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The association of estimated cardiorespiratory fitness with COVID-19 incidence and mortality: A cohort study

Christensen et al., PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0250508
May 2021  
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Mortality 63% Improvement Relative Risk Case 23% Exercise for COVID-19  Christensen et al.  Prophylaxis Does physical activity reduce risk for COVID-19? Prospective study of 1,072 patients in the United Kingdom (Mar - Jul 2020) Lower mortality with higher activity levels (p=0.019) c19early.org Christensen et al., PLOS ONE, May 2021 Favorsexercise Favorsinactivity 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Exercise for COVID-19
9th treatment shown to reduce risk in October 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 68 studies.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 109 treatments. c19early.org
Prospective study of 2,690 adults in the UK Biobank showing lower cardiorespiritory fitness associated with COVID-19 mortality.
risk of death, 63.0% lower, RR 0.37, p = 0.02, high activity levels 543, low activity levels 529, adjusted per study, high fitness vs. low fitness, multivariable.
risk of case, 23.0% lower, RR 0.77, p = 0.20, high activity levels 55 of 543 (10.1%), low activity levels 77 of 529 (14.6%), NNT 23, adjusted per study, high fitness vs. low fitness, multivariable.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Christensen et al., 5 May 2021, prospective, United Kingdom, peer-reviewed, 5 authors, study period 16 March, 2020 - 26 July, 2020.
This PaperExerciseAll
The association of estimated cardiorespiratory fitness with COVID-19 incidence and mortality: A cohort study
Rebecca A G Christensen, Jasleen Arneja, Kate St. Cyr, Shelby L Sturrock, Jennifer D Brooks
PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0250508
Background It has been suggested that cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) may be used to identify those at greatest risk for severe COVID-19 illness. However, no study to date has examined the association between CRF and COVID-19. The objectives of this study were to determine whether CRF is independently associated with testing positive with or dying from COVID-19. Methods This is a prospective cohort study of 2,690 adults from the UK Biobank Study that were followed from March 16 th , 2020 to July 26 th , 2020. Participants who were tested for COVID-19 and had undergone CRF assessment were examined. CRF was estimated (eCRF) and categorized as low (<20 th percentile), moderate (20 th to 80 th percentile) and high (�80 th percentile) within sex and ten-year age groups (e.g. 50-60 years). Participants were classified as having COVID-19 if they tested positive (primarily PCR tests) at an in-patient or outpatient setting as of July 26, 2020. Participants were classified as having died from COVID-19 if the primary or underlying cause of death was listed ICD-10 codes U071 or U072 by June 30 th , 2020. Adjusted risk ratios (aRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated and a forward model building approach used to identify covariates. Findings There was no significant association between eCRF and testing positive for COVID-19. Conversely, individuals with moderate (aRR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.25, 0.75) and high fitness (aRR = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.16, 0.85) had a significantly lower risk of dying from COVID-19 than those with low fitness. Conclusions While eCRF was not significantly associated with testing positive for COVID-19, we observed a significant dose-response between having higher eCRF and a decreased risk of
Author Contributions Conceptualization: Rebecca A. G. Christensen. Formal analysis:
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The objectives of this study were to determine ' 'whether CRF is independently associated with testing positive with or dying from ' 'COVID-19.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>\n' '<jats:sec id="sec002">\n' '<jats:title>Methods</jats:title>\n' '<jats:p>This is a prospective cohort study of 2,690 adults from the UK Biobank Study that ' 'were followed from March 16<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>, 2020 to July 26<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>, ' '2020. Participants who were tested for COVID-19 and had undergone CRF assessment were ' 'examined. CRF was estimated (eCRF) and categorized as low (&lt;20<jats:sup>th</jats:sup> ' 'percentile), moderate (20<jats:sup>th</jats:sup> to 80<jats:sup>th</jats:sup> percentile) and ' 'high (≥80<jats:sup>th</jats:sup> percentile) within sex and ten-year age groups (e.g. 50–60 ' 'years). Participants were classified as having COVID-19 if they tested positive (primarily ' 'PCR tests) at an in-patient or out-patient setting as of July 26, 2020. Participants were ' 'classified as having died from COVID-19 if the primary or underlying cause of death was ' 'listed ICD-10 codes U071 or U072 by June 30<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>, 2020. Adjusted risk ' 'ratios (aRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated and a forward model building ' 'approach used to identify covariates.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>\n' '<jats:sec id="sec003">\n' '<jats:title>Findings</jats:title>\n' '<jats:p>There was no significant association between eCRF and testing positive for COVID-19. ' 'Conversely, individuals with moderate (aRR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.25, 0.75) and high fitness (aRR ' '= 0.37, 95% CI: 0.16, 0.85) had a significantly lower risk of dying from COVID-19 than those ' 'with low fitness.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>\n' '<jats:sec id="sec004">\n' '<jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title>\n' '<jats:p>While eCRF was not significantly associated with testing positive for COVID-19, we ' 'observed a significant dose-response between having higher eCRF and a decreased risk of dying ' 'from COVID-19. This suggests that prior gains in CRF could be protective against dying from ' 'COVID-19 should someone develop the virus.</jats:p>\n' '</jats:sec>', 'DOI': '10.1371/journal.pone.0250508', 'type': 'journal-article', 'created': {'date-parts': [[2021, 5, 5]], 'date-time': '2021-05-05T19:42:53Z', 'timestamp': 1620243773000}, 'page': 'e0250508', 'update-policy': 'http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.corrections_policy', 'source': 'Crossref', 'is-referenced-by-count': 11, 'title': [ 'The association of estimated cardiorespiratory fitness with COVID-19 incidence and mortality: ' 'A cohort study'], 'prefix': '10.1371', 'volume': '16', 'author': [ { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5212-8688', 'authenticated-orcid': True, 'given': 'Rebecca A. 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Available: ' 'https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200423-sitrep-94-covid-19.pdf#:~:text=The ' 'first human cases of,%2C in December 2019.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref002', 'article-title': 'An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time', 'author': 'E. Dong', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'Lancet Infect. Dis.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref003', 'article-title': 'Lifestyle risk factors, inflammatory mechanisms, and COVID-19 ' 'hospitalization: A community-based cohort study of 387,109 adults in UK', 'author': 'M. Hamer', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'Brain. Behav. Immun.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref004', 'article-title': 'Physical activity in the prevention of type 2 diabetes: The finnish ' 'diabetes prevention study', 'author': 'D. E. Laaksonen', 'year': '2005', 'journal-title': 'Diabetes'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref005', 'article-title': 'Physical activity, immunity and infection', 'author': 'J. Romeo', 'year': '2010'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref006', 'article-title': 'Six-year changes in physical activity and the risk of incident heart ' 'failure ARIC study', 'author': 'R. Florido', 'year': '2018', 'journal-title': 'Circulation'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref007', 'article-title': 'Upper respiratory tract infection is reduced in physically fit and ' 'active adults', 'author': 'D. C. Nieman', 'year': '2011', 'journal-title': 'Br. J. Sports Med.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref008', 'article-title': 'Moderate to vigorous physical activity and risk of upper-respiratory ' 'tract infection', 'author': 'C. E. Matthews', 'year': '2002', 'journal-title': 'Med. Sci. Sports Exerc.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref009', 'article-title': 'Physical activity, stress, and self-reported upper respiratory tract ' 'infection', 'author': 'E. Fondell', 'year': '2011', 'journal-title': 'Med. Sci. Sports Exerc.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref010', 'article-title': 'Sustained Physical Activity, Not Weight Loss, Associated With Improved ' 'Survival in Coronary Heart Disease', 'author': 'T. Moholdt', 'year': '2018', 'journal-title': 'J. Am. Coll. Cardiol.'}, { 'issue': '4', 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref011', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '2788', 'DOI': '10.1378/chest.128.4.2788', 'article-title': 'Effects of exercise training amount and intensity on peak oxygen ' 'consumption in middle-age men and women at risk for cardiovascular ' 'disease', 'volume': '128', 'author': 'B. D. Duscha', 'year': '2005', 'journal-title': 'Chest'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref012', 'article-title': 'Heritability, linkage, and genetic associations of exercise treadmill ' 'test responses', 'author': 'E. Ingelsson', 'year': '2007', 'journal-title': 'Circulation'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref013', 'article-title': 'Cardiorespiratory fitness as a quantitative predictor of all-cause ' 'mortality and cardiovascular events in healthy men and women: A ' 'meta-analysis', 'author': 'S. Kodama', 'year': '2009', 'journal-title': 'JAMA—Journal of the American Medical Association'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref014', 'article-title': 'Relationship between low cardiorespiratory fitness and mortality in ' 'normal-weight, overweight, and obese men', 'author': 'M. Wei', 'year': '1999', 'journal-title': 'J. Am. Med. Assoc.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref015', 'article-title': '“Impact of Cardiorespiratory Fitness on All-Cause and Disease-Specific ' 'Mortality: Advances Since 2009', 'author': 'M. P. Harber', 'year': '2017', 'journal-title': 'Progress in Cardiovascular Diseases'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref016', 'article-title': 'Physical fitness and activity as separate heart disease risk factors: A ' 'meta-analysis', 'author': 'P. T. Williams', 'year': '2001', 'journal-title': 'Med. Sci. Sports Exerc.'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref017', 'article-title': 'COVID-19 –does exercise prescription and maximal oxygen uptake (VO2 ' 'max) have a role in risk-stratifying patients?', 'author': 'I. Ahmed', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'Clin. Med. J. R. Coll. Physicians London'}, { 'key': 'pone.0250508.ref018', 'article-title': 'Does High Cardiorespiratory Fitness Confer Some Protection Against ' 'Proinflammatory Responses After Infection by SARS-CoV-2?', 'author': 'H. 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Public Health'}], 'container-title': ['PLOS ONE'], 'original-title': [], 'language': 'en', 'link': [ { 'URL': 'https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250508', 'content-type': 'unspecified', 'content-version': 'vor', 'intended-application': 'similarity-checking'}], 'deposited': { 'date-parts': [[2021, 5, 5]], 'date-time': '2021-05-05T19:43:37Z', 'timestamp': 1620243817000}, 'score': 1, 'resource': {'primary': {'URL': 'https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250508'}}, 'subtitle': [], 'editor': [{'given': 'Robert', 'family': 'Siegel', 'sequence': 'first', 'affiliation': []}], 'short-title': [], 'issued': {'date-parts': [[2021, 5, 5]]}, 'references-count': 42, 'journal-issue': {'issue': '5', 'published-online': {'date-parts': [[2021, 5, 5]]}}, 'URL': 'http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250508', 'relation': {}, 'ISSN': ['1932-6203'], 'issn-type': [{'value': '1932-6203', 'type': 'electronic'}], 'subject': ['Multidisciplinary'], 'published': {'date-parts': [[2021, 5, 5]]}}
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Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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