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Association of Vitamin D Status and COVID-19-Related Hospitalization and Mortality

Seal et al., Journal of General Internal Medicine, doi:10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0
Jan 2022  
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Mortality 45% Improvement Relative Risk Mortality (b) 40% Mortality (c) 35% Mortality (d) 26% Mortality (e) 20% Mortality (f) 12% Hospitalization 22% Hospitalization (b) 20% Hospitalization (c) 17% Hospitalization (d) 12% Hospitalization (e) 9% Hospitalization (f) 5% Vitamin D for COVID-19  Seal et al.  Sufficiency Are vitamin D levels associated with COVID-19 outcomes? Retrospective study in the USA Lower mortality (p=0.0013) and hospitalization (p=0.011) c19early.org Seal et al., J. General Internal Medic.., Jan 2022 Favorsvitamin D Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
Vitamin D for COVID-19
8th treatment shown to reduce risk in October 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 125 studies, recognized in 9 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,300+ studies for 116 treatments. c19early.org
Retrospective 4,599 COVID+ veterans in the USA with vitamin D levels measured 15 to 90 days prior to testing positive, showing a significant independent inverse dose-response relationship between vitamin D levels (from 15 to 60ng/mL) and decreasing risk of hospitalization (24.1% to 18.7%, p = 0.009) and mortality (10.4% to 5.7%, p = 0.001).
This is the 113th of 214 COVID-19 sufficiency studies for vitamin D, which collectively show higher levels reduce risk with p<0.0000000001 (1 in 4,225,339,384 vigintillion).
Standard of Care (SOC): SOC for COVID-19 in the study country, the USA, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments1. Only expensive, high-profit treatments were approved. Low-cost treatments were excluded, reducing the probability of treatment—especially early—due to access and cost barriers, and eliminating complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
risk of death, 45.1% lower, RR 0.55, p = 0.001, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 60ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of death, 40.5% lower, RR 0.60, p = 0.001, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 50ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of death, 34.6% lower, RR 0.65, p = 0.001, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 40ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of death, 25.9% lower, RR 0.74, p = 0.001, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 30ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of death, 20.0% lower, RR 0.80, p = 0.001, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 25ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of death, 11.5% lower, RR 0.88, p = 0.001, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 20ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of hospitalization, 22.5% lower, RR 0.78, p = 0.01, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 60ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of hospitalization, 20.0% lower, RR 0.80, p = 0.009, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 50ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of hospitalization, 16.7% lower, RR 0.83, p = 0.007, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 40ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of hospitalization, 12.3% lower, RR 0.88, p = 0.008, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 30ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of hospitalization, 9.1% lower, RR 0.91, p = 0.01, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 25ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
risk of hospitalization, 4.8% lower, RR 0.95, p = 0.02, adjusted per study, inverted to make RR<1 favor high D levels, 20ng/mL vs. 15 ng/mL.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Seal et al., 1 Jan 2022, retrospective, USA, peer-reviewed, 6 authors.
This PaperVitamin DAll
Association of Vitamin D Status and COVID-19-Related Hospitalization and Mortality
MD, MPH Karen H Seal, MPH Daniel Bertenthal, PhD Evan Carey, MD, PhD Carl Grunfeld, MD, PhD Daniel D Bikle, MD Chuanyi M Lu
Journal of General Internal Medicine, doi:10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0
BACKGROUND: The relationship between vitamin D status and COVID-19-related clinical outcomes is controversial. Prior studies have been conducted in smaller, singlesite, or homogeneous populations limiting adjustments for social determinants of health (race/ethnicity and poverty) common to both vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the dose-response relationship between continuous 25(OH)D and risk for COVID-19related hospitalization and mortality after adjusting for covariates associated with both vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 outcomes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PATIENTS: Veteran patients receiving care in US Department of Veteran Affairs (VA) health care facilities with a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) test and a blood 25(OH)D test between February 20, 2020, and November 8, 2020, followed for up to 60 days. MAIN MEASURES: Exposure was blood 25(OH)D concentration ascertained closest to and within 15 to 90 days preceding an index positive SARS-CoV-2 test. Co-primary study outcomes were COVID-19-related inpatient hospitalization requiring airborne, droplet, contact, or other isolation and mortality ascertained within 60 days of an index positive SARS-CoV-2 test. KEY RESULTS: Of 4,599 veterans with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, vitamin D deficiency (< 20 ng/mL) was identified in 665 (14.5%); 964 (21.0%) were hospitalized; and 340 (7.4%) died. After adjusting for all covariates, including race/ethnicity and poverty, there was a significant independent inverse dose-response relationship between increasing continuous 25(OH)D concentrations (from 15 to 60 ng/mL) and decreasing probability of COVID-19related hospitalization (from 24.1 to 18.7%, p=0.009) and mortality (from 10.4 to 5.7%, p=0.001). In modeling 25(OH)D as a log-transformed continuous variable, the greatest risk for hospitalization and death was observed at lower 25(OH)D concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Continuous blood 25(OH)D concentrations are independently associated with COVID-19related hospitalization and mortality in an inverse doseresponse relationship in this large racially and ethnically diverse cohort of VA patients. Randomized controlled trials are needed to evaluate the impact of vitamin D supplementation on COVID-19-related outcomes.
Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0.
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DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0", "ISSN": [ "0884-8734", "1525-1497" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0", "abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Background</jats:title>\n <jats:p>The relationship between vitamin D status and COVID-19-related clinical outcomes is controversial. Prior studies have been conducted in smaller, single-site, or homogeneous populations limiting adjustments for social determinants of health (race/ethnicity and poverty) common to both vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 outcomes.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec><jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Objective</jats:title>\n <jats:p>To evaluate the dose-response relationship between continuous 25(OH)D and risk for COVID-19-related hospitalization and mortality after adjusting for covariates associated with both vitamin D deficiency and COVID-19 outcomes.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec><jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Design</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Retrospective cohort study.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec><jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Patients</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Veteran patients receiving care in US Department of Veteran Affairs (VA) health care facilities with a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) test and a blood 25(OH)D test between February 20, 2020, and November 8, 2020, followed for up to 60 days.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec><jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Main Measures</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Exposure was blood 25(OH)D concentration ascertained closest to and within 15 to 90 days preceding an index positive SARS-CoV-2 test. Co-primary study outcomes were COVID-19-related inpatient hospitalization requiring airborne, droplet, contact, or other isolation and mortality ascertained within 60 days of an index positive SARS-CoV-2 test.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec><jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Key Results</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Of 4,599 veterans with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, vitamin D deficiency (&lt; 20 ng/mL) was identified in 665 (14.5%); 964 (21.0%) were hospitalized; and 340 (7.4%) died. After adjusting for all covariates, including race/ethnicity and poverty, there was a significant independent inverse dose-response relationship between increasing continuous 25(OH)D concentrations (from 15 to 60 ng/mL) and decreasing probability of COVID-19-related hospitalization (from 24.1 to 18.7%, <jats:italic>p</jats:italic>=0.009) and mortality (from 10.4 to 5.7%, <jats:italic>p</jats:italic>=0.001). In modeling 25(OH)D as a log-transformed continuous variable, the greatest risk for hospitalization and death was observed at lower 25(OH)D concentrations.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec><jats:sec>\n <jats:title>Conclusions</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Continuous blood 25(OH)D concentrations are independently associated with COVID-19-related hospitalization and mortality in an inverse dose-response relationship in this large racially and ethnically diverse cohort of VA patients. Randomized controlled trials are needed to evaluate the impact of vitamin D supplementation on COVID-19-related outcomes.</jats:p>\n </jats:sec>", "alternative-id": [ "7170" ], "assertion": [ { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Received", "name": "received", "order": 1, "value": "9 June 2021" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Accepted", "name": "accepted", "order": 2, "value": "24 September 2021" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "First Online", "name": "first_online", "order": 3, "value": "1 January 2022" } ], "author": [ { "ORCID": "http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6676-9117", "affiliation": [], "authenticated-orcid": false, "family": "Seal", "given": "Karen H.", "sequence": "first" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Bertenthal", "given": "Daniel", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Carey", "given": "Evan", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Grunfeld", "given": "Carl", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Bikle", "given": "Daniel D.", "sequence": "additional" }, { "affiliation": [], "family": "Lu", "given": "Chuanyi M.", "sequence": "additional" } ], "container-title": [ "Journal of General Internal Medicine" ], "content-domain": { "crossmark-restriction": false, "domain": [ "link.springer.com" ] }, "created": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 4 ] ], "date-time": "2022-01-04T01:02:27Z", "timestamp": 1641258147000 }, "deposited": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 4 ] ], "date-time": "2022-01-04T01:13:18Z", "timestamp": 1641258798000 }, "funder": [ { "DOI": "10.13039/100008460", "award": [ "UG3AT009765", "UH3AT009765" ], "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "name": "National Center for Complementary and Integrative Health" }, { "DOI": "10.13039/100000063", "award": [ "Administrative Supplement" ], "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "name": "Office of Dietary Supplements" }, { "DOI": "10.13039/100000002", "award": [ "U24AT009769" ], "doi-asserted-by": "publisher", "name": "National Institutes of Health" } ], "indexed": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 4 ] ], "date-time": "2022-01-04T06:11:34Z", "timestamp": 1641276694349 }, "is-referenced-by-count": 0, "issn-type": [ { "type": "print", "value": "0884-8734" }, { "type": "electronic", "value": "1525-1497" } ], "issued": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 1 ] ] }, "language": "en", "license": [ { "URL": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0", "content-version": "tdm", "delay-in-days": 0, "start": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 1 ] ], "date-time": "2022-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timestamp": 1640995200000 } }, { "URL": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0", "content-version": "vor", "delay-in-days": 0, "start": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 1 ] ], "date-time": "2022-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timestamp": 1640995200000 } } ], "link": [ { "URL": "https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0.pdf", "content-type": "application/pdf", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "text-mining" }, { "URL": "https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0/fulltext.html", "content-type": "text/html", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "text-mining" }, { "URL": "https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11606-021-07170-0.pdf", "content-type": "application/pdf", "content-version": "vor", "intended-application": "similarity-checking" } ], "member": "297", "original-title": [], "prefix": "10.1007", "published": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 1 ] ] }, "published-online": { "date-parts": [ [ 2022, 1, 1 ] ] }, "publisher": "Springer Science and Business Media LLC", "reference": [ { "key": "7170_CR1", "unstructured": "United Nations Development Program (UNDP). 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Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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