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High-Dose Cholecalciferol Booster Therapy is Associated with a Reduced Risk of Mortality in Patients with COVID-19: A Cross-Sectional Multi-Centre Observational Study

Ling et al., Nutrients, doi:10.3390/nu12123799
Dec 2020  
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Mortality 80% Improvement Relative Risk Mortality (b) 56% Vitamin D for COVID-19  Ling et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with vitamin D beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 523 patients in the United Kingdom Lower mortality with vitamin D (p=0.001) c19early.org Ling et al., Nutrients, December 2020 Favorsvitamin D Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Vitamin D for COVID-19
8th treatment shown to reduce risk in October 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 125 studies, recognized in 9 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,300+ studies for 116 treatments. c19early.org
80% lower mortality with cholecalciferol booster therapy. Retrospective 986 hospitalized patients in the UK finding that cholecalciferol booster therapy, regardless of baseline serum levels, was associated with a reduced risk of mortality in acute COVID-19 inpatients.
Primary cohort of 444 patients, adjusted mortality odds ratio aOR 0.13, p < 0.001.
Validation cohort of 541 patients, adjusted mortality odds ratio aOR 0.38, p = 0.018.
This is the 14th of 125 COVID-19 controlled studies for vitamin D, which collectively show efficacy with p<0.0000000001 (1 in 66 septillion).
30 studies are RCTs, which show efficacy with p=0.0000032.
Standard of Care (SOC): SOC for COVID-19 in the study country, the United Kingdom, is poor with low average efficacy for approved treatments1. The United Kingdom focused on expensive high-profit treatments, approving only one low-cost treatment, which required a prescription and had limited adoption. The high-cost prescription treatment strategy reduces the probability of treatment—especially early—due to access and cost barriers, and eliminates complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
risk of death, 79.8% lower, RR 0.20, p < 0.001, treatment 73, control 253, odds ratio converted to relative risk, primary cohort.
risk of death, 55.5% lower, RR 0.44, p = 0.02, treatment 80, control 443, odds ratio converted to relative risk, validation cohort.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Ling et al., 11 Dec 2020, retrospective, United Kingdom, peer-reviewed, 7 authors, dosage 40,000IU weekly, regimen varied with 77% receiving a total of 40,000IU/week.
This PaperVitamin DAll
VITAMIN D TREATMENT IS ASSOCIATED WITH REDUCED RISK OF MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH COVID-19: A CROSS-SECTIONAL MULTI-CENTRE OBSERVATIONAL STUDY
Ling Mbchb, Eleanor Broad Mbchb, Rebecca Murphy Mbchb, MD Joseph M Pappachan, Satveer Pardesi-Newton Bm, Marie-France Kong, Professor Edward B Jude
Background: The 2019 novel coronavirus disease (Covid-19) worldwide pandemic has posed the most substantial and severe public health issue for several generations, and therapeutic options for it have not yet been optimised. Vitamin D has been proposed in the pharmacological management of Covid-19 by various sources. This study aimed to determine whether Covid-19 disease outcomes were affected by vitamin D status, and to elucidate any predictors of Covid-19 outcomes. Methods: Patients hospitalised with Covid-19 were opportunistically recruited from three different UK hospitals and their data were collected. Logistic regression was used to determine any relationships between vitamin D status and various predictors, including mortality and ventilation, and to determine any relationships between mortality, ventilation, and various predictors. Findings: Vitamin D status was not associated with any outcomes of Covid-19 investigated, following adjustment for age and sex. However, treatment with vitamin D was significantly associated with a reduced risk of death, following adjustment for age and sex (OR adj 0•48, 95% CI 0•32 -0•70, p = 1•79x10 -4 ). This relationship remained significant when also adjusted for baseline vitamin D levels (OR adj 0•47, 95% CI 0•33 -0•70, p = 1•27x10 -4 ). Interpretation: Treatment with vitamin D, regardless of baseline serum vitamin D levels, appears to be associated with a reduced risk of mortality in acute in-patients admitted with Covid-19. Further work on large population studies needs to be carried out to determine adequate serum levels of vitamin D, as well as multi-dose clinical trials of vitamin D treatment to assess maximum efficacy.
CONFLICT OF INTERESTS The authors have no conflicts of interest.
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.3390/nu12123799", "ISSN": [ "2072-6643" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/nu12123799", "abstract": "<jats:p>The worldwide pandemic of 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has posed the most substantial and severe public health issue for several generations, and therapeutic options have not yet been optimised. Vitamin D (in its “parent” form, cholecalciferol) has been proposed in the pharmacological management of COVID-19 by various sources. We aimed to determine whether COVID-19 mortality was affected by serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels, vitamin D status, or cholecalciferol therapy, and to elucidate any other predictors of COVID-19 mortality. Patients hospitalised with COVID-19 were opportunistically recruited from three UK hospitals, and their data were collected retrospectively. Logistic regression was used to determine any relationships between COVID-19 mortality and potential predictors, including 25(OH)D levels and cholecalciferol booster therapy. A total of 986 participants with COVID-19 were studied, of whom 151 (16.0%) received cholecalciferol booster therapy. In the primary cohort of 444 patients, cholecalciferol booster therapy was associated with a reduced risk of COVID-19 mortality, following adjustment for potential confounders (ORadj 0.13, 95% CI 0.05–0.35, p &lt; 0.001). This finding was replicated in a validation cohort of 541 patients (ORadj 0.38, 95% CI 0.17–0.84, p = 0.018). In this observational study, treatment with cholecalciferol booster therapy, regardless of baseline serum 25(OH)D levels, appears to be associated with a reduced risk of mortality in acute in-patients admitted with COVID-19. 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Late treatment
is less effective
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