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Factors Associated with Adverse Outcomes among SARS-CoV-2 Positive Children in a Tertiary Government COVID-19 Referral Hospital in the Philippines

Milan et al., Acta Medica Philippina, doi:10.47895/amp.v58i7.8392
Apr 2024  
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Mortality 56% Improvement Relative Risk Ventilation 13% ICU admission 10% Zinc for COVID-19  Milan et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with zinc beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 180 patients in Philippines (April 2020 - August 2021) Lower mortality with zinc (not stat. sig., p=0.09) c19early.org Milan et al., Acta Medica Philippina, Apr 2024 Favorszinc Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Zinc for COVID-19
2nd treatment shown to reduce risk in July 2020, now with p = 0.00000032 from 46 studies, recognized in 17 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 109 treatments. c19early.org
Retrospective 180 hospitalized pediatric COVID-19 patients in the Philippines showing lower mortality with vitamin D and zinc, and higher mortality with remdesivir, all without statistical significance. Remdesivir was given to few patients and authors do not provide information on the timing of treatment - confounding by indication may be significant.
Study covers zinc, vitamin D, and remdesivir.
risk of death, 55.5% lower, RR 0.44, p = 0.09, treatment 9 of 129 (7.0%), control 8 of 51 (15.7%), NNT 11, day 45.
risk of mechanical ventilation, 13.0% lower, RR 0.87, p = 0.67, treatment 22 of 129 (17.1%), control 10 of 51 (19.6%), NNT 39, day 45.
risk of ICU admission, 10.1% lower, RR 0.90, p = 0.84, treatment 25 of 129 (19.4%), control 11 of 51 (21.6%), NNT 46, day 45.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Milan et al., 30 Apr 2024, retrospective, Philippines, peer-reviewed, median age 11.0, 5 authors, study period 1 April, 2020 - 31 August, 2021. Contact: markmilan31@gmail.com.
This PaperZincAll
Factors Associated with Adverse Outcomes among SARS-CoV-2 Positive Children in a Tertiary Government COVID-19 Referral Hospital in the Philippines
Mark Jason Dc. Milan, Md, Al Joseph R Molina, Md, Anna Lisa T Ong-Lim, Md, Ma. Esterlita V Uy, Md, Ms, Herbert G Uy, Md
Acta Medica Philippina, doi:10.47895/amp.v58i7.8392
Background and Objective. Pediatric COVID-19 epidemiology and factors associated with adverse outcomesmortality, need for invasive mechanical ventilation, and ICU admission, are largely unstudied. We described the clinicodemographic characteristics of Filipino pediatric COVID-19 patients and determined the factors associated with adverse outcomes. Methods. This is a retrospective cohort study of 180 hospitalized SARS-CoV-2-confirmed cases 0-18 years old from April 2020 to August 2021 in a tertiary COVID-19 referral hospital in Manila, National Capital Region. Crude associations were determined using chi-squared or Fisher's exact tests; and medians were compared using the Mann-Whitney test. Factors predictive of mortality were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The survivor functions were depicted in graphs. Results. About 41.67% had mild disease, 58.33% were males, 39.4% aged 0-4 years, and 69.44% had at least one comorbidity. About 9.44% died (adjusted 9.2 persons per 1000 patient-days, 95% CI 5.5%-15.2%), 17.78% needed invasive mechanical ventilation, and 20% needed ICU admission. Independently, severe-critical COVID-19 (HRc 11.51, 95% CI 3.23, 41.06), retractions (HRc 10.30, 95% CI 3.27, 32.47), alar flaring (HRc 4.39, 95% CI 1.53, 12.58), cyanosis (HRc 4.39, 95% CI 1.72, 14.11), difficulty of breathing (HRc 7.99, 95% CI 2.25, 28.71), poor suck/appetite (HRc 4.46, 95% CI 1.59, 12.40), ferritin (HRc 1.01, 95% CI 1.00, 1.01), IL-6 (HRc 1.01, 95% CI 1.00, 1.01), aPTT (HRc 1.05, 95% CI 1.01, 1.10), IVIg (HRc 4.00, 95% CI 1.07, 14.92) and corticosteroid (HRc 6.01, 95% CI 2.04, 17.67) were significant hazards for mortality. In adjusted Cox analysis, only retractions (HRa 34.96, 95% CI 3.36, 363.79), seizure (HRa 9.98, 95% CI 1.76, 56.55), and corticosteroids (HRa 8.21, 95% CI 1.12, 60.38) were significantly associated with mortality while alar flaring appeared to be protective (HRa 0.10, 95% CI 0.01, 0.95). Several clinical characteristics were consistently associated with adverse outcomes. Conclusions. Majority of hospitalized pediatric COVID-19 patients were very young, males, had mild disease, and had at least one comorbidity. Mortality, invasive mechanical ventilation, and ICU admission were relatively low. Except for alar flaring which appeared to be protective, retractions, seizure, and use of corticosteroids were associated with adverse outcomes.
Statement of Authorship All authors certified fulfillment of ICMJE authorship criteria. Author Disclosure All authors declared no conflicts of interest. Appendix. Survival functions after Cox regression analysis, adjusted
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This is a retrospective cohort study of 180 hospitalized SARS-CoV-2-confirmed cases ' '0-18 years oldfrom April 2020 to August 2021 in a tertiary COVID-19 referral hospital in ' 'Manila, National Capital Region. Crudeassociations were determined using chi-squared or ' 'Fisher’s exact tests; and medians were compared using the Mann-Whitney test. Factors ' 'predictive of mortality were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. ' 'The survivor functions were depicted in graphs.\r\n' 'Results. About 41.67% had mild disease, 58.33% were males, 39.4% aged 0-4 years, and 69.44% ' 'had at least onecomorbidity. About 9.44% died (adjusted 9.2 persons per 1000 patient-days, ' '95% CI 5.5%-15.2%), 17.78% needed invasive mechanical ventilation, and 20% needed ICU ' 'admission. Independently, severe-critical COVID-19 (HRc 11.51, 95% CI 3.23, 41.06), ' 'retractions (HRc 10.30, 95% CI 3.27, 32.47), alar flaring (HRc 4.39, 95% CI 1.53, 12.58), ' 'cyanosis (HRc 4.39, 95% CI 1.72, 14.11), difficulty of breathing (HRc 7.99, 95% CI 2.25, ' '28.71), poor suck/appetite (HRc 4.46, 95% CI 1.59, 12.40), ferritin (HRc 1.01, 95% CI 1.00, ' '1.01), IL-6 (HRc 1.01, 95% CI 1.00, 1.01), aPTT (HRc 1.05, 95% CI 1.01, 1.10), IVIg (HRc ' '4.00, 95% CI 1.07, 14.92) and corticosteroid (HRc 6.01, 95% CI 2.04, 17.67) were significant ' 'hazards for mortality. In adjusted Cox analysis, only retractions (HRa 34.96, 95% CI 3.36, ' '363.79), seizure (HRa 9.98, 95% CI 1.76, 56.55), and corticosteroids (HRa 8.21, 95% CI 1.12, ' '60.38) weresignificantly associated with mortality while alar flaring appeared to be ' 'protective (HRa 0.10, 95% CI 0.01,0.95). Several clinical characteristics were consistently ' 'associated with adverse outcomes.\r\n' 'Conclusions. Majority of hospitalized pediatric COVID-19 patients were very young, males, had ' 'milddisease, and had at least one comorbidity. Mortality, invasive mechanical ventilation, ' 'and ICU admission wererelatively low. 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Late treatment
is less effective
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