "Oxford University Press (OUP)", "reference-count": 0, "references-count": 0, "relation": {}, "resource": { "primary": { "URL": "https://academic.oup.com/ajhp/advance-article/doi/10.1093/ajhp/zxac295/6761664" } }, "score": 1, "short-title": [], "source": "Crossref", "subject": [ "Health Policy", "Pharmacology" ], "subtitle": [], "title": "The impact of COVID-19 monoclonal antibodies on clinical outcomes: A retrospective cohort study", "type": "journal-article" }
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