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Healthy lifestyle for the prevention of post-COVID-19 multisystem sequelae, hospitalization, and death: a prospective cohort study

Wang et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2024.01.30.24302040
Jan 2024  
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Mortality 30% Improvement Relative Risk Hospitalization 12% PASC 14% Exercise for COVID-19  Wang et al.  Prophylaxis Does physical activity reduce risk for COVID-19? Prospective study of 68,896 patients in the United Kingdom Lower mortality (p<0.0001) and hospitalization (p<0.0001) c19early.org Wang et al., medRxiv, January 2024 Favorsexercise Favorsinactivity 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Exercise for COVID-19
9th treatment shown to reduce risk in October 2020
 
*, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 66 studies.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments. * >10% efficacy, ≥3 studies.
4,500+ studies for 81 treatments. c19early.org
Prospective study of 68,896 UK Biobank participants with COVID-19 showing adherence to a healthy lifestyle prior to infection, characterized by 10 factors including adequate physical activity and sleep, not smoking, and a healthy BMI, was associated with a significantly lower risk of mortality, hospitalization, and post-COVID multisystem sequelae. Risk decreased monotonically for increasing numbers of healthy lifestyle factors from 5-10. Reduced risks were evident across cardiovascular, metabolic, neurologic, respiratory, and other disorders over 210 days following infection, during both acute and post-acute phases, regardless of age, sex, ethnicity, test setting, vaccination status, or SARS-CoV-2 variant.
Study covers exercise, sleep, and diet.
risk of death, 30.0% lower, HR 0.70, p < 0.001, high activity levels 57,930, low activity levels 10,966, adjusted per study, ≥150 min/wk moderate or ≥75 min/wk vigorous vs. < 75 min/wk vigorous, multivariable.
risk of hospitalization, 12.0% lower, HR 0.88, p < 0.001, high activity levels 57,930, low activity levels 10,966, adjusted per study, ≥150 min/wk moderate or ≥75 min/wk vigorous vs. < 75 min/wk vigorous, multivariable.
risk of PASC, 14.0% lower, HR 0.86, p < 0.001, high activity levels 57,930, low activity levels 10,966, adjusted per study, ≥150 min/wk moderate or ≥75 min/wk vigorous vs. < 75 min/wk vigorous, multivariable.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Wang et al., 31 Jan 2024, prospective, United Kingdom, preprint, 10 authors.
This PaperExerciseAll
Healthy lifestyle for the prevention of post-COVID-19 multisystem sequelae, hospitalization, and death: a prospective cohort study
BSMed, MSc Yunhe Wang, PhD Binbin Su, PhD Marta Alcalde-Herraiz, PhD Nicola L Barclay, PhD Yaohua Tian, Chunxiao Li, PhD Nicholas J Wareham, PhD Roger Paredes, PhD Junqing Xie, Daniel Prieto-Alhambra
doi:10.1101/2024.01.30.24302040
Background Post-COVID complications are emerging as a global public health crisis. Effective prevention strategies are needed to inform patients, clinicians and policy makers, and to reduce their cumulative burden. We aimed to investigate whether a habitual healthy lifestyle predated pandemic is associated with lower risks of multisystem sequelae and other adverse outcomes of COVID-19, and whether the potential protective effects are independent of pre-existing comorbidities. Methods The prospective population-based cohort study enrolled participants with SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by a positive polymerase chain reaction test result between March 1, 2020, and March 1, 2022. Participants with no history of the related outcome one year before infection were included and followed up for 210 days. Exposures included ten modifiable healthy lifestyle factors including past or never smoking, moderate alcohol intake (≤4 times week), body mass index <30 kg/m 2 , at least 150 minutes of moderate or 75 minutes of vigorous physical activity per week, less sedentary time (<4 hours per day), healthy sleep duration (7-9 hours per day), adequate intake of fruit and vegetables (≥400 g/day), adequate oily fish intake (≥1 portion/week), moderate intake of red meat (≤4 portions week) and processed meat (≤4 portions week). Outcomes included multisystem COVID-19 sequelae (consisting of 75 diseases/symptoms in 10 organ systems), death, and hospital admission following SARS-CoV-2 infection, confirmed by hospital inpatient and death records. Risk was reported in relative scale (hazard ratio [HR]) and absolute scale (absolute risk reduction [ARR]) during both the acute (the first 30 days) and post-acute (30-210 days) phases of infection using Cox models. Findings A total of 68,896 participants (mean [SD] age, 66.6 [8.4]; 32,098 women [46.6%]) with COVID-19 were included. A favorable lifestyle (6-10 healthy lifestyle factors; 46.4%) was associated with a 36% lower risk of multisystem sequelae of COVID-19 (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.58-0.69; ARR, 7.08%; 95% CI, 5.98-8.09), compared with unfavorable lifestyle (0-4 factors; 12.3%). Risk reductions were observed across all 10 prespecified organ systems including cardiovascular, coagulation, metabolic and endocrine, gastrointestinal, kidney, mental health, musculoskeletal, neurologic, and respiratory disorders, and general symptoms of fatigue and malaise. This beneficial effect was largely attributable to direct effects of healthy lifestyle, with mediation proportion ranging from 44% to 93% across organ systems. A favorable lifestyle was also associated with lower risk of post-COVID death (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.52-0.66; ARR, 1.99%; 95% CI, 1.61-2.32) and hospitalization (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.73-0.84; ARR, 6.14%; 95% CI, 4.48-7.68). These associations were observed after accounting for potential misclassification of lifestyle factors, and during acute and post-acute infection, in those tested positive in the hospital and..
Author contributions Drs Wang and Xie had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analyses. Concept and design: Wang and Xie. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Wang, Xie, and Prieto-Alhambra. Drafting of the manuscript: Wang. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors. Statistical analysis: Xie. Obtained funding: Prieto-Alhambra. Administrative, technical, or material support: Prieto-Alhambra. Supervision: Nicholas J. Wareham and Prieto-Alhambra. Competing interests Dr Prieto-Alhambra's department has received grant/s from Amgen, Chiesi-Taylor, Lilly, Janssen, Novartis, and UCB Biopharma. His research group has received consultancy fees from Astra Zeneca and UCB Biopharma. Amgen, A, qualitative sensitivity analyses. B, quantative sensitivity analysis accounting for potential misclassification of lifestyle factors over time. a Odds ratios were used to quantify associations and assumed a sensitivity and specificity of 90% for each lifestyle component.
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{ 'institution': [{'name': 'medRxiv'}], 'indexed': {'date-parts': [[2024, 2, 3]], 'date-time': '2024-02-03T00:25:01Z', 'timestamp': 1706919901241}, 'posted': {'date-parts': [[2024, 1, 31]]}, 'group-title': 'Epidemiology', 'reference-count': 51, 'publisher': 'Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory', 'content-domain': {'domain': [], 'crossmark-restriction': False}, 'accepted': {'date-parts': [[2024, 1, 31]]}, 'abstract': '<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Background</jats:title><jats:p>Post-COVID ' 'complications are emerging as a global public health crisis. Effective prevention strategies ' 'are needed to inform patients, clinicians and policy makers, and to reduce their cumulative ' 'burden. We aimed to investigate whether a habitual healthy lifestyle predated pandemic is ' 'associated with lower risks of multisystem sequelae and other adverse outcomes of COVID-19, ' 'and whether the potential protective effects are independent of pre-existing ' 'comorbidities.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods</jats:title><jats:p>The ' 'prospective population-based cohort study enrolled participants with SARS-CoV-2 infection ' 'confirmed by a positive polymerase chain reaction test result between March 1, 2020, and ' 'March 1, 2022. Participants with no history of the related outcome one year before infection ' 'were included and followed up for 210 days. Exposures included ten modifiable healthy ' 'lifestyle factors including past or never smoking, moderate alcohol intake (≤4 times week), ' 'body mass index &lt;30 kg/m<jats:sup>2</jats:sup>, at least 150 minutes of moderate or 75 ' 'minutes of vigorous physical activity per week, less sedentary time (&lt;4 hours per day), ' 'healthy sleep duration (7-9 hours per day), adequate intake of fruit and vegetables (≥400 ' 'g/day), adequate oily fish intake (≥1 portion/week), moderate intake of red meat (≤4 portions ' 'week) and processed meat (≤4 portions week). Outcomes included multisystem COVID-19 sequelae ' '(consisting of 75 diseases/symptoms in 10 organ systems), death, and hospital admission ' 'following SARS-CoV-2 infection, confirmed by hospital inpatient and death records. Risk was ' 'reported in relative scale (hazard ratio [HR]) and absolute scale (absolute risk reduction ' '[ARR]) during both the acute (the first 30 days) and post-acute (30-210 days) phases of ' 'infection using Cox ' 'models.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Findings</jats:title><jats:p>A total of ' '68,896 participants (mean [SD] age, 66.6 [8.4]; 32,098 women [46.6%]) with COVID-19 were ' 'included. A favorable lifestyle (6-10 healthy lifestyle factors; 46.4%) was associated with a ' '36% lower risk of multisystem sequelae of COVID-19 (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.58-0.69; ARR, 7.08%; ' '95% CI, 5.98-8.09), compared with unfavorable lifestyle (0-4 factors; 12.3%). Risk reductions ' 'were observed across all 10 prespecified organ systems including cardiovascular, coagulation, ' 'metabolic and endocrine, gastrointestinal, kidney, mental health, musculoskeletal, ' 'neurologic, and respiratory disorders, and general symptoms of fatigue and malaise. This ' 'beneficial effect was largely attributable to direct effects of healthy lifestyle, with ' 'mediation proportion ranging from 44% to 93% across organ systems. A favorable lifestyle was ' 'also associated with lower risk of post-COVID death (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.52-0.66; ARR, 1.99%; ' '95% CI, 1.61-2.32) and hospitalization (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.73-0.84; ARR, 6.14%; 95% CI, ' '4.48-7.68). These associations were observed after accounting for potential misclassification ' 'of lifestyle factors, and during acute and post-acute infection, in those tested positive in ' 'the hospital and community setting, and independent of vaccination status or SARS-CoV-2 ' 'variant.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Interpretation</jats:title><jats:p>Adherence ' 'to a healthy lifestyle predated pandemic was associated with substantially lower risk of ' 'complications across organ systems, death, and hospitalization following COVID-19, regardless ' 'of phases of infection, vaccination status, test setting, and SARS-CoV-2 variants, and ' 'independent of comorbidities. These findings illustrate the benefits of adhering to a healthy ' 'lifestyle to reduce the long-term adverse health consequences following SARS-CoV-2 ' 'infection.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Research in ' 'context</jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Evidence before this study</jats:title><jats:p>We ' 'searched PubMed and MEDLINE for articles published between March 1, 2020, and December 1, ' '2023, using the search terms “healthy lifestyle”, “risk factor”, “post-COVID condition”, ' '“long COVID”, “post-acute sequelae”, “prevention”, “management”, and “treatment”, with no ' 'language restrictions. Previous evidence on the prevention and management of long COVID has ' 'mainly focused on vaccination and pharmaceutical approaches, including antivirals (e.g., ' 'molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir) and other drugs (e.g., metformin). Vaccination before ' 'infection or use of antivirals in selected high-risk patients during acute infection only ' 'partially mediates the risk of COVID-19 sequelae. Evidence for the non-pharmaceutical ' 'prevention strategies are lacking. We identified only two publications on the association ' 'between healthy lifestyle and post-COVID condition, and one meta-analysis of the risk factors ' 'for long COVID symptoms. A cross-sectional study of 1981 women suggested an inverse ' 'association between healthy lifestyle factors and self-reported symptoms following infection ' 'of non-Omicron variants, which was mainly driven by BMI and sleep duration. Another study ' 'suggested an inverse prospective association between healthy lifestyle prior to infection and ' 'post-COVID cardiovascular events. High BMI and smoking are risk factors for long COVID mainly ' 'in hospitalized patients. We did not find any study that assessed the association between a ' 'composite healthy lifestyle and subsequent post-COVID complications or sequelae across organ ' 'systems, hospitalization, and death.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Added value of ' 'this study</jats:title><jats:p>In a prospective, population-based cohort of 68,896 ' 'participants with COVID-19, adherence to a healthy lifestyle prior to infection was ' 'associated with a substantially lower risk of multisystem sequelae (by 20%-36%), death (by ' '26%-41%), and hospital admission (by 13%-22%) following COVID-19. The reduced risk of ' 'sequelae was evident across 10 prespecified organ systems, including cardiovascular, ' 'coagulation and hematologic, metabolic and endocrine, gastrointestinal, kidney, mental ' 'health, musculoskeletal, neurologic, and respiratory disorders, as well as general symptoms ' 'of fatigue and malaise. The reduced risk of multisystem sequelae, hospitalization, and death ' 'associated with a healthy lifestyle was consistently observed across participants, regardless ' 'of their vaccination status, disease severity, and major SARS-CoV-2 variants, and largely ' 'independent of relevant comorbidities. Adherence to a healthy lifestyle prior to infection ' 'was consistently and directly associated with reduced risk of sequelae and other adverse ' 'health outcomes following COVID-19.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Implications of ' 'all the available evidence</jats:title><jats:p>The inverse association of healthy lifestyle ' 'with multisystem sequelae was even larger than those observed in previous studies of ' 'pharmaceutical interventions in non-hospitalized patients. Considering the restricted scope ' 'of currently available therapies, such as antivirals (only selected patients at higher risk ' 'are qualified during the acute infection) and limited efficacy of vaccination in preventing ' 'long COVID, adherence to a healthy lifestyle, in combination with vaccination and, if ' 'necessary, potential medications, emerges as practical prevention and care strategies to ' 'mitigate the long-term health consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection. These strategies are of ' 'significant clinical and public health importance in reducing the overall burden of ' 'post-COVID conditions and improving preparedness for future ' 'pandemics.</jats:p></jats:sec></jats:sec>', 'DOI': '10.1101/2024.01.30.24302040', 'type': 'posted-content', 'created': {'date-parts': [[2024, 2, 1]], 'date-time': '2024-02-01T04:35:10Z', 'timestamp': 1706762110000}, 'source': 'Crossref', 'is-referenced-by-count': 0, 'title': 'Healthy lifestyle for the prevention of post-COVID-19 multisystem sequelae, hospitalization, and ' 'death: a prospective cohort study', 'prefix': '10.1101', 'author': [ { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0923-1441', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Yunhe', 'family': 'Wang', 'sequence': 'first', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Binbin', 'family': 'Su', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Marta', 'family': 'Alcalde-Herraiz', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Nicola L.', 'family': 'Barclay', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Yaohua', 'family': 'Tian', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Chunxiao', 'family': 'Li', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Nicholas J.', 'family': 'Wareham', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Roger', 'family': 'Paredes', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0040-0042', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Junqing', 'family': 'Xie', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3950-6346', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Daniel', 'family': 'Prieto-Alhambra', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}], 'member': '246', 'reference': [ { 'key': '2024020211500666000_2024.01.30.24302040v1.1', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'DOI': '10.1016/s2213-2600(23)00239-4'}, { 'key': '2024020211500666000_2024.01.30.24302040v1.2', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'DOI': '10.1016/s2213-2600(22)00169-2'}, { 'issue': '3', 'key': '2024020211500666000_2024.01.30.24302040v1.3', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '133', 'DOI': '10.1038/s41579-022-00846-2', 'article-title': 'Long COVID: major findings, mechanisms and recommendations', 'volume': '21', 'year': '2023', 'journal-title': 'Nature Reviews Microbiology'}, { 'issue': '1', 'key': '2024020211500666000_2024.01.30.24302040v1.4', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '1', 'DOI': '10.1038/s41581-022-00652-2', 'article-title': 'Long COVID: long-term health outcomes and implications for policy and ' 'research', 'volume': '19', 'year': '2023', 'journal-title': 'Nature Reviews Nephrology'}, { 'key': '2024020211500666000_2024.01.30.24302040v1.5', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'unstructured': 'Bowe B , Xie Y , Al-Aly Z . 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