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A Retrospective Study in Patients With Varying Prescription Coverage With Ursodeoxycholic Acid and Association With Incidence of COVID-19 Diagnosis in Primary Care

Ming et al., Microbiology and Infectious Diseases The American Medical Journal, doi:10.33590/microbiolinfectdisamj/10304488
Nov 2023  
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Case 13% Improvement Relative Risk UDCA for COVID-19  Ming et al.  Prophylaxis Does ursodeoxycholic acid reduce COVID-19 infections? Retrospective 8,864 patients in the United Kingdom Fewer cases with ursodeoxycholic acid (p=0.028) c19early.org Ming et al., Microbiology and Infectio.., Nov 2023 FavorsUDCA Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Retrospective 8,964 primary care patients prescribed ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in the UK. Higher categorized UDCA adherence (≥80%) was associated with lower COVID-19 incidence (OR 0.86), whereas adherence as a continuous variable was not significant. However, adherence was measured indirectly via prescription records which may not reflect actual usage. Additionally, more adherent patients may differ systematically on unmeasured confounders (e.g., health behaviors) that influence COVID-19 risk.
risk of case, 12.9% lower, RR 0.87, p = 0.03, treatment 185 of 3,804 (4.9%), control 297 of 5,060 (5.9%), NNT 99, odds ratio converted to relative risk, high vs. low adherence.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Ming et al., 16 Nov 2023, retrospective, United Kingdom, peer-reviewed, 3 authors, high vs. low. Contact: swanyauming@corevitas.com.
This PaperUDCAAll
A Retrospective Study in Patients With Varying Prescription Coverage With Ursodeoxycholic Acid and Association With Incidence of COVID-19 Diagnosis in Primary Care
Simon Wan Yau Ming Ming, Mike Smith, Yi Zhou
Microbiology and Infectious Diseases The American Medical Journal, doi:10.33590/microbiolinfectdisamj/10304488
Background: The 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in significant mortality and morbidity. Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is reportedly widely in demand in some countries, such as China, to protect individuals from the effects of infection, as there is evidence that it is effective in preventing viral replication in some in vitro studies. UDCA is commonly prescribed in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis and gallbladder calculi. By evaluating a set of patients prescribed UDCA, whether or not the risk of COVID-19 infection is attenuated by adherence to UDCA can be determined. Method: This is a retrospective database study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD Aurum). Patients who received a prescription of UDCA in the study timeframe of March 1, 2020-May 30, 2021 were characterized, and their primary care electronic medical records analyzed for presence of COVID-19 infection. The proportion of days covered for each patient was used as a proxy for adherence. A comparison was made between categorized high-and low-adherence, and adherence as a continuous variable. Inverse probability weighting was used to adjust for confounding. Results: Higher categorized adherence (≥80%) to UDCA was associated with a statistically significant lower incidence of COVID-19 (odds ratio [OR]: 0.864; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.759-0.984; p=0.027). This contrasted to adherence as a continuous variable, which was not statistically significant. Obesity and hematological malignancy were also associated with a higher incidence of COVID-19 infection.
References
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Zhou, Sensitivity to vaccines, therapeutic antibodies, and viral entry inhibitors and advances to counter the SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant, Clin Microbiol Rev
{ 'indexed': { 'date-parts': [[2023, 11, 17]], 'date-time': '2023-11-17T00:29:43Z', 'timestamp': 1700180983014}, 'reference-count': 36, 'publisher': 'European Medical Group', 'content-domain': {'domain': [], 'crossmark-restriction': False}, 'abstract': '<jats:p>Background: The 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in significant ' 'mortality and morbidity. Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is reportedly widely in demand in some ' 'countries, such as China, to protect individuals from the effects of infection, as there is ' 'evidence that it is effective in preventing viral replication in some in vitro studies. UDCA ' 'is commonly prescribed in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis and gallbladder calculi. By ' 'evaluating a set of patients prescribed UDCA, whether or not the risk of COVID-19 infection ' 'is attenuated by adherence to UDCA can be determined.\n' '\n' 'Method: This is a retrospective database study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink ' '(CPRD Aurum). Patients who received a prescription of UDCA in the study timeframe of March 1, ' '2020–May 30, 2021 were characterized, and their primary care electronic medical records ' 'analyzed for presence of COVID-19 infection. The proportion of days covered for each patient ' 'was used as a proxy for adherence. A comparison was made between categorized high- and ' 'low-adherence, and adherence as a continuous variable. Inverse probability weighting was used ' 'to adjust for confounding.\n' '\n' 'Results: Higher categorized adherence (≥80%) to UDCA was associated with a statistically ' 'significant lower incidence of COVID-19 (odds ratio [OR]: 0.864; 95% confidence interval ' '[CI]: 0.759–0.984; p=0.027). This contrasted to adherence as a continuous variable, which was ' 'not statistically significant. Obesity and hematological malignancy were also associated with ' 'a higher incidence of COVID-19 infection.\n' '\n' 'Conclusion: There is evidence to suggest that the regular use of UDCA is associated with a ' 'lower risk of COVID-19 infection when compared to irregular or sporadic usage.</jats:p>', 'DOI': '10.33590/microbiolinfectdisamj/10304488', 'type': 'journal-article', 'created': { 'date-parts': [[2023, 11, 16]], 'date-time': '2023-11-16T16:38:39Z', 'timestamp': 1700152719000}, 'source': 'Crossref', 'is-referenced-by-count': 0, 'title': 'A Retrospective Study in Patients With Varying Prescription Coverage With Ursodeoxycholic Acid ' 'and Association With Incidence of COVID-19 Diagnosis in Primary Care', 'prefix': '10.33590', 'author': [ { 'given': 'Simon Wan Yau Ming', 'family': 'Ming', 'sequence': 'first', 'affiliation': [{'name': 'CorEvitas, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA'}]}, { 'given': 'Mike', 'family': 'Smith', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': [{'name': 'CorEvitas, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA'}]}, { 'given': 'Yi', 'family': 'Zhou', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': [{'name': 'Ionscope, Cambridge, UK'}]}], 'member': '18914', 'published-online': {'date-parts': [[2023, 11, 16]]}, 'reference': [ { 'key': 'ref0', 'unstructured': 'Huang Y-Z, Kuan CC. Vaccination to reduce severe COVID-19 and mortality ' 'in COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur Rev Med ' 'Pharmacol Sci. 2022;26(5):1770-6.'}, { 'key': 'ref1', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'unstructured': 'Smit M et al Prophylaxis for COVID-19: a systematic review. Clin ' 'Microbiol Infect. 2021;27(4):532-7.', 'DOI': '10.1016/j.cmi.2021.01.013'}, { 'key': 'ref2', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'unstructured': 'Keam SJ. Tixagevimab + cilgavimab: first approval. Drugs. ' '2022;82(9):1001-10.', 'DOI': '10.1007/s40265-022-01731-1'}, { 'key': 'ref3', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'unstructured': 'Kashour Z et al. Efficacy of chloroquine or hydroxychloroquine in ' 'COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Antimicrob ' 'Chemother. 2021;76(1):30-42.', 'DOI': '10.1093/jac/dkaa403'}, { 'key': 'ref4', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'unstructured': 'McMahon JH et al. 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' 'Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2012;12(12):CD000551.', 'DOI': '10.1002/14651858.CD000551.pub3'}, { 'key': 'ref8', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'unstructured': 'Lee SH et al.; Efficacy and safety of DWJ1319 in the prevention of ' 'gallstone formation after gastrectomy in patient with gastric cancer: a ' 'multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study ' '(PEGASUS-D) group. Efficacy and safety of ursodeoxycholic acid for the ' 'prevention of gallstone formation after gastrectomy in patients with ' 'gastric cancer: the PEGASUS-D randomized clinical trial. JAMA Surg. ' '2020;155(8):703-11.', 'DOI': '10.1001/jamasurg.2020.1501'}, { 'key': 'ref9', 'unstructured': 'Parízek A et al. Efficacy and safety of ursodeoxycholic acid in patients ' 'with intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy. Ann Hepatol. ' '201615(5):757-61.'}, { 'key': 'ref10', 'unstructured': 'National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). ' 'Ursodeoxycholic acid. 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COVID-19 anxiety, uncertainty fuel China UDCA frenzy. 2022. ' 'Available at: ' 'https://scrip.pharmaintelligence.informa.com/SC147513/COVID19-Anxiety-Uncertainty-Fuel-China-UDCA-Frenzy. ' 'Last accessed: 25 March 2023.'}, { 'key': 'ref18', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'unstructured': 'Li Y et al. Protective effect of ursodeoxycholic acid on COVID-19 in ' 'patients with chronic liver disease. Front Cell Infect Microbiol. ' '2023;13:1178590.', 'DOI': '10.3389/fcimb.2023.1178590'}, { 'key': 'ref19', 'unstructured': 'Institute for Government (IfG) analysis. Timeline of UK government ' 'coronavirus lockdowns and measures, March 2020 to December 2021. ' 'Available at: ' 'https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/2022-12/timeline-coronavirus-lockdown-december-2021.pdf. ' 'Last accessed: 30 March 2023.'}, { 'key': 'ref20', 'doi-asserted-by': 'publisher', 'unstructured': 'Prieto-Merino D et al. 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