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Association of the patterns of use of medications with mortality of COVID-19 infection: a hospital-based observational study

Wallace et al., BMJ Open, doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050051
Dec 2021  
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Mortality -11% Improvement Relative Risk Famotidine for COVID-19  Wallace et al.  Prophylaxis Is prophylaxis with famotidine beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 7,944 patients in the USA No significant difference in mortality c19early.org Wallace et al., BMJ Open, December 2021 Favorsfamotidine Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Famotidine for COVID-19
26th treatment shown to reduce risk in October 2021, now with p = 0.00028 from 30 studies, recognized in 2 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,300+ studies for 116 treatments. c19early.org
Retrospective 9,532 hospitalized COVID+ veterans in the USA, showing no significant difference in mortality with famotidine use. The study provides results for use before, after, and before+after. Before+after should more accurately represent prophylaxis up to COVID-19 infection (and continued use). Before included use up to 2 years before, and after included use up to 60 days later.
Standard of Care (SOC): SOC for COVID-19 in the study country, the USA, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments1. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of treatment—especially early—due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
Study covers metformin and famotidine.
risk of death, 11.0% higher, RR 1.11, p = 0.33, treatment 98 of 423 (23.2%), control 1,436 of 7,521 (19.1%), adjusted per study, odds ratio converted to relative risk, multivariable.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Wallace et al., 31 Dec 2021, retrospective, database analysis, USA, peer-reviewed, 6 authors.
This PaperFamotidineAll
DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050051", "ISSN": [ "2044-6055", "2044-6055" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050051", "abstract": "<jats:sec><jats:title>Objectives</jats:title><jats:p>SARS-CoV-2 enters cells using the ACE2 receptor. Medications that affect ACE2 expression or function such as angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) and ACE inhibitors (ACE-I) and metformin have the potential to counter the dysregulation of ACE2 by the virus and protect against viral injury. Here, we describe COVID-19 survival associated with ACE-I, ARB and metformin use.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Design</jats:title><jats:p>This is a hospital-based observational study of patients with COVID-19 infection using logistic regression with correction for pre-existing conditions and propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards models to estimate associations between medication use and mortality.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Setting</jats:title><jats:p>Medical record data from the US Veterans Affairs (VA) were used to identify patients with a reverse transcription PCR diagnosis of COVID-19 infection, to classify patterns of ACE inhibitors (ACE-I), ARB, beta blockers, metformin, famotidine and remdesivir use, and, to capture mortality.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Participants</jats:title><jats:p>9532 hospitalised patients with COVID-19 infection followed for 60 days were analysed.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Outcome measure</jats:title><jats:p>Death from any cause within 60 days of COVID-19 diagnosis was examined.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results</jats:title><jats:p>Discontinuation of ACE-I was associated with increased risk of death (OR: 1.4; 95% CI 1.2–1.7). Initiating (OR: 0.3; 95% CI 0.2–0.5) or continuous (OR: 0.6; 95% CI 0.5–0.7) ACE-I was associated with reduced risk of death. ARB and metformin associations were similar in direction and magnitude and also statistically significant. Results were unchanged when accounting for pre-existing morbidity and propensity score adjustment.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title><jats:p>Recent randomised clinical trials support the safety of continuing ACE-I and ARB treatment in patients with COVID-19 where indicated. Our study extends these findings to suggest a possible COVID-19 survival benefit for continuing or initiating ACE-I, ARB and metformin medications. Randomised trials are appropriate to confirm or refute the therapeutic potential for ACE-I, ARBs and metformin.</jats:p></jats:sec>", "alternative-id": [ "10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050051" ], "author": [ { "affiliation": [], "family": "Wallace", "given": "Arthur W", "sequence": "first" }, { "ORCID": "http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4571-4544", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Cirillo", "given": "Piera M", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Ryan", "given": "James C", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Krigbaum", "given": "Nickilou Y", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Badathala", "given": "Anusha", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Cohn", "given": "Barbara A", "sequence": "additional" } ], "container-title": [ "BMJ Open" ], "content-domain": { "crossmark-restriction": true, "domain": [ "bmj.com" ] }, "created": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12, 31 ] ], "date-time": "2021-12-31T15:30:28Z", "timestamp": 1640964628000 }, "deposited": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12, 31 ] ], "date-time": "2021-12-31T15:30:42Z", "timestamp": 1640964642000 }, "funder": [ { "award": [ "#2207" ], "name": "Mercatus Center, George Mason University Fast Grants" }, { "award": [ "R00RG3118" ], "name": "UC Office of the President, Emergency COVID-19 Research Seed Funding" }, { "award": [ "#2005" ], "name": "Mercatus Center, George Mason University Fast Grants" } ], "indexed": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 1 ] ], "date-time": "2022-01-01T05:55:33Z", "timestamp": 1641016533940 }, "is-referenced-by-count": 0, "issn-type": [ { "type": "print", "value": "2044-6055" }, { "type": "electronic", "value": "2044-6055" } ], "issue": "12", "issued": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12 ] ] }, "journal-issue": { "issue": "12", "published-online": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12, 31 ] ] }, "published-print": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12 ] ] } }, "language": "en", "license": [ { "URL": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/", "content-version": "unspecified", "delay-in-days": 29, "start": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12, 30 ] ], "date-time": "2021-12-30T00:00:00Z", "timestamp": 1640822400000 } } ], "link": [ { "URL": "https://syndication.highwire.org/content/doi/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050051", "content-type": "unspecified", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "similarity-checking" } ], "member": "239", "original-title": [], "page": "e050051", "prefix": "10.1136", "published": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12 ] ] }, "published-online": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12, 31 ] ] }, "published-print": { "date-parts": [ [ 2021, 12 ] ] }, "publisher": "BMJ", "reference": [ { "DOI": "10.1016/j.jare.2020.03.005", "article-title": "COVID-19 infection: origin, transmission, and characteristics of human coronaviruses", "author": "Shereen", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "first-page": "91", "journal-title": "J Adv Res", "key": "2021123107251020000_11.12.e050051.1", "volume": "24", "year": "2020" }, { "DOI": "10.1002/path.1570", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "2021123107251020000_11.12.e050051.2" }, { "article-title": "Short-term dexamethasone in Sars-CoV-2 patients", "author": "Selvaraj", "first-page": "39", "journal-title": "R I Med J", "key": "2021123107251020000_11.12.e050051.3", "volume": "103", "year": "2020" }, { "DOI": "10.1056/NE-JMoa2007016", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "2021123107251020000_11.12.e050051.4" }, { "DOI": "10.1136/gutjnl-2020-321852", "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "key": "2021123107251020000_11.12.e050051.5" }, { "DOI": "10.26434/chemrxiv.12382265", "doi-asserted-by": "crossref", "key": "2021123107251020000_11.12.e050051.6", "unstructured": "Sen Gupta PS , Biswal S , Singha D . 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