c19early.org
COVID-19 Treatment Clinical Evidence
COVID-19 involves the interplay of 500+ viral and host proteins and factors, providing many therapeutic targets.
c19early analyzes 6,000+ studies for 220+ treatments—over 17 million hours of research.
Only three high-profit early treatments are approved in the US.
In reality, many treatments reduce risk,
with 26 low-cost treatments approved across 163 countries.
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Naso/
oropharyngeal treatment Effective Treatment directly to the primary source of initial infection. -
Healthy lifestyles Protective Exercise, sunlight, a healthy diet, and good sleep all reduce risk.
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Immune support Effective Vitamins A, C, D, and zinc show reduced risk, as with other viruses.
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Thermotherapy Effective Methods for increasing internal body temperature, enhancing immune system function.
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Systemic agents Effective Many systemic agents reduce risk, and may be required when infection progresses.
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High-profit systemic agents Conditional Effective, but with greater access and cost barriers.
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Monoclonal antibodies Limited Utility Effective but rarely used—high cost, variant dependence, IV/SC admin.
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Acetaminophen Harmful Increased risk of severe outcomes and mortality.
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Remdesivir Harmful Increased mortality with longer followup. Increased kidney and liver injury, cardiac disorders.
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Drug repurposing for COVID-19 using machine learning and mechanistic models of signal transduction circuits related to SARS-CoV-2 infection,
Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy,
doi:10.1038/s41392-020-00417-y
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Multilayered Prioritization of Graph Attention Autoencoder–Derived Drug Repurposing Candidates for COVID-19,
Pharmaceuticals,
doi:10.3390/ph19101522
Background/Objectives: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the critical need for drug repurposing. While computational graph-based approaches show promise, single analytical methods often fail to capture the complex pathological mechanisms needed for clinical translation. We aimed to prioritize COVID-19 repurposing candidates by combining computational prediction with orthogonal lines of evidence. Methods: We developed a Graph Attention Autoencoder (GATE) framework with multilayered evaluation integrating computational prediction, real-world data, and phenome analyses. Network-based embeddings identified candidates through latent-space similarity within biomedical knowledge graphs. Clinical relevance was assessed by disproportionality analysis (DPA) of an adverse event reporting system, and biological plausibility through gene expression and pathway profiling. Results: Our GATE framework identified 16 candidate drug entities, including 12 already used or recognized in the context of COVID-19 or its symptoms, consistent with the model recovering known drug–disease associations. The remaining four had minimal prior COVID-19 associations (cilastatin, megestrol, drotrecogin alfa, and ethacrynic acid). Of these four, the multilayered evaluation prioritized two: DPA showed significant inverse reporting associations for COVID-19-related adverse event terms for cilastatin (reporting odds ratio [ROR]: 0.19, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.09–0.43) and megestrol (ROR: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.42–0.94). Pathway profiling indicated that cilastatin shares molecular signatures with drugs investigated in COVID-19 clinical trials and megestrol with compounds reported as COVID-19 therapeutic candidates; gene expression analyses suggest cilastatin may exert antiviral and anti-inflammatory effects through DPEP1 inhibition. Conclusions: By integrating GATE-based prediction, real-world evidence, and phenome-level pathway profiling, this study enabled multidimensional candidate prioritization that single analytical methods do not provide. These findings, including the proposed mechanisms of action, are computational predictions that await experimental confirmation. They nonetheless provide mechanistic working hypotheses that may streamline subsequent preclinical studies. Prioritizing clinically approved drugs with established safety profiles may facilitate subsequent clinical evaluation, although the risks specific to each drug would need to be weighed. The framework offers a generalizable strategy for rapid candidate identification during pandemics and diseases with unmet therapeutic needs.
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Target-agnostic drug prediction integrated with medical record analysis uncovers differential associations of statins with increased survival in COVID-19 patients,
PLOS Computational Biology,
doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011050 (Table 2)
Drug repurposing requires distinguishing established drug class targets from novel molecule-specific mechanisms and rapidly derisking their therapeutic potential in a time-critical manner, particularly in a pandemic scenario. In response to the challenge to rapidly identify treatment options for COVID-19, several studies reported that statins, as a drug class, reduce mortality in these patients. However, it is unknown if different statins exhibit consistent function or may have varying therapeutic benefit. A Bayesian network tool was used to predict drugs that shift the host transcriptomic response to SARS-CoV-2 infection towards a healthy state. Drugs were predicted using 14 RNA-sequencing datasets from 72 autopsy tissues and 465 COVID-19 patient samples or from cultured human cells and organoids infected with SARS-CoV-2. Top drug predictions included statins, which were then assessed using electronic medical records containing over 4,000 COVID-19 patients on statins to determine mortality risk in patients prescribed specific statins versus untreated matched controls. The same drugs were tested in Vero E6 cells infected with SARS-CoV-2 and human endothelial cells infected with a related OC43 coronavirus. Simvastatin was among the most highly predicted compounds (14/14 datasets) and five other statins, including atorvastatin, were predicted to be active in > 50% of analyses. Analysis of the clinical database revealed that reduced mortality risk was only observed in COVID-19 patients prescribed a subset of statins, including simvastatin and atorvastatin. In vitro testing of SARS-CoV-2 infected cells revealed simvastatin to be a potent direct inhibitor whereas most other statins were less effective. Simvastatin also inhibited OC43 infection and reduced cytokine production in endothelial cells. Statins may differ in their ability to sustain the lives of COVID-19 patients despite having a shared drug target and lipid-modifying mechanism of action. These findings highlight the value of target-agnostic drug prediction coupled with patient databases to identify and clinically evaluate non-obvious mechanisms and derisk and accelerate drug repurposing opportunities.