Approval delays in multi-country COVID-19 trials: the case of COPCOV and the risk of therapeutic inertia
et al., Trials, doi:10.1186/s13063-025-09300-z, Dec 2025
HCQ for COVID-19
1st treatment shown to reduce risk in
March 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 424 studies, used in 59 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols
combine treatments.
6,300+ studies for
210+ treatments. c19early.org
|
Analysis of bureaucratic approval delays in the multi-country COVID-19 COPCOV trial, showing a median decision time of 104 days across 76 countries, despite expedited emergency review processes. The trial missed critical early COVID-19 waves due to these delays, recruiting less than 5,000 of the planned 40,000 healthcare workers. Sequential rather than parallel reviews, lack of transparency in decision-making, and inflexibility in risk assessment were identified as major barriers. The fraudulent Mehra et al. Lancet paper linking HCQ to cardiotoxicity, though quickly retracted, caused additional months-long delays across multiple countries. Authors argue these approval delays represent a "risk of therapeutic inertia" where bureaucratic risk-aversion overlooks the potential harms of delaying potentially beneficial treatments during health emergencies. The study highlights how existing frameworks for expedited pandemic research approvals largely failed in practice, with even WHO Africa's AVAREF system taking 50+ days instead of the promised 10 days for approvals.
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Winters et al., 16 Dec 2025, peer-reviewed, 2 authors.
Contact: janelle.winters@history.ox.ac.uk.
Approval delays in multi-country COVID-19 trials: the case of COPCOV and the risk of therapeutic inertia
Trials, doi:10.1186/s13063-025-09300-z
Background: Many multi-country COVID-19 clinical trials, including those for widely available repurposed drugs with strong safety profiles, were conceptualised quickly but were unable to influence clinical treatment guidelines. The Chloroquine/Hydroxychloroquine for the Prevention of COVID-19 (COPCOV) trial, a large multi-country clinical trial sponsored by the University of Oxford, sought to determine the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine as a prophylaxis for COVID-19, but faced approval delays and other bureaucratic challenges. Understanding the reasons for these delays will help to guide reform for future multi-country trials responding to health emergencies.
Methods: Using an extensive case study of the COPCOV trial, we aimed to quantitatively and qualitatively analyse the bureaucratic challenges facing academic researchers seeking trial approval across multiple countries during health emergencies. We measured the median time from first COPCOV trial protocol submission to an ethics/regulatory body in each country to first approval and disaggregated the average and median time for approval by ethics committees and regulatory bodies. These data are extracted from official documents in the Trial Master File, records from country investigators, and thousands of stakeholder emails. Additionally, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 65 trial stakeholders to identify barriers to approval and we analysed these interviews using inductive thematic analysis. Results: For the COPCOV trial, investigators sought approval in 76 countries and submitted initial protocols to 22 local/institutional ethics committees or institutional research boards, 19 multi-site or national ethics committees, and 14 national regulatory authorities. The median time for the study to receive an initial decision (approval or rejection) in each country was 104 days (IQR 42). Approximately half of the countries to which the COPCOV protocol was submitted had sequential systems for ethics and regulatory review, and those with an
A R T I C L E I N P R E S S Diabetes: A Systematic Review. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism. 2018;20 (2) :427-37. [85] Whitney SN, Schneider CE. A Method to Estimate the Cost in Lives of Ethics Board Review of Biomedical Research. Journal of Internal Medicine. 2011;269(4):396-402. [86] London AJ, Kimmelman J. Against Pandemic Research Exceptionalism. Science. 2020;368(6490):476-7.
List of abbreviations
Declarations
Ethics approval and consent to participate All interviews were conducted by JW with approval from the University of Oxford"s CUREC, reference R81146/RE001 and stakeholders" identities were anonymised based on consent preferences.
Consent for publication All authors consent to publication of this manuscript.
Availability of data and materials
A R T I C L E I N P R E S S The datasets generated and analysed during the current study are not publicly available, in compliance with GDPR and anonymisation as per the University of Oxford"s ethics clearance (CUREC) requirements. However, these data are available on reasonable request from the authors, subject to the removal of any personally identifying information, as are more detailed primary document bibliographies.
Competing interests None declared.
Authors' contributions JW compiled the quantitative dataset, conducted stakeholder interviews, performed initial data and thematic analysis, drafted the initial version of the manuscript, and led revisions. WS is a co-principal investigator of..
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"abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Background</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Many multi-country COVID-19 clinical trials, including those for widely available repurposed drugs with strong safety profiles, were conceptualised quickly but were unable to influence clinical treatment guidelines. The Chloroquine/Hydroxychloroquine for the Prevention of COVID-19 (COPCOV) trial, a large multi-country clinical trial sponsored by the University of Oxford, sought to determine the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine as a prophylaxis for COVID-19 but faced approval delays and other bureaucratic challenges. Understanding the reasons for these delays will help to guide reform for future multi-country trials responding to health emergencies.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Methods</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Using an extensive case study of the COPCOV trial, we aimed to quantitatively and qualitatively analyse the bureaucratic challenges facing academic researchers seeking trial approval across multiple countries during health emergencies. We measured the median time from first COPCOV trial protocol submission to an ethics/regulatory body in each country to first approval and disaggregated the average and median time for approval by ethics committees and regulatory bodies. These data are extracted from official documents in the Trial Master File, records from country investigators, and thousands of stakeholder emails. Additionally, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 65 trial stakeholders to identify barriers to approval, and we analysed these interviews using inductive thematic analysis.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Results</jats:title>\n <jats:p>\n For the COPCOV trial, investigators sought approval in 76 countries and submitted initial protocols to 22 local/institutional ethics committees or institutional research boards, 19 multisite or national ethics committees, and 14 national regulatory authorities. The median time for the study to receive an initial decision (approval or rejection) in each country was 104 days (\n <jats:italic>IQR</jats:italic>\n 42). Approximately half of the countries to which the COPCOV protocol was submitted had sequential systems for ethics and regulatory review, and those with an expedited review system communicated faster decisions (median 91 days vs. 122 days). Issues with efficiency, flexibility, and decision-making coherence underpinned these approval delays. Efficiency challenges included overlap in comments between ethics bodies and duplicative ethics and regulatory body roles. Delays due to inflexibility resulted from under-awareness of existing risk-based frameworks for repurposed drugs, few mechanisms for streamlining documentation requirements during emergency review processes, and under-utilisation of regulatory agility and reliance mechanisms. Objectivity and coherence of decision-making by trial approval bodies were limited by a lack of stringent regulatory authority transparency and limited communication channels between trial stakeholders.\n </jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Trial approval challenges are rooted in a combination of conservative good clinical practice interpretation and insufficient international guidance and leadership, which contribute to a dangerous ‘risk of therapeutic inertia’ in developing evidence during public health emergencies. Governance reforms to address these challenges should be twofold, focused on improving national awareness, buy-in, and financing for existing harmonisation and risk-based structures and establishing a global framework for clinical research during health emergencies.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>\n <jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Trial registration</jats:title>\n <jats:p>ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04303507. Registered on 11 March 2020.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>",
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